Top 14 2026/27 · Round 4
Stade Toulousain
Montpellier
Stade Ernest-Wallon, Toulouse
Championship Standings
After three rounds, Stade Toulousain are 2nd on 10 points and Montpellier 5th on 9. Official Castres table checked 25 September; Bordeaux’s win count is reconciled with their three verified results. The small sample limits its predictive weight.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | +47 | 14 |
| 2 |  Stade Toulousain | 3 | 2 | 1 | +39 | 10 |
| 3 |  Bordeaux-Bègles | 3 | 2 | 1 | +53 | 10 |
| 4 |  Section Paloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 9 |
| 5 |  Montpellier | 3 | 2 | 1 | +43 | 9 |
| 6 |  Bayonne | 3 | 2 | 1 | -19 | 9 |
| 7 |  Castres Olympique | 3 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Stade Rochelais | 3 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 |  Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | -17 | 5 |
| 10 |  USA Perpignan | 3 | 1 | 2 | -25 | 5 |
| 11 |  Stade Francais Paris | 3 | 1 | 2 | -37 | 4 |
| 12 |  Racing 92 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -66 | 4 |
| 13 |  RC Toulonnais | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 |  Vannes | 3 | 0 | 3 | -29 | 0 |
Stade Toulousain
W2, D0, L1Top 14 only: 3 completed matches, 2026-09-06 to 2026-09-19; 104 points for and 65 against. Toulouse responded to a three-point loss at La Rochelle with 48–12 over Bordeaux and 29–23 against Vannes. The latter was competitive throughout, so the Bordeaux rout should not set the expected margin by itself.
Montpellier
W2, D0, L1Top 14 only: 3 completed matches, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-19; 95 points for and 52 against. Montpellier beat Vannes away and Perpignan 50–13 at home after losing to Pau. Those are good results, but this is a stronger opponent than either side they have beaten.
Head-to-head: retrieved recent sample
5 – 0 – 1
Stade Toulousain wins · Draws · Montpellier wins; 6 Top 14 meetings, all venues, 2024-05-18–2026-06-27
Stade Toulousain (5)
Toulouse won the June final 28–20 on neutral ground and the March home league match 45–29. Montpellier’s 44–14 home win last September prevents treating the rivalry as inevitable. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.
Recent Results
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Top 14 | Stade Toulousain 28–20 Montpellier |
| 2026-03-28 | Top 14 | Stade Toulousain 45–29 Montpellier |
| 2025-09-20 | Top 14 | Montpellier 44–14 Stade Toulousain |
| 2025-01-25 | Top 14 | Stade Toulousain 27–17 Montpellier |
| 2024-09-21 | Top 14 | Montpellier 11–20 Stade Toulousain |
| 2024-05-18 | Top 14 | Montpellier 22–29 Stade Toulousain |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean, rounded: Stade Toulousain 27.2 – Montpellier 23.8. Team orientation is fixed regardless of venue.
Extended Form
Stade ToulousainW20, D0, L8
Retrieved Top 14 sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (28 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-19 Vannes 23–29 Stade Toulousain; 2026-09-13 Stade Toulousain 48–12 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-09-06 Stade Rochelais 30–27 Stade Toulousain; 2026-06-27 Stade Toulousain 28–20 Montpellier; 2026-06-19 Stade Toulousain 71–17 Racing 92; 2026-06-06 Racing 92 31–20 Stade Toulousain; 2026-05-30 Stade Toulousain 39–31 Lyon; 2026-05-17 Stade Rochelais 38–10 Stade Toulousain; 2026-05-09 RC Toulonnais 27–51 Stade Toulousain; 2026-04-26 Stade Toulousain 24–27 Clermont; 2026-04-18 Castres Olympique 25–42 Stade Toulousain; 2026-03-28 Stade Toulousain 45–29 Montpellier; 2026-03-22 Bordeaux-Bègles 44–20 Stade Toulousain; 2026-02-28 Stade Toulousain 68–13 Montauban; 2026-02-15 Stade Francais Paris 9–13 Stade Toulousain; 2026-01-31 Stade Toulousain 31–10 Bayonne; 2026-01-24 Stade Toulousain 59–22 Section Paloise; 2026-01-03 USA Perpignan 30–27 Stade Toulousain; 2025-12-28 Stade Toulousain 60–14 Stade Rochelais; 2025-12-20 Lyon 19–41 Stade Toulousain; 2025-11-29 Stade Toulousain 48–24 Racing 92; 2025-11-22 Montauban 7–49 Stade Toulousain; 2025-11-01 Stade Toulousain 29–17 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-10-26 Stade Toulousain 59–24 RC Toulonnais; 2025-10-18 Section Paloise 30–26 Stade Toulousain; 2025-10-12 Stade Toulousain 56–13 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-10-05 Bayonne 40–26 Stade Toulousain; 2025-09-27 Stade Toulousain 59–12 Castres Olympique
Only Top 14 results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Toulouse responded to a three-point loss at La Rochelle with 48–12 over Bordeaux and 29–23 against Vannes. The latter was competitive throughout, so the Bordeaux rout should not set the expected margin by itself.
