

Shared SofaScore total Top 14 2026/27 standings after 5 games per side: Stade Toulousain 1st on 19, Bayonne 3rd on 17. The table repeats the form results, so its dimension stays zero. Paris and Racing are tied on ten points; LNR orders that tie differently, so the same SofaScore table is retained throughout.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Top 14 26/27 | ||||||
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +62 | 19 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +49 | 18 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | -13 | 17 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +63 | 15 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +49 | 14 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 14 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | -3 | 13 | |
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | -28 | 10 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | -39 | 10 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | -19 | 10 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | -42 | 9 | |
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 3 | -18 | 9 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | -14 | 8 | |
| 14 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -50 | 1 | |
Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-09-06–2026-10-03; 152 points for and 90 against. Toulouse won 48–12 over Bordeaux and 40–18 over Montpellier at home, then survived 8–7 at Castres. Four wins and only 90 conceded supply a stronger defensive foundation than a claim that the attack always runs freely.
Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-09-05–2026-10-03; 156 points for and 169 against. Bayonne have also won four of five, including 20–17 at Racing and 35–32 over Paris. Their 70–28 defeat at Pau explains much of the defensive aggregate; excluding it entirely would hide a relevant away vulnerability.
4 – 0 – 2
Stade Toulousain wins · Draws · Bayonne wins; 6 same-competition meetings, all venues, 2024-02-03–2026-01-31
Toulouse won four of six, including 31–10 here in January and 32–25 in a neutral semi-final. Bayonne’s 40–26 home win last October is an important counterexample rather than evidence for an away stranglehold. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Top 14 | Stade Toulousain 31–10 Bayonne |
| 2025-10-05 | Top 14 | Bayonne 40–26 Stade Toulousain |
| 2025-06-20 | Top 14 | Stade Toulousain 32–25 Bayonne |
| 2025-02-22 | Top 14 | Stade Toulousain 41–6 Bayonne |
| 2024-11-03 | Top 14 | Bayonne 12–8 Stade Toulousain |
| 2024-02-03 | Top 14 | Stade Toulousain 46–26 Bayonne |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean: Stade Toulousain 30.7 – Bayonne 19.8; fixed team orientation regardless of venue.
Retrieved Top 14 sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (28 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-03 Castres Olympique 7–8 Stade Toulousain; 2026-09-27 Stade Toulousain 40–18 Montpellier; 2026-09-19 Vannes 23–29 Stade Toulousain; 2026-09-13 Stade Toulousain 48–12 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-09-06 Stade Rochelais 30–27 Stade Toulousain; 2026-06-27 Stade Toulousain 28–20 Montpellier; 2026-06-19 Stade Toulousain 71–17 Racing 92; 2026-06-06 Racing 92 31–20 Stade Toulousain; 2026-05-30 Stade Toulousain 39–31 Lyon; 2026-05-17 Stade Rochelais 38–10 Stade Toulousain; 2026-05-09 RC Toulonnais 27–51 Stade Toulousain; 2026-04-26 Stade Toulousain 24–27 Clermont; 2026-04-18 Castres Olympique 25–42 Stade Toulousain; 2026-03-28 Stade Toulousain 45–29 Montpellier; 2026-03-22 Bordeaux-Bègles 44–20 Stade Toulousain; 2026-02-28 Stade Toulousain 68–13 Montauban; 2026-02-15 Stade Francais Paris 9–13 Stade Toulousain; 2026-01-31 Stade Toulousain 31–10 Bayonne; 2026-01-24 Stade Toulousain 59–22 Section Paloise; 2026-01-03 USA Perpignan 30–27 Stade Toulousain; 2025-12-28 Stade Toulousain 60–14 Stade Rochelais; 2025-12-20 Lyon 19–41 Stade Toulousain; 2025-11-29 Stade Toulousain 48–24 Racing 92; 2025-11-22 Montauban 7–49 Stade Toulousain; 2025-11-01 Stade Toulousain 29–17 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-10-26 Stade Toulousain 59–24 RC Toulonnais; 2025-10-18 Section Paloise 30–26 Stade Toulousain; 2025-10-12 Stade Toulousain 56–13 Bordeaux-Bègles
The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Toulouse won 48–12 over Bordeaux and 40–18 over Montpellier at home, then survived 8–7 at Castres. Four wins and only 90 conceded supply a stronger defensive foundation than a claim that the attack always runs freely. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.
