URC 2026/27URC 2026/27 · Round 3
Bulls

Bulls

v
Lions

Lions

Saturday 10 October 2026 · 1:30 PM SAST
Loftus Versfeld, Pretoria
Tournament

Championship Standings

Shared SofaScore total URC 2026/27 standings after 2 games per side: Bulls 7th on 6, Lions 3rd on 9. The table repeats the form results, so its dimension stays zero.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
United Rugby Championship 26/27
1
SharksSharks
220+2310
2
Cardiff RugbyCardiff Rugby
220+199
3
LionsLions
220+179
4
EdinburghEdinburgh
220+99
5
Glasgow WarriorsGlasgow Warriors
210+68
6
DragonsDragons
210+127
7
BullsBulls
211+306
8
StormersStormers
211+106
9
MunsterMunster
211-26
10
ConnachtConnacht
211-115
11
UlsterUlster
201-55
12
BenettonBenetton
201-33
13
LeinsterLeinster
202-73
14
ScarletsScarlets
202-182
15
OspreysOspreys
202-331
16
Zebre ParmaZebre Parma
202-471
2026 Form

Bulls

W3, D0, L2
2W streak
L2026-10-03: Munster v Bulls (A)26–22-4
W2026-09-26: Zebre Parma v Bulls (A)13–47+34
L2026-06-19: Leinster v Bulls (A)36–7-29
W2026-06-06: Glasgow Warriors v Bulls (A)21–22+1
W2026-05-30: Bulls v Munster (H)45–14+31
PF 143PA 110
+33 PD

Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-05-30–2026-10-03; 143 points for and 110 against. Bulls followed 47–13 at Zebre with a 26–22 defeat at Munster. Their five include a final defeat and a one-point win in Glasgow, so the sample is stronger than a raw three-win count suggests. The window crosses the off-season; current personnel are assessed separately.

Lions

W2, D0, L3
3L streak
W2026-10-03: Lions v Ospreys (H)35–19+16
W2026-09-26: Lions v Leinster (H)27–26+1
L2026-05-30: Leinster v Lions (A)59–10-49
L2026-05-16: Munster v Lions (A)24–17-7
L2026-05-09: Leinster v Lions (A)31–7-24
PF 96PA 159
-63 PD

Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-05-09–2026-10-03; 96 points for and 159 against. Lions beat Leinster 27–26 and Ospreys 35–19, both at home. They lost their three previous retrieved away games by 24, seven and 49; the new 2–0 start has yet to be tested on the road. The window crosses the off-season; current personnel are assessed separately.

History

Head-to-head: verified recent sample

5 – 0 – 1

Bulls wins · Draws · Lions wins; 6 same-competition meetings, all venues, 2024-01-27–2026-01-31

BullsBulls (5)
(1) LionsLions
5W
1W

Bulls have won five of six, including 52–17 at Ellis Park in January. Lions won 43–33 at Loftus last November, a direct warning against calling this ground impregnable. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
2026-01-31United Rugby ChampionshipLions 17–52 Bulls
2025-11-29United Rugby ChampionshipBulls 33–43 Lions
2025-02-22United Rugby ChampionshipBulls 31–19 Lions
2025-01-25United Rugby ChampionshipLions 22–35 Bulls
2024-02-17United Rugby ChampionshipLions 10–25 Bulls
2024-01-27United Rugby ChampionshipBulls 30–28 Lions

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean: Bulls 34.3 – Lions 23.2; fixed team orientation regardless of venue.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

BullsW13, D0, L8

Retrieved United Rugby Championship sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (21 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-03 Munster 26–22 Bulls; 2026-09-26 Zebre Parma 13–47 Bulls; 2026-06-19 Leinster 36–7 Bulls; 2026-06-06 Glasgow Warriors 21–22 Bulls; 2026-05-30 Bulls 45–14 Munster; 2026-05-16 Bulls 45–19 Benetton; 2026-05-09 Bulls 54–19 Zebre Parma; 2026-04-25 Scarlets 21–23 Bulls; 2026-04-17 Dragons 7–47 Bulls; 2026-03-28 Bulls 34–31 Munster; 2026-03-20 Bulls 40–7 Cardiff Rugby; 2026-03-14 Bulls 19–32 Stormers; 2026-02-28 Bulls 41–12 Sharks; 2026-01-31 Lions 17–52 Bulls; 2026-01-23 Edinburgh 17–19 Bulls; 2026-01-03 Stormers 13–8 Bulls; 2025-12-20 Sharks 21–12 Bulls; 2025-11-29 Bulls 33–43 Lions; 2025-10-24 Glasgow Warriors 21–12 Bulls; 2025-10-17 Connacht 27–28 Bulls; 2025-10-11 Ulster 28–7 Bulls

The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Bulls followed 47–13 at Zebre with a 26–22 defeat at Munster. Their five include a final defeat and a one-point win in Glasgow, so the sample is stronger than a raw three-win count suggests. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.

