URC 2026/27URC 2026/27 · Round 3
Scarlets

Scarlets

v
Benetton

Benetton

Saturday 10 October 2026 · 5:30 PM BST
Parc y Scarlets, Llanelli
Tournament

Championship Standings

Shared SofaScore total URC 2026/27 standings after 2 games per side: Scarlets 14th on 2, Benetton 12th on 3. The table repeats the form results, so its dimension stays zero.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
United Rugby Championship 26/27
1
SharksSharks
220+2310
2
Cardiff RugbyCardiff Rugby
220+199
3
LionsLions
220+179
4
EdinburghEdinburgh
220+99
5
Glasgow WarriorsGlasgow Warriors
210+68
6
DragonsDragons
210+127
7
BullsBulls
211+306
8
StormersStormers
211+106
9
MunsterMunster
211-26
10
ConnachtConnacht
211-115
11
UlsterUlster
201-55
12
BenettonBenetton
201-33
13
LeinsterLeinster
202-73
14
ScarletsScarlets
202-182
15
OspreysOspreys
202-331
16
Zebre ParmaZebre Parma
202-471
2026 Form

Scarlets

W0, D1, L4
2L streak
L2026-10-03: Dragons v Scarlets (A)38–26-12
L2026-09-26: Scarlets v Cardiff Rugby (H)15–21-6
D2026-05-16: Scarlets v Dragons (H)35–350
L2026-05-09: Ospreys v Scarlets (A)27–20-7
L2026-04-25: Scarlets v Bulls (H)21–23-2
PF 117PA 144
-27 PD

Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-04-25–2026-10-03; 117 points for and 144 against. Scarlets have no win in five, with a 35–35 draw against Dragons their only unbeaten result. The first two rounds were lost by six and 12; improving possession is more urgent than claiming a resurgence from returning names. The window crosses the off-season; current personnel are assessed separately.

Benetton

W1, D1, L3
L2026-10-02: Benetton v Connacht (H)19–22-3
D2026-09-25: Benetton v Dragons (H)19–190
L2026-05-16: Bulls v Benetton (A)45–19-26
L2026-05-09: Sharks v Benetton (A)46–7-39
W2026-04-25: Benetton v Leinster (H)29–26+3
PF 93PA 158
-65 PD

Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-04-25–2026-10-02; 93 points for and 158 against. Benetton drew 19–19 with Dragons and lost 22–19 to Connacht at home. Their previous two South African trips ended in heavy defeats, so the five-game aggregate partly reflects much harder travel than this fixture. The window crosses the off-season; current personnel are assessed separately.

History

Head-to-head: verified recent sample

2 – 2 – 1

Scarlets wins · Draws · Benetton wins; 5 same-competition meetings, all venues, 2021-10-22–2026-01-30

ScarletsScarlets (2)
(1) BenettonBenetton
2W
2D
1W

The verified five are two Scarlets wins, two draws and one Benetton win. Both latest Treviso games finished 20–20; the last Llanelli meeting was a 16–13 Scarlets win. The small, tight sample is left neutral. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
2026-01-30United Rugby ChampionshipBenetton 20–20 Scarlets
2024-09-21United Rugby ChampionshipBenetton 20–20 Scarlets
2024-03-23United Rugby ChampionshipScarlets 16–13 Benetton
2022-10-01United Rugby ChampionshipBenetton 34–23 Scarlets
2021-10-22United Rugby ChampionshipScarlets 34–28 Benetton

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean: Scarlets 22.6 – Benetton 23.0; fixed team orientation regardless of venue.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

ScarletsW4, D2, L13

Retrieved United Rugby Championship sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (19 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-03 Dragons 38–26 Scarlets; 2026-09-26 Scarlets 15–21 Cardiff Rugby; 2026-05-16 Scarlets 35–35 Dragons; 2026-05-09 Ospreys 27–20 Scarlets; 2026-04-25 Scarlets 21–23 Bulls; 2026-04-18 Scarlets 24–28 Cardiff Rugby; 2026-03-27 Leinster 36–19 Scarlets; 2026-03-20 Scarlets 36–17 Zebre Parma; 2026-03-13 Connacht 31–14 Scarlets; 2026-02-27 Edinburgh 24–19 Scarlets; 2026-01-30 Benetton 20–20 Scarlets; 2026-01-24 Scarlets 27–22 Ulster; 2026-01-01 Dragons 28–5 Scarlets; 2025-12-26 Scarlets 19–26 Ospreys; 2025-12-19 Cardiff Rugby 17–21 Scarlets; 2025-11-29 Scarlets 23–0 Glasgow Warriors; 2025-10-25 Sharks 29–19 Scarlets; 2025-10-18 Lions 29–18 Scarlets; 2025-10-10 Scarlets 0–34 Stormers

The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Scarlets have no win in five, with a 35–35 draw against Dragons their only unbeaten result. The first two rounds were lost by six and 12; improving possession is more urgent than claiming a resurgence from returning names. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.

