
After three rounds, USA Perpignan are 10th on 5 points and Bordeaux-Bègles 3rd on 10. Official Castres table checked 25 September; Bordeaux’s win count is reconciled with their three verified results. The small sample limits its predictive weight.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +47 | 14 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +39 | 10 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +53 | 10 | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 9 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +43 | 9 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -19 | 9 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 8 | |
| 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 8 | |
| 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -17 | 5 | |
| 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -25 | 5 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -37 | 4 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -66 | 4 | |
| 13 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 | |
| 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -29 | 0 |
Top 14 only: 3 completed matches, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-19; 82 points for and 107 against. Perpignan scored 43 against Castres at home, then conceded 50 at Montpellier. The opening two-point defeat in Paris is a better guide to their competitive floor than either extreme.
Top 14 only: 3 completed matches, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-20; 116 points for and 63 against. Bordeaux scored 64 and 40 in their home wins but lost 48–12 at Toulouse. That is a large home-away split from only three games, not evidence of a settled level on the road.
1 – 0 – 5
USA Perpignan wins · Draws · Bordeaux-Bègles wins; 6 Top 14 meetings, all venues, 2023-11-25–2026-05-16
Bordeaux won the latest four meetings, including 27–12 and 29–17 on their last two visits. Perpignan did win at home in June 2024, and the latest away defeat was only 37–32. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Top 14 | Bordeaux-Bègles 37–32 USA Perpignan |
| 2025-10-18 | Top 14 | USA Perpignan 12–27 Bordeaux-Bègles |
| 2025-03-01 | Top 14 | USA Perpignan 17–29 Bordeaux-Bègles |
| 2024-10-12 | Top 14 | Bordeaux-Bègles 66–12 USA Perpignan |
| 2024-06-01 | Top 14 | USA Perpignan 37–30 Bordeaux-Bègles |
| 2023-11-25 | Top 14 | Bordeaux-Bègles 46–22 USA Perpignan |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean, rounded: USA Perpignan 22.0 – Bordeaux-Bègles 39.2. Team orientation is fixed regardless of venue.
Retrieved Top 14 sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (27 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-19 Montpellier 50–13 USA Perpignan; 2026-09-12 USA Perpignan 43–29 Castres Olympique; 2026-09-05 Stade Francais Paris 28–26 USA Perpignan; 2026-06-14 Provence Rugby 24–47 USA Perpignan; 2026-06-06 Bayonne 52–7 USA Perpignan; 2026-05-30 USA Perpignan 29–27 Castres Olympique; 2026-05-16 Bordeaux-Bègles 37–32 USA Perpignan; 2026-05-09 Clermont 45–14 USA Perpignan; 2026-04-25 USA Perpignan 29–31 Stade Rochelais; 2026-04-18 Montpellier 42–31 USA Perpignan; 2026-03-28 USA Perpignan 36–20 RC Toulonnais; 2026-03-21 USA Perpignan 28–32 Lyon; 2026-02-28 Stade Francais Paris 42–21 USA Perpignan; 2026-02-22 USA Perpignan 40–24 Section Paloise; 2026-01-31 Racing 92 37–31 USA Perpignan; 2026-01-24 USA Perpignan 31–8 Montauban; 2026-01-03 USA Perpignan 30–27 Stade Toulousain; 2025-12-28 RC Toulonnais 31–16 USA Perpignan; 2025-12-20 USA Perpignan 26–20 Clermont; 2025-11-29 Castres Olympique 23–7 USA Perpignan; 2025-11-22 USA Perpignan 0–28 Montpellier; 2025-11-01 Section Paloise 27–23 USA Perpignan; 2025-10-25 Montauban 29–22 USA Perpignan; 2025-10-18 USA Perpignan 12–27 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-10-11 Lyon 44–19 USA Perpignan; 2025-10-04 USA Perpignan 11–28 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-09-27 Stade Rochelais 31–8 USA Perpignan
Only Top 14 results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Perpignan scored 43 against Castres at home, then conceded 50 at Montpellier. The opening two-point defeat in Paris is a better guide to their competitive floor than either extreme.
