

After three rounds, Stade Francais Paris are 11th on 4 points and Lyon 1st on 14. Official Castres table checked 25 September; Bordeaux’s win count is reconciled with their three verified results. The small sample limits its predictive weight.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +47 | 14 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +39 | 10 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +53 | 10 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +43 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -19 | 9 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 8 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 8 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -17 | 5 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -25 | 5 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -37 | 4 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -66 | 4 | |
| 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 | |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -29 | 0 |
Top 14 only: 3 completed matches, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-20; 54 points for and 91 against. Paris followed a 28–26 home win over Perpignan with defeats at Clermont and Bordeaux. They have scored only 26 points across those two away games, making a return home central to the recovery case.
Top 14 only: 3 completed matches, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-19; 139 points for and 92 against. Lyon have scored at least 40 in each game and won 48–31 at Racing on their only away trip. Their 92 conceded across the three still leave room for an opponent to build pressure.
4 – 0 – 2
Stade Francais Paris wins · Draws · Lyon wins; 6 Top 14 meetings, all venues, 2023-11-11–2026-05-09
Paris won the three home meetings in this six-game sample, culminating in 59–17 in May. Lyon’s new-season form is much better, so that result is a venue clue rather than a ready-made forecast. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Top 14 | Stade Francais Paris 59–17 Lyon |
| 2025-09-20 | Top 14 | Lyon 42–37 Stade Francais Paris |
| 2025-05-17 | Top 14 | Stade Francais Paris 31–30 Lyon |
| 2024-10-13 | Top 14 | Lyon 35–3 Stade Francais Paris |
| 2024-03-23 | Top 14 | Stade Francais Paris 22–13 Lyon |
| 2023-11-11 | Top 14 | Lyon 32–36 Stade Francais Paris |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean, rounded: Stade Francais Paris 31.3 – Lyon 28.2. Team orientation is fixed regardless of venue.
Retrieved Top 14 sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (28 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-20 Bordeaux-Bègles 40–10 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-09-12 Clermont 25–16 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-09-05 Stade Francais Paris 28–26 USA Perpignan; 2026-06-20 Montpellier 25–15 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-06-14 Stade Francais Paris 45–5 Stade Rochelais; 2026-06-06 Stade Rochelais 27–22 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-05-30 Stade Francais Paris 38–21 Bayonne; 2026-05-16 Montauban 25–73 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-05-09 Stade Francais Paris 59–17 Lyon; 2026-04-25 Stade Francais Paris 34–32 Section Paloise; 2026-04-19 Racing 92 47–20 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-03-29 Stade Francais Paris 64–20 Clermont; 2026-03-21 RC Toulonnais 27–46 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-02-28 Stade Francais Paris 42–21 USA Perpignan; 2026-02-15 Stade Francais Paris 9–13 Stade Toulousain; 2026-01-31 Montpellier 44–7 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-01-24 Bordeaux-Bègles 28–33 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-01-03 Stade Francais Paris 33–15 Castres Olympique; 2025-12-27 Bayonne 35–34 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-12-20 Stade Francais Paris 20–20 Racing 92; 2025-11-29 Clermont 36–32 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-11-23 Stade Francais Paris 51–24 RC Toulonnais; 2025-11-01 Stade Toulousain 29–17 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-10-25 Stade Francais Paris 35–12 Montpellier; 2025-10-18 Castres Olympique 29–24 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-10-11 Stade Francais Paris 26–24 Stade Rochelais; 2025-10-04 USA Perpignan 11–28 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-09-27 Stade Francais Paris 28–7 Bordeaux-Bègles
Only Top 14 results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Paris followed a 28–26 home win over Perpignan with defeats at Clermont and Bordeaux. They have scored only 26 points across those two away games, making a return home central to the recovery case.
Retrieved Top 14 sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (26 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-19 Lyon 51–25 Section Paloise; 2026-09-12 Racing 92 31–48 Lyon; 2026-09-05 Lyon 40–36 Clermont; 2026-06-06 Lyon 25–28 Montpellier; 2026-05-30 Stade Toulousain 39–31 Lyon; 2026-05-16 Lyon 42–35 Bayonne; 2026-05-09 Stade Francais Paris 59–17 Lyon; 2026-04-25 Lyon 26–21 Castres Olympique; 2026-04-18 Clermont 41–23 Lyon; 2026-03-28 Lyon 17–21 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-03-21 USA Perpignan 28–32 Lyon; 2026-02-28 Lyon 13–13 RC Toulonnais; 2026-02-14 Lyon 73–12 Montauban; 2026-01-31 Stade Rochelais 24–44 Lyon; 2026-01-24 Racing 92 35–34 Lyon; 2026-01-03 Lyon 22–17 Section Paloise; 2025-12-27 Castres Olympique 36–22 Lyon; 2025-12-20 Lyon 19–41 Stade Toulousain; 2025-11-29 Bayonne 22–20 Lyon; 2025-11-22 Lyon 43–24 Clermont; 2025-11-01 RC Toulonnais 54–21 Lyon; 2025-10-25 Lyon 19–36 Stade Rochelais; 2025-10-18 Montpellier 35–13 Lyon; 2025-10-11 Lyon 44–19 USA Perpignan; 2025-10-04 Bordeaux-Bègles 32–20 Lyon; 2025-09-27 Section Paloise 40–15 Lyon
Only Top 14 results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Lyon have scored at least 40 in each game and won 48–31 at Racing on their only away trip. Their 92 conceded across the three still leave room for an opponent to build pressure.
Unverified as of 2026-09-25T05:50:21.360Z. Checked https://www.stade.fr/, Flashscore match details (empty), and focused searches for both teams and this fixture date, including LNR match coverage. No authoritative match-day XV was verified; squad lists and predicted selections are not presented as the team.
Unverified as of 2026-09-25T05:50:21.360Z. Checked https://www.lourugby.fr/, Flashscore match details (empty), and focused searches for both teams and this fixture date, including LNR match coverage. No authoritative match-day XV was verified; squad lists and predicted selections are not presented as the team.
Paris need to stop Lyon turning turnovers into consecutive scoring opportunities. Lyon can attack the home side’s confidence by sustaining their early-season tempo. The lineups are unverified, so the contest is assessed through team results rather than invented player matchups. “Close” on an unverified pairing means ungraded, not proven equality.
Paris are a narrow home call from the house model, despite Lyon’s excellent start. The three recent home rivalry wins are the substantive reason to resist a simple form-table pick. This is another forecast in which the model’s home intercept has considerable influence.
Lyon’s 139 points and the away win at Racing make them an obvious threat to that call. The 59–17 meeting belongs to last season and cannot outweigh every current signal. Without confirmed teams, this remains one of the most fragile predictions in the Top 14 batch. The margin band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.
Stade Francais Paris by 2 — a provisional call pending verified selections.
Stade Francais Paris points for–against in the 3-match Top 14 form window.
Lyon points for–against in the 3-match Top 14 form window.
Stade Francais Paris wins–draws–Lyon wins in the explicitly scoped H2H sample.
Seven-dimension house score from the home perspective; positive favours the home team before the model intercept.