BenettonW5, D3, L10

Retrieved United Rugby Championship sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (18 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-02 Benetton 19–22 Connacht; 2026-09-25 Benetton 19–19 Dragons; 2026-05-16 Bulls 45–19 Benetton; 2026-05-09 Sharks 46–7 Benetton; 2026-04-25 Benetton 29–26 Leinster; 2026-04-18 Benetton 15–45 Munster; 2026-03-27 Glasgow Warriors 31–10 Benetton; 2026-03-21 Benetton 31–19 Ospreys; 2026-02-28 Dragons 15–15 Benetton; 2026-01-30 Benetton 20–20 Scarlets; 2026-01-24 Cardiff Rugby 17–8 Benetton; 2026-01-03 Benetton 14–15 Edinburgh; 2025-12-27 Zebre Parma 23–37 Benetton; 2025-12-20 Benetton 21–15 Zebre Parma; 2025-11-28 Ulster 47–13 Benetton; 2025-10-25 Benetton 16–31 Stormers; 2025-10-17 Edinburgh 43–0 Benetton; 2025-10-11 Benetton 41–15 Lions

The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Benetton drew 19–19 with Dragons and lost 22–19 to Connacht at home. Their previous two South African trips ended in heavy defeats, so the five-game aggregate partly reflects much harder travel than this fixture. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.

Team News
Scarlets

Scarlets XV

Hawkins makes his first start; Thomas and Evans return to the pack. Anderson and Johnny Williams return to the bench, alongside Gareth Davies and Roberts. Full selected XV and eight replacements verified from www.unitedrugby.com, announcement dated 2026-10-08, checked before the 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z evidence cutoff.

Forwards
1Kemsley Mathias
2Ryan Elias
3Henry Thomas
4Will Evans
5Alex Groves
6Sam Lousi
7Josh Macleod(c)
8Osian Williams
Backs
9Dane Blacker
10Sam Costelow
11Macs Page
12Joe Hawkins
13Eddie James
14Ellis Mee
15Blair Murray
Replacements
16John McKee
17Sam O’Connor
18Harri O’Connor
19Harvey Cuckson
20Fletcher Anderson
21Gareth Davies
22Joe Roberts
23Johnny Williams
Benetton

Benetton XV

Lamaro starts at eight, Ruzza at seven and Midena in the second row. Ferrari, Fa’aso’o and Jean Smith are among eight replacements. Full selected XV and eight replacements verified from www.unitedrugby.com, announcement dated 2026-10-08, checked before the 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z evidence cutoff.

Forwards
1Mirco Spagnolo
2Siua Maile
3Giosuè Zilocchi
4Niccolò Cannone
5Mattia Midena
6Giulio Marini
7Federico Ruzza
8Michele Lamaro(c)
Backs
9Alessandro Garbisi
10Jacob Umaga
11Onisi Ratave
12Leonardo Marin
13Francois Mey
14Louis Lynagh
15Matt Gallagher
Replacements
16Bautista Bernasconi
17Matias Medrano
18Simone Ferrari
19Sootala Fa’aso’o
20Jadin Kingi
21Louis Werchon
22Jean Smith
23Federico Zanandrea
Tactical

Key Matchups

Front row
Kemsley Mathias / Ryan Elias / Henry Thomas
Close
Mirco Spagnolo / Siua Maile / Giosuè Zilocchi
Locks
Will Evans / Alex Groves
Close
Niccolò Cannone / Mattia Midena
Back row
Sam Lousi / Josh Macleod / Osian Williams
Close
Giulio Marini / Federico Ruzza / Michele Lamaro
Halfbacks
Dane Blacker / Sam Costelow
Close
Alessandro Garbisi / Jacob Umaga
Centres
Joe Hawkins / Eddie James
Close
Leonardo Marin / Francois Mey
Back three
Macs Page / Ellis Mee / Blair Murray
Close
Onisi Ratave / Louis Lynagh / Matt Gallagher

The starting midfield contest is Hawkins and James against Marin and Mey. Scarlets’ experienced back replacements give them a late route, but Benetton’s Ferrari cover and Umaga’s control can keep the game within the tight historical pattern. Starting-unit edges are qualified selection judgments; they are not retrieved scrum, lineout or player-performance measurements. Scarlets can bring Gareth Davies, Roberts and Johnny Williams into the backline, with Anderson returning in the pack. Benetton answer with Ferrari and Fa’aso’o but have a reshuffled starting back row; a modest home depth lean is about usable cover, not an injury count.

Prediction Scorecard
← Benetton edgeScarlets edge →
Home advantage
+2
Form
0
H2H record
0
Squad strength
+1
Set piece
0
Backline quality
0
Standings gap
0
Net Score+3
Projection
Scarlets 71% · SCA 29 – BEN 23
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreSCA 29 – BEN 23
Win ProbabilityScarlets 71%
Predicted Margin1–11 pts

Scarlets by 6 is the rounded house-model lean. Scarlets’ Davies–Roberts–Williams replacement options offer a current route to a narrow home finish. The seven scores total 3, giving a 71% displayed home probability.

Benetton lost to Connacht by only three and held Dragons to a draw. Neither side has won this season; the overall evidence does little to justify a decisive Scarlets advantage. The scoring projection uses a 51.2-point mean from the two dated five-match samples, rounded to 52 for an integer 6-point difference. The 1–11 band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.

Scarlets by 6.

Facts & Stats
117–144

Scarlets points for–against across the five listed form games.

93–158

Benetton points for–against across the five listed form games.

2–2–1

Home-side wins, draws, away-side wins in the 5-meeting scoped sample.

3

Seven-dimension score from the home perspective before the legacy intercept.