MontpellierW19, D1, L8
Retrieved Top 14 sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (28 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-19 Montpellier 50–13 USA Perpignan; 2026-09-12 Vannes 12–26 Montpellier; 2026-09-05 Montpellier 19–27 Section Paloise; 2026-06-27 Stade Toulousain 28–20 Montpellier; 2026-06-20 Montpellier 25–15 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-06-06 Lyon 25–28 Montpellier; 2026-05-30 Montpellier 26–18 Section Paloise; 2026-05-16 Castres Olympique 33–36 Montpellier; 2026-05-09 Montpellier 59–7 Montauban; 2026-04-25 Bordeaux-Bègles 21–23 Montpellier; 2026-04-18 Montpellier 42–31 USA Perpignan; 2026-03-28 Stade Toulousain 45–29 Montpellier; 2026-03-21 Clermont 17–20 Montpellier; 2026-02-28 Montpellier 41–17 Racing 92; 2026-02-14 Stade Rochelais 33–43 Montpellier; 2026-01-31 Montpellier 44–7 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-01-25 RC Toulonnais 30–27 Montpellier; 2026-01-03 Montpellier 62–22 Bayonne; 2025-12-28 Section Paloise 35–33 Montpellier; 2025-12-20 Montpellier 33–31 Castres Olympique; 2025-11-29 Montpellier 28–24 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-11-22 USA Perpignan 0–28 Montpellier; 2025-11-01 Montpellier 7–9 Clermont; 2025-10-25 Stade Francais Paris 35–12 Montpellier; 2025-10-18 Montpellier 35–13 Lyon; 2025-10-11 Racing 92 32–25 Montpellier; 2025-10-04 Montpellier 37–13 Stade Rochelais; 2025-09-27 Montauban 22–22 Montpellier
Only Top 14 results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Montpellier beat Vannes away and Perpignan 50–13 at home after losing to Pau. Those are good results, but this is a stronger opponent than either side they have beaten.
Stade Toulousain XV
Unverified as of 2026-09-25T05:50:21.360Z. Checked https://www.stadetoulousain.fr/, Flashscore match details (empty), and focused searches for both teams and this fixture date, including LNR match coverage. No authoritative match-day XV was verified; squad lists and predicted selections are not presented as the team.
Montpellier XV
Unverified as of 2026-09-25T05:50:21.360Z. Checked https://www.montpellier-rugby.com/, Flashscore match details (empty), and focused searches for both teams and this fixture date, including LNR match coverage. No authoritative match-day XV was verified; squad lists and predicted selections are not presented as the team.
Key Matchups
Toulouse need to make Montpellier defend successive changes in field position instead of letting their pack settle. Montpellier’s route is to build the pressure that has kept their opening three concessions to 52. Exact halfback and front-row comparisons remain ungraded without confirmed selections. “Close” on an unverified pairing means ungraded, not proven equality.
Match Forecast
Toulouse are the home pick on opponent-adjusted form and five wins in the last six meetings. The table gap is only one point and adds nothing to that case. The expected margin is restrained for two sides that met in June’s final.
Montpellier have conceded fewer points this season and arrive after a convincing win. The 44–14 result last September also shows they can overturn the apparent hierarchy. Team sheets remain unverified, so the personnel comparison is still incomplete. The margin band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.
Stade Toulousain by 8 — a provisional call pending verified selections.
Stade Toulousain points for–against in the 3-match Top 14 form window.
Montpellier points for–against in the 3-match Top 14 form window.
Stade Toulousain wins–draws–Montpellier wins in the explicitly scoped H2H sample.
Seven-dimension house score from the home perspective; positive favours the home team before the model intercept.