URC 2025/26URC 2025/26 · Round 2 (Rescheduled)
Edinburgh

Edinburgh

v
Ulster

Ulster

Friday 13 March 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Hive Stadium, Edinburgh
Tournament

Championship Standings

Ulster sit 6th on 36 points — locked in a tight battle for a home playoff quarter-final. Edinburgh are 12th on 23 points, mathematically alive but realistically fighting to avoid a bottom-four finish.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
1
Glasgow WarriorsGlasgow Warriors
1293+15045
2
LeinsterLeinster
1284+6741
3
CardiffCardiff
1284+3540
4
MunsterMunster
1284+1539
5
StormersStormers
1082+11336
6
UlsterUlster
1174+8336
7
LionsLions
1174−2033
8
BullsBulls
1165+530
9
OspreysOspreys
1255−1329
10
ConnachtConnacht
1147−2125
11
SharksSharks
1045−3624
12
EdinburghEdinburgh
1147+623
13
BenettonBenetton
1247−6523
14
DragonsDragons
1237−5020
15
ScarletsScarlets
1137−7116
16
ZebreZebre
1129−15412
2026 Form

Edinburgh

W2, L3
WR12: Edinburgh v Scarlets (H)24–19+5
LR11: Leinster v Edinburgh (A)28–20−8
LR10: Edinburgh v Bulls (H)17–19−2
WR9: Benetton v Edinburgh (A)14–15+1
LR8: Edinburgh v Glasgow (H)3–21−18
PF 79PA 101
-22 PD

Edinburgh’s form reads like a team that can compete but can’t consistently close. The 3–21 1872 Cup humiliation against Glasgow at home was the nadir — and they followed it up by losing 17–19 to the Bulls in another home fixture. The scrappy wins over Benetton (15–14 away) and Scarlets (24–19) suggest a side that grinds rather than dominates.

Ulster

W3, L2
2W streak
LR12: Ospreys v Ulster (A)21–10−11
WR11: Ulster v Cardiff (H)21–14+7
LR10: Scarlets v Ulster (A)27–22−5
WR9: Ulster v Munster (H)28–3+25
WR8: Connacht v Ulster (A)24–29+5
PF 104PA 92
+12 PD

Ulster have been one of the form teams in the URC — 7 wins from 11 and sitting 6th. The 28–3 demolition of Munster was a season highlight. But the Ospreys defeat a fortnight ago was a reality check, and tonight’s squad has been weakened by seven changes due to Six Nations call-ups. The question is whether this second-string side can maintain the momentum.

History

Head-to-Head in Edinburgh

7 – 0 – 10

Edinburgh wins · Draws · Ulster wins (17 meetings at this venue)

EdinburghEdinburgh (7)
(10) UlsterUlster
7W
10W

Ulster have historically dominated this fixture — winning 10 of 17 meetings in Edinburgh and 22 of 32 overall. But the tide has turned: Edinburgh won the most recent meeting 47–17 in May 2025, and before that won 27–24 away in Belfast. Two straight Edinburgh wins after years of Ulster dominance.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
May 2025URCEdinburgh 47–17 Ulster
Dec 2023URCUlster 24–27 Edinburgh
Apr 2023URCUlster 28–14 Edinburgh
Apr 2022URCEdinburgh 10–16 Ulster
Jun 2021Pro14Edinburgh 31–34 Ulster
Nov 2020Pro14Edinburgh 14–43 Ulster

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Edinburgh 24 – Ulster 27 in the last six meetings. Ulster won 4 of 6, but Edinburgh have won the last 2 — including a 47–17 thrashing at Hive Stadium.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Edinburgh6W, 9L

Wins: Scarlets (24–19, URC), Gloucester (26–24, EPCR), Benetton (×2: 15–14 away, 43–0 home), Toulon (33–20, EPCR), Ospreys (19–17). Losses: Leinster (20–28), Bulls (17–19), Bath (10–63, EPCR), Glasgow (×2: 3–21, 12–24), Castres (0–33, EPCR), Cardiff (19–20), Munster (19–20), Zebre (28–31).

Edinburgh blow hot and cold. Their home record against lesser opposition is solid — 43–0 against Benetton, 33–20 against Toulon — but they crumble against top sides. The back-to-back 1872 Cup defeats to Glasgow (3–21 and 12–24) and the 10–63 demolition at Bath were season low points.

Ulster10W, 5L

Wins: Cardiff (21–14), Stade Français (26–19, EPCR), Cheetahs (28–0, EPCR), Munster (28–3), Connacht (29–24), Racing 92 (61–7, EPCR), Benetton (47–13), Sharks (34–26), Bulls (28–7), Dragons (42–21). Losses: Ospreys (10–21), Scarlets (22–27), Leinster (20–24), Cardiff (26–29), Lions (31–49).

