Top 14 2026/27Top 14 2026/27 · Round 6
Section Paloise

Section Paloise

v
Castres Olympique

Castres Olympique

Saturday 10 October 2026 · 4:35 PM CEST
Stade du Hameau, Pau
Tournament

Championship Standings

Shared SofaScore total Top 14 2026/27 standings after 5 games per side: Section Paloise 2nd on 18, Castres Olympique 12th on 9. The table repeats the form results, so its dimension stays zero. Paris and Racing are tied on ten points; LNR orders that tie differently, so the same SofaScore table is retained throughout.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
Top 14 26/27
1
Stade ToulousainStade Toulousain
541+6219
2
Section PaloiseSection Paloise
541+4918
3
BayonneBayonne
541-1317
4
Bordeaux-BèglesBordeaux-Bègles
532+6315
5
MontpellierMontpellier
532+4914
6
LyonLyon
532+314
7
Stade RochelaisStade Rochelais
532-313
8
ClermontClermont
523-2810
9
Racing 92Racing 92
523-3910
10
Stade Francais ParisStade Francais Paris
523-1910
11
USA PerpignanUSA Perpignan
523-429
12
Castres OlympiqueCastres Olympique
523-189
13
RC ToulonnaisRC Toulonnais
514-148
14
VannesVannes
505-501
2026 Form

Section Paloise

W4, D0, L1
2W streak
W2026-10-03: Vannes v Section Paloise (A)40–43+3
W2026-09-26: Section Paloise v Stade Rochelais (H)39–17+22
L2026-09-19: Lyon v Section Paloise (A)51–25-26
W2026-09-12: Section Paloise v Bayonne (H)70–28+42
W2026-09-05: Montpellier v Section Paloise (A)19–27+8
PF 204PA 155
+49 PD

Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-09-05–2026-10-03; 204 points for and 155 against. Pau have scored 204 in five and won four, including 70–28 against Bayonne and 39–17 against La Rochelle at home. They also conceded 40 at Vannes last weekend, so the attack earns the edge without a claim of complete control.

Castres Olympique

W2, D0, L3
L2026-10-03: Castres Olympique v Stade Toulousain (H)7–8-1
L2026-09-26: Clermont v Castres Olympique (A)20–6-14
W2026-09-19: Castres Olympique v RC Toulonnais (H)29–27+2
L2026-09-12: USA Perpignan v Castres Olympique (A)43–29-14
W2026-09-05: Castres Olympique v Vannes (H)29–20+9
PF 100PA 118
-18 PD

Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-09-05–2026-10-03; 100 points for and 118 against. Castres lost 8–7 to Toulouse after a 20–6 defeat at Clermont. Their defence can keep a good opponent close, but 13 points across those two games exposes the difficulty of matching Pau’s scoring rate.

History

Head-to-head: verified recent sample

3 – 0 – 3

Section Paloise wins · Draws · Castres Olympique wins; 6 same-competition meetings, all venues, 2023-08-19–2026-05-09

Section PaloiseSection Paloise (3)
(3) Castres OlympiqueCastres Olympique
3W
3W

Pau won the two latest meetings, 27–15 here in May and 17–15 away last September. The wider six are level at three each, so the recent edge is graded modestly. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
2026-05-09Top 14Section Paloise 27–15 Castres Olympique
2025-09-06Top 14Castres Olympique 15–17 Section Paloise
2025-01-04Top 14Castres Olympique 24–19 Section Paloise
2024-10-12Top 14Section Paloise 33–26 Castres Olympique
2024-02-03Top 14Section Paloise 33–44 Castres Olympique
2023-08-19Top 14Castres Olympique 24–23 Section Paloise

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean: Section Paloise 25.3 – Castres Olympique 24.7; fixed team orientation regardless of venue.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Section PaloiseW18, D0, L9

Retrieved Top 14 sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (27 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-03 Vannes 40–43 Section Paloise; 2026-09-26 Section Paloise 39–17 Stade Rochelais; 2026-09-19 Lyon 51–25 Section Paloise; 2026-09-12 Section Paloise 70–28 Bayonne; 2026-09-05 Montpellier 19–27 Section Paloise; 2026-06-13 Section Paloise 31–33 Racing 92; 2026-06-06 Section Paloise 71–35 Montauban; 2026-05-30 Montpellier 26–18 Section Paloise; 2026-05-16 Section Paloise 24–19 Clermont; 2026-05-09 Section Paloise 27–15 Castres Olympique; 2026-04-25 Stade Francais Paris 34–32 Section Paloise; 2026-04-18 Bayonne 22–54 Section Paloise; 2026-03-28 Section Paloise 27–17 Racing 92; 2026-03-21 Stade Rochelais 20–6 Section Paloise; 2026-03-01 Section Paloise 39–17 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-02-22 USA Perpignan 40–24 Section Paloise; 2026-02-01 Section Paloise 32–12 RC Toulonnais; 2026-01-24 Stade Toulousain 59–22 Section Paloise; 2026-01-03 Lyon 22–17 Section Paloise; 2025-12-28 Section Paloise 35–33 Montpellier; 2025-12-20 Montauban 17–53 Section Paloise; 2025-11-30 Section Paloise 53–33 Stade Rochelais; 2025-11-21 Bordeaux-Bègles 33–34 Section Paloise; 2025-11-01 Section Paloise 27–23 USA Perpignan; 2025-10-25 Racing 92 15–10 Section Paloise; 2025-10-18 Section Paloise 30–26 Stade Toulousain; 2025-10-11 Section Paloise 47–24 Bayonne

The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Pau have scored 204 in five and won four, including 70–28 against Bayonne and 39–17 against La Rochelle at home. They also conceded 40 at Vannes last weekend, so the attack earns the edge without a claim of complete control. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.

