Top 14 2026/27Top 14 2026/27 · Round 6
Stade Toulousain

Stade Toulousain

v
Bayonne

Bayonne

Sunday 11 October 2026 · 9:05 PM CEST
Stade Ernest Wallon, Toulouse
Tournament

Championship Standings

Shared SofaScore total Top 14 2026/27 standings after 5 games per side: Stade Toulousain 1st on 19, Bayonne 3rd on 17. The table repeats the form results, so its dimension stays zero. Paris and Racing are tied on ten points; LNR orders that tie differently, so the same SofaScore table is retained throughout.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
Top 14 26/27
1
Stade ToulousainStade Toulousain
541+6219
2
Section PaloiseSection Paloise
541+4918
3
BayonneBayonne
541-1317
4
Bordeaux-BèglesBordeaux-Bègles
532+6315
5
MontpellierMontpellier
532+4914
6
LyonLyon
532+314
7
Stade RochelaisStade Rochelais
532-313
8
ClermontClermont
523-2810
9
Racing 92Racing 92
523-3910
10
Stade Francais ParisStade Francais Paris
523-1910
11
USA PerpignanUSA Perpignan
523-429
12
Castres OlympiqueCastres Olympique
523-189
13
RC ToulonnaisRC Toulonnais
514-148
14
VannesVannes
505-501
2026 Form

Stade Toulousain

W4, D0, L1
W2026-10-03: Castres Olympique v Stade Toulousain (A)7–8+1
W2026-09-27: Stade Toulousain v Montpellier (H)40–18+22
W2026-09-19: Vannes v Stade Toulousain (A)23–29+6
W2026-09-13: Stade Toulousain v Bordeaux-Bègles (H)48–12+36
L2026-09-06: Stade Rochelais v Stade Toulousain (A)30–27-3
PF 152PA 90
+62 PD

Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-09-06–2026-10-03; 152 points for and 90 against. Toulouse won 48–12 over Bordeaux and 40–18 over Montpellier at home, then survived 8–7 at Castres. Four wins and only 90 conceded supply a stronger defensive foundation than a claim that the attack always runs freely.

Bayonne

W4, D0, L1
W2026-10-03: Bayonne v Stade Francais Paris (H)35–32+3
W2026-09-26: Racing 92 v Bayonne (A)17–20+3
W2026-09-19: Bayonne v Clermont (H)46–24+22
L2026-09-12: Section Paloise v Bayonne (A)70–28-42
W2026-09-05: Bayonne v RC Toulonnais (H)27–26+1
PF 156PA 169
-13 PD

Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-09-05–2026-10-03; 156 points for and 169 against. Bayonne have also won four of five, including 20–17 at Racing and 35–32 over Paris. Their 70–28 defeat at Pau explains much of the defensive aggregate; excluding it entirely would hide a relevant away vulnerability.

History

Head-to-head: verified recent sample

4 – 0 – 2

Stade Toulousain wins · Draws · Bayonne wins; 6 same-competition meetings, all venues, 2024-02-03–2026-01-31

Stade ToulousainStade Toulousain (4)
(2) BayonneBayonne
4W
2W

Toulouse won four of six, including 31–10 here in January and 32–25 in a neutral semi-final. Bayonne’s 40–26 home win last October is an important counterexample rather than evidence for an away stranglehold. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
2026-01-31Top 14Stade Toulousain 31–10 Bayonne
2025-10-05Top 14Bayonne 40–26 Stade Toulousain
2025-06-20Top 14Stade Toulousain 32–25 Bayonne
2025-02-22Top 14Stade Toulousain 41–6 Bayonne
2024-11-03Top 14Bayonne 12–8 Stade Toulousain
2024-02-03Top 14Stade Toulousain 46–26 Bayonne

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean: Stade Toulousain 30.7 – Bayonne 19.8; fixed team orientation regardless of venue.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Stade ToulousainW21, D0, L7

Retrieved Top 14 sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (28 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-03 Castres Olympique 7–8 Stade Toulousain; 2026-09-27 Stade Toulousain 40–18 Montpellier; 2026-09-19 Vannes 23–29 Stade Toulousain; 2026-09-13 Stade Toulousain 48–12 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-09-06 Stade Rochelais 30–27 Stade Toulousain; 2026-06-27 Stade Toulousain 28–20 Montpellier; 2026-06-19 Stade Toulousain 71–17 Racing 92; 2026-06-06 Racing 92 31–20 Stade Toulousain; 2026-05-30 Stade Toulousain 39–31 Lyon; 2026-05-17 Stade Rochelais 38–10 Stade Toulousain; 2026-05-09 RC Toulonnais 27–51 Stade Toulousain; 2026-04-26 Stade Toulousain 24–27 Clermont; 2026-04-18 Castres Olympique 25–42 Stade Toulousain; 2026-03-28 Stade Toulousain 45–29 Montpellier; 2026-03-22 Bordeaux-Bègles 44–20 Stade Toulousain; 2026-02-28 Stade Toulousain 68–13 Montauban; 2026-02-15 Stade Francais Paris 9–13 Stade Toulousain; 2026-01-31 Stade Toulousain 31–10 Bayonne; 2026-01-24 Stade Toulousain 59–22 Section Paloise; 2026-01-03 USA Perpignan 30–27 Stade Toulousain; 2025-12-28 Stade Toulousain 60–14 Stade Rochelais; 2025-12-20 Lyon 19–41 Stade Toulousain; 2025-11-29 Stade Toulousain 48–24 Racing 92; 2025-11-22 Montauban 7–49 Stade Toulousain; 2025-11-01 Stade Toulousain 29–17 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-10-26 Stade Toulousain 59–24 RC Toulonnais; 2025-10-18 Section Paloise 30–26 Stade Toulousain; 2025-10-12 Stade Toulousain 56–13 Bordeaux-Bègles

