Top 14 2026/27Top 14 2026/27 · Round 5
Stade Rochelais

Stade Rochelais

v
Clermont

Clermont

Saturday 3 October 2026 · 4:35 PM CEST
Stade Marcel Deflandre, La Rochelle
Tournament

Championship Standings

Verified SofaScore Top 14 standings after four rounds, retrieved before the 2 October cutoff: Stade Rochelais 11th on 8, Clermont 6th on 10. The early table is context; its points gap is not scored again after the same results have already influenced form.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
1
Stade ToulousainStade Toulousain
431+6115
2
LyonLyon
431+2614
3
Section PaloiseSection Paloise
431+4614
4
BayonneBayonne
431-1613
5
Bordeaux-BèglesBordeaux-Bègles
422+4010
6
ClermontClermont
422-310
7
MontpellierMontpellier
422+219
8
Stade Francais ParisStade Francais Paris
422-169
9
USA PerpignanUSA Perpignan
422-129
10
Castres OlympiqueCastres Olympique
422-178
11
Stade RochelaisStade Rochelais
422-288
12
RC ToulonnaisRC Toulonnais
413+148
13
Racing 92Racing 92
413-695
14
VannesVannes
404-470
2026 Form

Stade Rochelais

W2, D0, L2
2W streak
L2026-09-26: Section Paloise v Stade Rochelais (A)39–17-22
L2026-09-19: Stade Rochelais v Racing 92 (H)10–20-10
W2026-09-12: RC Toulonnais v Stade Rochelais (A)20–21+1
W2026-09-06: Stade Rochelais v Stade Toulousain (H)30–27+3
PF 78PA 106
-28 PD

Current 2026/27 season: 4 completed matches, 2026-09-06–2026-09-26, 78 for and 106 against. Both sides have two wins and two losses from four. La Rochelle’s 10–20 home defeat and 17–39 away loss are worrying, while Clermont’s 20–6 home win followed two away defeats; there is no clear all-venue form grade.

Clermont

W2, D0, L2
W2026-09-26: Clermont v Castres Olympique (H)20–6+14
L2026-09-19: Bayonne v Clermont (A)46–24-22
W2026-09-12: Clermont v Stade Francais Paris (H)25–16+9
L2026-09-05: Lyon v Clermont (A)40–36-4
PF 105PA 108
-3 PD

Current 2026/27 season: 4 completed matches, 2026-09-05–2026-09-26, 105 for and 108 against. The latest result was Clermont 20–6 Castres Olympique. The displayed sample contains 2 home wins from 2 home games and 0 away wins; opponent strength, venue and changed selections limit how directly the old results transfer.

History

Head-to-head: retrieved league sample

3 – 0 – 3

Stade Rochelais wins · Draws · Clermont wins; 6 Top 14 meetings, all venues, 2023-09-02–2026-01-25

Stade RochelaisStade Rochelais (3)
(3) ClermontClermont
3W
3W

The six retrieved meetings split three wins apiece, all won by the hosts. La Rochelle won their latest home meeting 34–16, but Clermont won the January return 32–27. This is the stated retrieved sample, not an all-time record.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
2026-01-25Top 14Clermont 32–27 Stade Rochelais
2025-09-13Top 14Stade Rochelais 34–16 Clermont
2025-03-29Top 14Clermont 33–19 Stade Rochelais
2024-12-21Top 14Stade Rochelais 20–15 Clermont
2024-03-03Top 14Stade Rochelais 42–3 Clermont
2023-09-02Top 14Clermont 11–10 Stade Rochelais

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Stade Rochelais 25.3 – Clermont 18.3 across these 6 meetings, oriented to the report teams regardless of venue.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Stade RochelaisW15, D0, L13

Retrieved Top 14 sample within the last twelve months, 28 games, 2025-10-04–2026-09-26; partial provider history, not a claim to cover every fixture. 2026-09-26: Section Paloise 39–17 Stade Rochelais; 2026-09-19: Stade Rochelais 10–20 Racing 92; 2026-09-12: RC Toulonnais 20–21 Stade Rochelais; 2026-09-06: Stade Rochelais 30–27 Stade Toulousain; 2026-06-14: Stade Francais Paris 45–5 Stade Rochelais; 2026-06-06: Stade Rochelais 27–22 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-05-30: Montauban 15–71 Stade Rochelais; 2026-05-17: Stade Rochelais 38–10 Stade Toulousain; 2026-05-10: Racing 92 24–26 Stade Rochelais; 2026-04-25: USA Perpignan 29–31 Stade Rochelais; 2026-04-18: Stade Rochelais 45–15 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-03-28: Bayonne 26–15 Stade Rochelais; 2026-03-21: Stade Rochelais 20–6 Section Paloise; 2026-02-28: Castres Olympique 26–31 Stade Rochelais; 2026-02-14: Stade Rochelais 33–43 Montpellier; 2026-01-31: Stade Rochelais 24–44 Lyon; 2026-01-25: Clermont 32–27 Stade Rochelais; 2026-01-04: Stade Rochelais 66–0 RC Toulonnais; 2025-12-28: Stade Toulousain 60–14 Stade Rochelais; 2025-12-20: Stade Rochelais 49–17 Bayonne; 2025-11-30: Section Paloise 53–33 Stade Rochelais; 2025-11-22: Stade Rochelais 17–19 Castres Olympique; 2025-11-08: RC Toulonnais 39–14 Stade Rochelais; 2025-11-02: Stade Rochelais 33–6 Racing 92; 2025-10-25: Lyon 19–36 Stade Rochelais; 2025-10-18: Stade Rochelais 54–19 Montauban; 2025-10-11: Stade Francais Paris 26–24 Stade Rochelais; 2025-10-04: Montpellier 37–13 Stade Rochelais