Castres OlympiqueW11, D0, L15

Retrieved Top 14 sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (26 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-03 Castres Olympique 7–8 Stade Toulousain; 2026-09-26 Clermont 20–6 Castres Olympique; 2026-09-19 Castres Olympique 29–27 RC Toulonnais; 2026-09-12 USA Perpignan 43–29 Castres Olympique; 2026-09-05 Castres Olympique 29–20 Vannes; 2026-06-06 Castres Olympique 38–21 RC Toulonnais; 2026-05-30 USA Perpignan 29–27 Castres Olympique; 2026-05-16 Castres Olympique 33–36 Montpellier; 2026-05-09 Section Paloise 27–15 Castres Olympique; 2026-04-25 Lyon 26–21 Castres Olympique; 2026-04-18 Castres Olympique 25–42 Stade Toulousain; 2026-03-28 Castres Olympique 49–17 Montauban; 2026-03-21 Racing 92 52–21 Castres Olympique; 2026-02-28 Castres Olympique 26–31 Stade Rochelais; 2026-02-14 Bordeaux-Bègles 57–32 Castres Olympique; 2026-01-31 Castres Olympique 28–23 Clermont; 2026-01-24 Bayonne 10–13 Castres Olympique; 2026-01-03 Stade Francais Paris 33–15 Castres Olympique; 2025-12-27 Castres Olympique 36–22 Lyon; 2025-12-20 Montpellier 33–31 Castres Olympique; 2025-11-29 Castres Olympique 23–7 USA Perpignan; 2025-11-22 Stade Rochelais 17–19 Castres Olympique; 2025-11-01 Castres Olympique 26–28 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-10-25 Clermont 63–14 Castres Olympique; 2025-10-18 Castres Olympique 29–24 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-10-11 Montauban 28–32 Castres Olympique

The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Castres lost 8–7 to Toulouse after a 20–6 defeat at Clermont. Their defence can keep a good opponent close, but 13 points across those two games exposes the difficulty of matching Pau’s scoring rate. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.

Team News
Section Paloise

Section Paloise XV

Unverified as of 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z. Checked www.section-paloise.com, a focused Section Paloise v Castres Olympique selection search for 2026-10-10, and the official LNR match sheet (no compositions available). No complete current XV and bench was verified; arrays remain empty. Personnel dimensions are ungraded, so this provisional team-level call may change.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Castres Olympique

Castres Olympique XV

Unverified as of 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z. Checked castres-olympique.com, a focused Section Paloise v Castres Olympique selection search for 2026-10-10, and the official LNR match sheet (no compositions available). No complete current XV and bench was verified; arrays remain empty. Personnel dimensions are ungraded, so this provisional team-level call may change.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Tactical

Key Matchups

Front row
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified
Locks
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified
Back row
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified
Halfbacks
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified
Centres
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified
Back three
Selection unverified
Close
Selection unverified

The tactical question is whether Castres can keep this near the tempo of their 8–7 Toulouse game. Pau’s recent home attack supports the pick, but current scrum, maul and halfback comparisons remain ungraded. All six displayed unit edges are ungraded placeholders; “close” does not mean the unknown selections are equal.

Prediction Scorecard
← Castres Olympique edgeSection Paloise edge →
Home advantage
+2
Form
+2
H2H record
+1
Squad strength
0
Set piece
0
Backline quality
0
Standings gap
0
Net Score+5
Projection
Section Paloise 74% · PAU 33 – CAS 26
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScorePAU 33 – CAS 26
Win ProbabilitySection Paloise 74%
Predicted Margin2–12 pts

Pau by 7 is the rounded house-model lean. Pau’s two strong home wins and latest two rivalry victories give the home choice several independent routes. The seven scores total 5, giving a 74% displayed home probability.

Castres held Toulouse to eight and can turn a high-scoring expectation into a low-possession contest. Pau conceded 40 to the bottom side last weekend. Both current XVs and replacement benches remain unverified; depth, set piece and backline scores are ungraded zeros, so this team-level lean can change. The scoring projection uses a 57.7-point mean from the two dated five-match samples, rounded to 59 for an integer 7-point difference. The 2–12 band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.

Provisional — Section Paloise by 7 — current XVs and benches unverified.

Facts & Stats
204–155

Section Paloise points for–against across the five listed form games.

100–118

Castres Olympique points for–against across the five listed form games.

3–0–3

Home-side wins, draws, away-side wins in the 6-meeting scoped sample.

5

Seven-dimension score from the home perspective before the legacy intercept.