The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Toulouse won 48–12 over Bordeaux and 40–18 over Montpellier at home, then survived 8–7 at Castres. Four wins and only 90 conceded supply a stronger defensive foundation than a claim that the attack always runs freely. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.

BayonneW11, D0, L15

Retrieved Top 14 sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (26 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-03 Bayonne 35–32 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-09-26 Racing 92 17–20 Bayonne; 2026-09-19 Bayonne 46–24 Clermont; 2026-09-12 Section Paloise 70–28 Bayonne; 2026-09-05 Bayonne 27–26 RC Toulonnais; 2026-06-06 Bayonne 52–7 USA Perpignan; 2026-05-30 Stade Francais Paris 38–21 Bayonne; 2026-05-16 Lyon 42–35 Bayonne; 2026-05-09 Bayonne 38–40 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-04-25 RC Toulonnais 52–26 Bayonne; 2026-04-18 Bayonne 22–54 Section Paloise; 2026-03-28 Bayonne 26–15 Stade Rochelais; 2026-03-21 Montauban 26–60 Bayonne; 2026-02-28 Clermont 38–15 Bayonne; 2026-02-14 Bayonne 36–41 Racing 92; 2026-01-31 Stade Toulousain 31–10 Bayonne; 2026-01-24 Bayonne 10–13 Castres Olympique; 2026-01-03 Montpellier 62–22 Bayonne; 2025-12-27 Bayonne 35–34 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-12-20 Stade Rochelais 49–17 Bayonne; 2025-11-29 Bayonne 22–20 Lyon; 2025-11-22 Racing 92 47–27 Bayonne; 2025-11-01 Bayonne 49–7 Montauban; 2025-10-25 Bordeaux-Bègles 41–12 Bayonne; 2025-10-18 Bayonne 44–17 Clermont; 2025-10-11 Section Paloise 47–24 Bayonne

The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Bayonne have also won four of five, including 20–17 at Racing and 35–32 over Paris. Their 70–28 defeat at Pau explains much of the defensive aggregate; excluding it entirely would hide a relevant away vulnerability. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.

Team News
Stade Toulousain

Stade Toulousain XV

Unverified as of 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z. Checked www.stadetoulousain.fr, a focused Stade Toulousain v Bayonne selection search for 2026-10-11, and the official LNR match sheet (no compositions available). No complete current XV and bench was verified; arrays remain empty. Personnel dimensions are ungraded, so this provisional team-level call may change.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Bayonne

Bayonne XV

Unverified as of 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z. Checked www.abrugby.fr, a focused Stade Toulousain v Bayonne selection search for 2026-10-11, and the official LNR match sheet (no compositions available). No complete current XV and bench was verified; arrays remain empty. Personnel dimensions are ungraded, so this provisional team-level call may change.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Tactical

Key Matchups

Front row
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified
Locks
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified
Back row
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified
Halfbacks
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified
Centres
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified
Back three
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified

Bayonne’s away win at Racing keeps this competitive, but Toulouse’s home scoring and defensive aggregate are better balanced. The 8–7 Castres result shows the total can fall sharply when the contest becomes territorial; confirmed selections remain material. All six displayed unit edges are ungraded placeholders; “close” does not mean the unknown selections are equal.

Prediction Scorecard
← Bayonne edgeStade Toulousain edge →
Home advantage
+2
Form
+1
H2H record
+1
Squad strength
0
Set piece
0
Backline quality
0
Standings gap
0
Net Score+4
Projection
Stade Toulousain 73% · TOU 32 – BAY 26
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreTOU 32 – BAY 26
Win ProbabilityStade Toulousain 73%
Predicted Margin1–11 pts

Toulouse by 6 is the rounded house-model lean. Toulouse’s two substantial home wins and league-leading 90 conceded support the home choice against another 4–1 side. The seven scores total 4, giving a 73% displayed home probability.

Bayonne are 4–1, have won at Racing and beat Toulouse last October. Current international availability is unverified, so the result-based lean cannot be presented as a full-strength matchup. Both current XVs and replacement benches remain unverified; depth, set piece and backline scores are ungraded zeros, so this team-level lean can change. The scoring projection uses a 56.7-point mean from the two dated five-match samples, rounded to 58 for an integer 6-point difference. The 1–11 band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.

Provisional — Stade Toulousain by 6 — current XVs and benches unverified.

Facts & Stats
152–90

Stade Toulousain points for–against across the five listed form games.

156–169

Bayonne points for–against across the five listed form games.

4–0–2

Home-side wins, draws, away-side wins in the 6-meeting scoped sample.

4

Seven-dimension score from the home perspective before the legacy intercept.