Ulster’s record speaks to a squad with genuine top-four quality when at full strength. The 28–3 Munster demolition and the 61–7 European rout of Racing 92 are benchmark performances. All five defeats came against quality opposition or on SA tours. The concern tonight is the enforced seven changes — a significantly weakened squad.

Team News
Edinburgh

Edinburgh XV

Dylan Richardson shifts to hooker for his first start in the position. Liam McConnell returns from a rib injury at blindside flanker, bolstering a backrow alongside Connor Boyle — continuing his comeback from a long-term knee injury — and Ben Muncaster at No. 8. Ben Vellacott captains from scrum-half behind a reshuffled forward pack.

Forwards
1Boan Venter
2Dylan Richardson
3Angus Williams
4Marshall Sykes
5Glen Young
6Liam McConnell
7Connor Boyle
8Ben Muncaster
Backs
15Harry Paterson
14Malelili Satala
13Piers O’Conor
12Mosese Tuipulotu
11Wes Goosen
10Ross Thompson
9Ben Vellacott(c)
Replacements
16Harri Morris
17James Whitcombe
18Ollie Blyth-Lafferty
19Callum Hunter-Hill
20Tom Currie
21Charlie Shiel
22Cammy Scott
23Jack Brown
Ulster

Ulster XV

Seven changes from the Ospreys defeat — the cost of Six Nations involvement. Rob Herring’s 200+ caps of experience anchors a new-look front row with Angus Bell and Tom McAllister. Juarno Augustus returns from an ankle injury to form a fearsome backrow alongside Cormac Izuchukwu. Michael Lowry at fullback is the main attacking threat in an otherwise rotated backline. Murphy opts for a 5:3 bench split.

Forwards
1Angus Bell
2Rob Herring
3Tom McAllister
4Harry Sheridan
5Charlie Irvine
6Cormac Izuchukwu
7Bryn Ward
8Juarno Augustus
Backs
15Michael Lowry
14Werner Kok
13James Hume
12Jude Postlethwaite
11Zac Ward
10Jack Murphy
9David Shanahan
Replacements
16James McCormick
17Sam Crean
18Scott Wilson
19Joe Hopes
20David McCann
21Conor McKee
22Jake Flannery
23Ben Carson
Tactical

Key Matchups

Backrow
McConnell / Boyle / Muncaster
Ulster
Izuchukwu / B. Ward / Augustus
Halfbacks
Vellacott / Thompson
Edinburgh
Shanahan / J. Murphy
Centres
Tuipulotu / O’Conor
Close
Postlethwaite / Hume
Back Three
Paterson / Satala / Goosen
Ulster
Lowry / Kok / Z. Ward
Scrum
Venter / Richardson / Williams
Close
Bell / Herring / McAllister
Lineout
Sykes / Young
Close
Sheridan / Irvine

Ulster’s backrow is the headline matchup — Augustus and Izuchukwu bring ferocious carrying power that Edinburgh’s returning Boyle and McConnell will struggle to contain. Lowry at fullback and Kok on the wing give Ulster a back-three advantage in finishing quality. But Edinburgh hold the edge at half-back: Thompson and Vellacott are the more established pairing, and the Hive Stadium crowd should give them a platform. The midfield battle between Tuipulotu and Hume could be decisive.

Prediction Scorecard
Ulster edgeEdinburgh edge →
Home Advantage
+2
Form
-1
H2H Record
-1
Squad Strength
-2
Set Piece
0
Backline Quality
-1
Standings Gap
-2
Net Score-5
Projection
Ulster 58% · EDI 18 – ULS 24
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreEDI 18 – ULS 24
Win ProbabilityUlster 58%
Predicted Margin3–8 pts

Ulster should edge this, but it’s far from a foregone conclusion. Their squad has been gutted by seven changes for Six Nations duty, and Edinburgh — for all their inconsistency — beat Scarlets last time out and have won the last two meetings against Ulster, including a 47–17 demolition at this ground in May. The Hive Stadium is not an easy place to win.

The difference-makers are Ulster’s backrow — Augustus, Izuchukwu and Bryn Ward offer serious physicality — and Michael Lowry’s ability to conjure something from nothing at fullback. Edinburgh’s defence has been tight recently (24–19 and 17–19 in their last two home URC games) but they struggle to score. If Thompson can’t unlock the Ulster defence, the visitors’ class should tell in the final quarter.

Ulster to grind out a narrow win — but Edinburgh’s recent record against them makes this a genuine contest.