URC 2025/26 · Round 14
Scarlets
Zebre Parma
Parc y Scarlets, Llanelli
Championship Standings
Scarlets sit 15th on 16 points — just four clear of basement side Zebre on 12. This is 15th versus 16th, a genuine relegation-zone clash if the URC had one. Neither side has any realistic hope of reaching the top eight.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Glasgow Warriors | 12 | 9 | 3 | +150 | 45 |
| 2 |  Leinster | 12 | 8 | 4 | +67 | 41 |
| 3 |  Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 4 | +35 | 40 |
| 4 |  Munster | 12 | 8 | 4 | +15 | 39 |
| 5 |  Stormers | 10 | 8 | 2 | +113 | 36 |
| 6 |  Ulster | 11 | 7 | 4 | +83 | 36 |
| 7 |  Lions | 11 | 7 | 4 | −20 | 33 |
| 8 |  Bulls | 11 | 6 | 5 | +5 | 30 |
| 9 |  Ospreys | 12 | 5 | 5 | −13 | 29 |
| 10 |  Connacht | 11 | 4 | 7 | −21 | 25 |
| 11 |  Sharks | 10 | 4 | 5 | −36 | 24 |
| 12 |  Edinburgh | 11 | 4 | 7 | +6 | 23 |
| 13 |  Benetton | 12 | 4 | 7 | −65 | 23 |
| 14 |  Dragons | 12 | 3 | 7 | −50 | 20 |
| 15 | Scarlets | 11 | 3 | 7 | −71 | 16 |
| 16 | Zebre | 11 | 2 | 9 | −154 | 12 |
Scarlets
W1, L4One win in five URC outings — and that solitary victory came at home against Ulster, ground out 27–22. Since then, the Scarlets were hammered 28–5 at Dragons and beaten 31–14 at Connacht last week. The 17-point loss in Galway was particularly concerning — they never looked like winning. At home they have more punch, but the trend line is ugly: 85 points scored, 131 conceded across these five matches.
Zebre Parma
W0, L5Five straight URC defeats — and only the Glasgow home match (21–26) was remotely competitive. The 47–10 demolition at Scotstoun and the 21–7 shutout at Munster told the real story: Zebre simply cannot live with higher-quality opposition. Their point differential of −154 across the season is by far the worst in the competition.
Head-to-Head in Llanelli
10 – 0 – 0
Scarlets wins · Draws · Zebre wins (10 meetings at Parc y Scarlets)
Scarlets (10)Zebre have never won at Parc y Scarlets — not once in 10 visits stretching back over a decade. The Scarlets have won every single meeting at this venue, often by huge margins: 54–10 in 2019, 42–0 in 2019, 42–7 in 2017. Even the closest encounter, an 18–17 squeaker in November 2020, went the home side’s way.
Recent Results
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2024 | URC | Scarlets 30–8 Zebre |
| Oct 2022 | URC | Scarlets 36–12 Zebre |
| Nov 2020 | Pro14 | Scarlets 18–17 Zebre |
| Oct 2019 | Pro14 | Scarlets 54–10 Zebre |
| Apr 2019 | Pro14 | Scarlets 42–0 Zebre |
| Feb 2017 | Pro12 | Scarlets 42–7 Zebre |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: Scarlets 34 – Zebre 10 in the last six meetings at this venue. Scarlets have won all 10 home H2H encounters.
Extended Form
Scarlets4W, 8L
Wins: Ulster (27–22, URC), Glasgow (23–0, URC), Cardiff (21–17, away), Edinburgh (30–24, URC). Losses: Connacht (14–31, away), Edinburgh (19–24, away), Dragons (5–28, away), Ospreys (26–19 at home), Northampton (28–43, ERCC), Pau (38–47, ERCC), Bordeaux (21–50, ERCC), Bristol (16–17, ERCC).
The Scarlets have managed just four wins in 12 competitive matches since the autumn. The 23–0 home shutout of Glasgow was the standout, but that feels like an anomaly. At home they remain competitive — the Ulster win and the Glasgow shutout both came at Parc y Scarlets.
Zebre Parma2W, 8L
Wins: Ospreys (23–19, CC), Black Lion (28–14, CC). Losses: Munster (7–21, URC), Connacht (15–31, URC), Glasgow (10–47 away, URC), Montpellier (7–31, CC), Cardiff (14–29, URC), Leinster (26–50, URC), Stormers (13–31, URC), Ospreys (0–24, URC).
Two wins in ten across all competitions — and both came in the Challenge Cup against lower-tier sides. In the URC, Zebre’s away record is catastrophic. The 47–10 mauling at Glasgow and the 50–26 defeat at Leinster were the worst of it. Travelling to Wales is no comfort — Zebre have never won in Llanelli.
Scarlets XV
Lineups have not yet been announced. Expect the Scarlets to be boosted by the return of several Welsh internationals following the conclusion of the Six Nations.
Zebre Parma XV
Lineups have not yet been announced. Zebre Parma will likely rotate from the side beaten 21–7 at Munster, though their squad depth remains the thinnest in the competition.
Key Matchups
Without confirmed lineups, specific matchup analysis is limited — but the broader picture is clear. The Scarlets have more depth, more experience, and crucially, home advantage. Their pack should dominate a Zebre forward unit that has been bullied at scrum time all season. The one area Zebre might compete is in the wide channels — they’ve shown flashes of backline enterprise this season.
Match Forecast
This is the one fixture the Scarlets can genuinely look forward to. Zebre have never won at Parc y Scarlets — not in 10 attempts across 13 years — and nothing about their current form suggests that record is about to change. Five straight URC defeats, a point differential of −154, and a squad that has been carved open by every half-decent side they’ve faced. The Scarlets are bad, but Zebre are worse.
Even in a wretched season, the Scarlets have shown they can score at home — 27–22 against Ulster, 23–0 against Glasgow. Zebre concede an average of 30 points per URC match. The Scarlets should score early, build a lead, and manage the game out. This is a fixture they are expected to win, and for once, they should deliver.
Bottom-of-the-table reality check — the Scarlets’ home record against Zebre is perfect, and nothing about this Zebre side suggests they can break the streak.