LionsW12, D1, L6

Retrieved United Rugby Championship sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (19 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-03 Lions 35–19 Ospreys; 2026-09-26 Lions 27–26 Leinster; 2026-05-30 Leinster 59–10 Lions; 2026-05-16 Munster 24–17 Lions; 2026-05-09 Leinster 31–7 Lions; 2026-04-25 Lions 33–21 Connacht; 2026-04-18 Lions 54–12 Glasgow Warriors; 2026-03-28 Lions 42–26 Dragons; 2026-03-21 Lions 54–17 Edinburgh; 2026-02-28 Lions 24–10 Stormers; 2026-02-21 Lions 34–22 Sharks; 2026-01-31 Lions 17–52 Bulls; 2026-01-23 Ospreys 24–24 Lions; 2026-01-03 Sharks 22–23 Lions; 2025-12-20 Stormers 34–27 Lions; 2025-11-29 Bulls 33–43 Lions; 2025-10-25 Lions 49–31 Ulster; 2025-10-18 Lions 29–18 Scarlets; 2025-10-11 Benetton 41–15 Lions

The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Lions beat Leinster 27–26 and Ospreys 35–19, both at home. They lost their three previous retrieved away games by 24, seven and 49; the new 2–0 start has yet to be tested on the road. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.

Team News
Bulls

Bulls XV

Le Roux and Moodie start; Liebenberg captains. Pollard, Wiese and Louw are among eight replacements. URC lists van Staden first among the replacements; conventional 16–23 list order is retained pending any official correction. Full selected XV and eight replacements verified from www.unitedrugby.com, announcement dated 2026-10-08, checked before the 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z evidence cutoff.

Forwards
1Gerhard Steenekamp
2Johan Grobbelaar
3Francois Klopper
4Ruan Vermaak
5JF van Heerden
6Jeandre Rudolph
7Hanro Liebenberg(c)
8Cameron Hanekom
Backs
9Paul de Wet
10Curwin Bosch
11Sebastian de Klerk
12Harold Vorster
13Stedman Gans
14Canan Moodie
15Willie le Roux
Replacements
16Marco van Staden
17Alu Tshakweni
18Khutha Mchunu
19Cobus Wiese
20Elrigh Louw
21Keagan Johannes
22Handre Pollard
23Cheswill Jooste
Lions

Lions XV

Van den Berg partners Smith; Francke Horne captains. Du Preez, Mahashe and Chamberlain are among a six-forward bench. Full selected XV and eight replacements verified from www.unitedrugby.com, announcement dated 2026-10-08, checked before the 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z evidence cutoff.

Forwards
1Boan Venter
2PJ Botha
3Sebastian Lombard
4Dylan Sjoblom
5Hyron Andrews
6JC Pretorius
7Siba Qoma
8Francke Horne(c)
Backs
9Morne van den Berg
10Chris Smith
11Richard Kriel
12Henco van Wyk
13Ethan Adams
14Kelly Mpeku
15Quan Horn
Replacements
16Morne Brandon
17SJ Kotze
18RF Schoeman
19JP du Preez
20Batho Hlekani
21Siba Mahashe
22Nico Steyn
23Boeta Chamberlain
Tactical

Key Matchups

Front row
Gerhard Steenekamp / Johan Grobbelaar / Francois Klopper
Bulls
Boan Venter / PJ Botha / Sebastian Lombard
Locks
Ruan Vermaak / JF van Heerden
Close
Dylan Sjoblom / Hyron Andrews
Back row
Jeandre Rudolph / Hanro Liebenberg / Cameron Hanekom
Close
JC Pretorius / Siba Qoma / Francke Horne
Halfbacks
Paul de Wet / Curwin Bosch
Close
Morne van den Berg / Chris Smith
Centres
Harold Vorster / Stedman Gans
Close
Henco van Wyk / Ethan Adams
Back three
Sebastian de Klerk / Canan Moodie / Willie le Roux
Bulls
Richard Kriel / Kelly Mpeku / Quan Horn

Bulls need their selected front row to produce clean possession for Bosch without forcing the game. The final quarter is the key depth comparison: Pollard, Wiese and Louw against Chamberlain, du Preez and the Lions’ extra forwards. Starting-unit edges are qualified selection judgments; they are not retrieved scrum, lineout or player-performance measurements. Pollard, Wiese and Louw give Bulls substantial late-game control and carrying options. Lions have du Preez and Chamberlain in a six-forward bench; the Bulls’ depth lean is about those later roles rather than counting Springboks.

Prediction Scorecard
← Lions edgeBulls edge →
Home advantage
+2
Form
0
H2H record
+2
Squad strength
+2
Set piece
+1
Backline quality
+1
Standings gap
0
Net Score+8
Projection
Bulls 79% · BUL 31 – LIO 21
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreBUL 31 – LIO 21
Win ProbabilityBulls 79%
Predicted Margin5–15 pts

Bulls by 10 is the rounded house-model lean. Bulls’ five wins in six, stronger recent away opposition and Pollard-led replacement control support the home call. The seven scores total 8, giving a 79% displayed home probability.

Lions are 2–0 and won at Loftus in the latest retrieved visit. Their stable van den Berg–Smith axis can turn the Bulls’ returnees into a cohesion problem rather than an automatic improvement. The scoring projection uses a 50.8-point mean from the two dated five-match samples, rounded to 52 for an integer 10-point difference. The 5–15 band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.

Bulls by 10.

Facts & Stats
143–110

Bulls points for–against across the five listed form games.

96–159

Lions points for–against across the five listed form games.

5–0–1

Home-side wins, draws, away-side wins in the 6-meeting scoped sample.

8

Seven-dimension score from the home perspective before the legacy intercept.