Retrieved Top 14 sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (26 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-20 Bordeaux-Bègles 40–10 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-09-13 Stade Toulousain 48–12 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-09-05 Bordeaux-Bègles 64–5 Racing 92; 2026-06-06 Bordeaux-Bègles 31–34 Clermont; 2026-05-31 RC Toulonnais 27–22 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-05-16 Bordeaux-Bègles 37–32 USA Perpignan; 2026-05-09 Bayonne 38–40 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-04-25 Bordeaux-Bègles 21–23 Montpellier; 2026-04-18 Stade Rochelais 45–15 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-03-28 Lyon 17–21 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-03-22 Bordeaux-Bègles 44–20 Stade Toulousain; 2026-03-01 Section Paloise 39–17 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-02-14 Bordeaux-Bègles 57–32 Castres Olympique; 2026-01-31 Montauban 16–31 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-01-24 Bordeaux-Bègles 28–33 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-01-03 Bordeaux-Bègles 62–20 Racing 92; 2025-12-27 Clermont 34–19 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-12-21 Bordeaux-Bègles 46–7 RC Toulonnais; 2025-11-29 Montpellier 28–24 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-11-21 Bordeaux-Bègles 33–34 Section Paloise; 2025-11-01 Castres Olympique 26–28 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-10-25 Bordeaux-Bègles 41–12 Bayonne; 2025-10-18 USA Perpignan 12–27 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-10-12 Stade Toulousain 56–13 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-10-04 Bordeaux-Bègles 32–20 Lyon; 2025-09-27 Stade Francais Paris 28–7 Bordeaux-Bègles
Only Top 14 results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Bordeaux scored 64 and 40 in their home wins but lost 48–12 at Toulouse. That is a large home-away split from only three games, not evidence of a settled level on the road.
Unverified as of 2026-09-25T05:50:21.360Z. Checked https://www.usap.fr/, Flashscore match details (empty), and focused searches for both teams and this fixture date, including LNR match coverage. No authoritative match-day XV was verified; squad lists and predicted selections are not presented as the team.
Unverified as of 2026-09-25T05:50:21.360Z. Checked https://www.ubbrugby.com/, Flashscore match details (empty), and focused searches for both teams and this fixture date, including LNR match coverage. No authoritative match-day XV was verified; squad lists and predicted selections are not presented as the team.
Perpignan need to turn their home pressure into territory before Bordeaux can exploit broken play. Bordeaux’s path is to reproduce their home attacking tempo away from home. With both selections unverified, no specific scrum or halfback mismatch is claimed. “Close” on an unverified pairing means ungraded, not proven equality.
Perpignan are a deliberately narrow house-model home lean despite Bordeaux leading most of the evidence. The three-game away split makes caution reasonable, but the rivalry is a strong counterargument. The scorecard is negative and this call rests heavily on the model’s home intercept.
Bordeaux won the last four meetings and could make this forecast look conservative if their attack travels. Both lineups are unverified and three personnel dimensions remain ungraded. The raw margin and probability disagree here; the reconciliation is stated explicitly below. Editorial reconciliation: the raw margin is -1.25 from the home perspective, favouring Bordeaux-Bègles, while the probability model favours USA Perpignan. The final score retains the probability model’s home winner with a two-point editorial margin; this is an explicit adjustment, not a recalibrated model. The margin band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.
USA Perpignan by 2 — a provisional call pending verified selections.
USA Perpignan points for–against in the 3-match Top 14 form window.
Bordeaux-Bègles points for–against in the 3-match Top 14 form window.
USA Perpignan wins–draws–Bordeaux-Bègles wins in the explicitly scoped H2H sample.
Seven-dimension house score from the home perspective; positive favours the home team before the model intercept.