URC 2025/26URC 2025/26 · Round 17
Zebre Parma

Zebre Parma

v
Dragons

Dragons

Friday 24 April 2026 · 8:45 PM CEST
Stadio Sergio Lanfranchi, Parma
Tournament

Championship Standings

This is 16th vs 15th — the two worst teams in the URC, separated by a single win and seven points. Zebre (14 pts, PD −204) and Dragons (21 pts, PD −123) are playing out the string, but for Zebre it's a rare chance to bank a win in front of a home crowd.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
1
Glasgow WarriorsGlasgow Warriors
15114+15055
2
StormersStormers
15114+13051
3
LeinsterLeinster
15105+7051
4
LionsLions
1595+7848
5
UlsterUlster
1596+10547
6
MunsterMunster
1596+546
7
CardiffCardiff
1596−546
8
BullsBulls
1596+9745
9
ConnachtConnacht
1587+1944
10
OspreysOspreys
1567−2834
11
SharksSharks
1568−3034
12
EdinburghEdinburgh
15510−7028
13
BenettonBenetton
1558−10428
14
ScarletsScarlets
15410−9023
15
DragonsDragons
15210−12321
16
Zebre ParmaZebre Parma
15213−20414
2026 Form

Zebre Parma

W0, L5
5L streak
LR12: Zebre v Connacht (H)15–31−16
LR13: Munster v Zebre (A)21–7−14
LR14: Scarlets v Zebre (A)36–17−19
LR15: Zebre v Ulster (H)12–28−16
LR16: Edinburgh v Zebre (A)31–30−1
PF 81PA 147
-66 PD

Five straight URC losses by a combined 66 points — and the only reason the run doesn't read worse is a one-point heartbreaker at Murrayfield last week where Edinburgh edged Zebre 31–30. Everything else has been the familiar pattern: competitive for an hour, outgunned in the last 20. Zebre have scored just 81 points across those five matches while shipping 147 — 29.4 points conceded per game is the worst defensive run of any URC side this spring.

Dragons

W0, D1, L4
LR12: Dragons v Benetton (H)15–150
LR13: Stormers v Dragons (A)29–21−8
LR14: Lions v Dragons (A)42–26−16
WCC QF: Zebre v Dragons (A)32–35+3
LR16: Dragons v Bulls (H)7–47−40
PF 104PA 173
-69 PD

Dragons were dismantled 47–7 by the Bulls at Rodney Parade last week — their heaviest URC home defeat of the season — and that caps a run of four URC losses and a draw across recent outings. The 40-point beating pushed their points differential to −123. The one bright spot was the 35–32 Challenge Cup QF win at Zebre seven days ago: Filo Tiatia's men got a winnable stage-win, but it came at the cost of rotation rhythm and left the URC side flat.

History

Head-to-Head Record

9 – 1 – 12

Zebre wins · Draws · Dragons wins (22 meetings, Pro12/Pro14/URC/CC)

Zebre ParmaZebre Parma (9)
(12) DragonsDragons
9W
1D
12W

A long and lopsided rivalry — Dragons lead 12–9–1 across 22 meetings stretching back to the Pro12 era. But it's been tight recently: the last six meetings have split three apiece, and Dragons' 35–32 Challenge Cup playoff win at this very stadium last week was decided by a late penalty. At Stadio Sergio Lanfranchi in URC play specifically, Zebre have won three of the last four.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
Apr 2026Challenge CupZebre 32–35 Dragons
Feb 2025URCZebre 31–21 Dragons
Mar 2024URCDragons 20–13 Zebre
Jan 2024Challenge CupZebre 20–17 Dragons
Oct 2022URCDragons 47–7 Zebre
Apr 2022URCZebre 23–18 Dragons

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Zebre 22 – Dragons 24 across the last 6 meetings. Nothing between these sides when they meet in Parma — 32–35, 31–21, 20–17 and 23–18 are the last four URC/CC scorelines here.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Zebre Parma2W, 13L in URC

URC wins: Ospreys 23–19 (H), Lions 22–20 (H). Challenge Cup wins — Section Paloise 31–15 (H), Ospreys 23–19 (H), Black Lion 28–14 (A), Montauban 41–17 (H). Heaviest URC defeats: Leinster 50–26 (A), Bulls 63–24 (A), Ospreys 24–0 (A).