Retrieved Top 14 sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (26 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-03 Bayonne 35–32 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-09-26 Racing 92 17–20 Bayonne; 2026-09-19 Bayonne 46–24 Clermont; 2026-09-12 Section Paloise 70–28 Bayonne; 2026-09-05 Bayonne 27–26 RC Toulonnais; 2026-06-06 Bayonne 52–7 USA Perpignan; 2026-05-30 Stade Francais Paris 38–21 Bayonne; 2026-05-16 Lyon 42–35 Bayonne; 2026-05-09 Bayonne 38–40 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-04-25 RC Toulonnais 52–26 Bayonne; 2026-04-18 Bayonne 22–54 Section Paloise; 2026-03-28 Bayonne 26–15 Stade Rochelais; 2026-03-21 Montauban 26–60 Bayonne; 2026-02-28 Clermont 38–15 Bayonne; 2026-02-14 Bayonne 36–41 Racing 92; 2026-01-31 Stade Toulousain 31–10 Bayonne; 2026-01-24 Bayonne 10–13 Castres Olympique; 2026-01-03 Montpellier 62–22 Bayonne; 2025-12-27 Bayonne 35–34 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-12-20 Stade Rochelais 49–17 Bayonne; 2025-11-29 Bayonne 22–20 Lyon; 2025-11-22 Racing 92 47–27 Bayonne; 2025-11-01 Bayonne 49–7 Montauban; 2025-10-25 Bordeaux-Bègles 41–12 Bayonne; 2025-10-18 Bayonne 44–17 Clermont; 2025-10-11 Section Paloise 47–24 Bayonne
The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Bayonne have also won four of five, including 20–17 at Racing and 35–32 over Paris. Their 70–28 defeat at Pau explains much of the defensive aggregate; excluding it entirely would hide a relevant away vulnerability. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.
Unverified as of 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z. Checked www.stadetoulousain.fr, a focused Stade Toulousain v Bayonne selection search for 2026-10-11, and the official LNR match sheet (no compositions available). No complete current XV and bench was verified; arrays remain empty. Personnel dimensions are ungraded, so this provisional team-level call may change.
Unverified as of 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z. Checked www.abrugby.fr, a focused Stade Toulousain v Bayonne selection search for 2026-10-11, and the official LNR match sheet (no compositions available). No complete current XV and bench was verified; arrays remain empty. Personnel dimensions are ungraded, so this provisional team-level call may change.
Bayonne’s away win at Racing keeps this competitive, but Toulouse’s home scoring and defensive aggregate are better balanced. The 8–7 Castres result shows the total can fall sharply when the contest becomes territorial; confirmed selections remain material. All six displayed unit edges are ungraded placeholders; “close” does not mean the unknown selections are equal.
Toulouse by 6 is the rounded house-model lean. Toulouse’s two substantial home wins and league-leading 90 conceded support the home choice against another 4–1 side. The seven scores total 4, giving a 73% displayed home probability.
Bayonne are 4–1, have won at Racing and beat Toulouse last October. Current international availability is unverified, so the result-based lean cannot be presented as a full-strength matchup. Both current XVs and replacement benches remain unverified; depth, set piece and backline scores are ungraded zeros, so this team-level lean can change. The scoring projection uses a 56.7-point mean from the two dated five-match samples, rounded to 58 for an integer 6-point difference. The 1–11 band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.
Provisional — Stade Toulousain by 6 — current XVs and benches unverified.
Stade Toulousain points for–against across the five listed form games.
Bayonne points for–against across the five listed form games.
Home-side wins, draws, away-side wins in the 6-meeting scoped sample.
Seven-dimension score from the home perspective before the legacy intercept.