Two URC wins all season and both of them were at Lanfranchi in October. Their Challenge Cup form offered a sliver of hope — four wins including a 41–17 hammering of Montauban — but the Dragons knocked them out last week in the QF. The home record has collapsed: since the season started, Zebre have lost their last five at Lanfranchi in URC play.

Dragons2W, 10L, 3D in URC

URC wins: Connacht 48–28 (A), Scarlets 28–5 (A). Challenge Cup: W vs Zebre 35–32 (QF A), W Stade Français 36–31 (A), W Newcastle 35–12, W Lyon 23–21. Heaviest defeats: Benetton 74–21 (CC), Bulls 47–7 (R16 H), Lions 42–26 (R14 A).

The Dragons' season tells two stories. The URC ledger reads two wins from twelve — a bottom-two return. But in the Challenge Cup, they went on an improbable run including wins at Stade Français in Paris and Zebre in Parma to reach the semi. That Parma win is the most relevant piece of evidence in this preview: one week ago, this same Dragons side went to Lanfranchi and left with a three-point win.

Team News
Zebre Parma

Zebre Parma XV

Zebre team not yet announced. Expect head coach Massimo Brunello to roll out a side built around captain Giacomo Ferrari in the back row, with Leonardo Marin or Geronimo Prisciantelli at 10 and Scott Gregory (one of Zebre's most reliable broken-field runners) in the back three. Danilo Fischetti anchors the loosehead side of a front row that has leaked set-piece penalties all season.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Dragons

Dragons XV

Dragons team not yet announced. After a 40-point hammering by the Bulls, Filo Tiatia is likely to ring changes — expect Aaron Wainwright back at 8, Rhodri Williams at 9, and either Angus O'Brien or Cai Evans at 10. Rio Dyer stays on the wing. Watch for a reshuffled front row after last week's scrum issues.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Tactical

Key Matchups

Front Row
Fischetti, Fusco, Hasa
Close
Lewis, Dee, Jones
Back Row
Ferrari, Krumov, Licata
Dragons
Wainwright, Woodman, Beddall
Halfbacks
Casilio, Marin
Dragons
Williams, O'Brien
Midfield
Zanon, Trulla
Close
Hathaway, Rosser
Back Three
Gregory, Minozzi, Gesi
Close
Dyer, Hope, Anderson
Bench Impact
Thin depth, limited gamebreakers
Close
Limited bench after Challenge Cup run

This is the rare URC fixture where almost every positional battle reads 'close' — two squads ranked 15th and 16th with the differential to match. Wainwright's carrying is the clearest individual edge on the pitch, and the back row as a unit should out-punch Zebre's. But the wider game tilts home: Zebre have the better halfback in Marin when he's at his best, and Minozzi at fullback still has the footwork to exploit a Dragons defence that conceded 47 to the Bulls last week.

Prediction Scorecard
Dragons edgeZebre Parma edge →
Home Advantage
+3
Form
0
H2H Record
-1
Squad Strength
+1
Set Piece
+1
Backline
+2
Standings Gap
-1
Net Score+5
Projection
Zebre Parma 60% · ZEB 27 – DRA 22
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreZEB 27 – DRA 22
Win ProbabilityZebre Parma 60%
Predicted Margin3–10 pts

A rematch seven days after Dragons beat Zebre 35–32 at this same stadium in the Challenge Cup QF — and this time the motivation, the context, and the scheduling all favour the home side. Zebre are playing their penultimate home URC game of a miserable season with one chance to send the Lanfranchi faithful home happy; Dragons have a Challenge Cup semi-final next week and every incentive to manage minutes. Add in a Dragons side coming off a 40-point hammering by the Bulls and a Zebre pack that nearly stole a win at Murrayfield last week, and the scorecard tips just far enough home.

The caveat: Dragons just won here. They know the venue, they have the personnel memory, and Wainwright's back row remains the best unit on either team. If Tiatia picks his strongest XV this becomes a coin flip again. But the smart money is on rotation — Challenge Cup semi-final trumps URC points with nothing to play for — and on Zebre's ability to win close, low-scoring games at home (three of their last four URC meetings in Parma with Dragons have been decided by six or fewer).

Zebre edge a tight, scrappy rematch — Dragons' minds already on the Challenge Cup semi.