Stade Rochelais scored 824 and conceded 738 in this explicitly bounded sample. Current selections are still unverified, so older personnel advantages are not carried into the scorecard.

ClermontW16, D0, L10

Retrieved Top 14 sample within the last twelve months, 26 games, 2025-10-04–2026-09-26; partial provider history, not a claim to cover every fixture. 2026-09-26: Clermont 20–6 Castres Olympique; 2026-09-19: Bayonne 46–24 Clermont; 2026-09-12: Clermont 25–16 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-09-05: Lyon 40–36 Clermont; 2026-06-06: Bordeaux-Bègles 31–34 Clermont; 2026-05-31: Clermont 13–41 Racing 92; 2026-05-16: Section Paloise 24–19 Clermont; 2026-05-09: Clermont 45–14 USA Perpignan; 2026-04-26: Stade Toulousain 24–27 Clermont; 2026-04-18: Clermont 41–23 Lyon; 2026-03-29: Stade Francais Paris 64–20 Clermont; 2026-03-21: Clermont 17–20 Montpellier; 2026-02-28: Clermont 38–15 Bayonne; 2026-02-14: RC Toulonnais 14–34 Clermont; 2026-01-31: Castres Olympique 28–23 Clermont; 2026-01-25: Clermont 32–27 Stade Rochelais; 2026-01-03: Montauban 19–34 Clermont; 2025-12-27: Clermont 34–19 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-12-20: USA Perpignan 26–20 Clermont; 2025-11-29: Clermont 36–32 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-11-22: Lyon 43–24 Clermont; 2025-11-01: Montpellier 7–9 Clermont; 2025-10-25: Clermont 63–14 Castres Olympique; 2025-10-18: Bayonne 44–17 Clermont; 2025-10-11: Clermont 27–10 RC Toulonnais; 2025-10-04: Clermont 84–31 Montauban

Clermont scored 796 and conceded 678 in this explicitly bounded sample. Current selections are still unverified, so older personnel advantages are not carried into the scorecard.

Team News
Stade Rochelais

Stade Rochelais XV

Selected XV and bench unverified at the 2 October 2026, 16:52 SAST cutoff. Checked staderochelais.com, the official LNR round-five match sheet and focused current-week team searches; no selected team was verified. Probable teams, training groups and previous-round selections are excluded, leaving personnel dimensions ungraded.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Clermont

Clermont XV

Selected XV and bench unverified at the 2 October 2026, 16:52 SAST cutoff. Checked asm-rugby.com, the official LNR round-five match sheet and focused current-week team searches; no selected team was verified. Probable teams, training groups and previous-round selections are excluded, leaving personnel dimensions ungraded.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Tactical

Key Matchups

Scrummage
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit
Lineout
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit
Loose forwards
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit
Half-backs
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit
Centres and back three
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit
Replacement depth
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit

No selected-unit edge is asserted before the XVs and benches are verified; “close” in these placeholder rows means ungraded. Harry Plummer (Clermont) has 45 points in 4 Top 14 appearances at this four-round cutoff; Nolan Le Garrec (Stade Rochelais) has 27 points in 3 Top 14 appearances at this four-round cutoff. These are past contributions, not proof that either player is selected this weekend. The announced kicking pairings and replacement front rows are needed before attributing any advantage in control or set piece. The league results remain the only graded basis beyond venue and head-to-head.

Prediction Scorecard
← Clermont edgeStade Rochelais edge →
Home advantage
+2
Form
0
H2H record
+1
Squad strength
0
Set piece
0
Backline quality
0
Standings gap
0
Net Score+3
Projection
Stade Rochelais 71% · LAR 27 – CLE 21
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreLAR 27 – CLE 21
Win ProbabilityStade Rochelais 71%
Predicted Margin1–11 pts

La Rochelle are the six-point provisional home lean in a game whose recent rivalry has tracked venue. The two-from-four records leave little reason to reward one side’s general form over the other’s. A close home recovery is the model’s direction, with no claim that their attack is already fixed. The seven-dimension net is +3; the unmodified two-way house output is 71% for Stade Rochelais, with no separate draw probability.

Clermont restricted Castres to six last week, while La Rochelle have lost their latest two. The actual selections are unavailable, so the tactical and front-row questions remain open. If the final teams favour Clermont in those areas, the small historical home support will be insufficient.

Provisional — Stade Rochelais by 6; selected XVs and benches are unverified.

Facts & Stats
Evidence status

Provisional: Home and away selected XVs and benches; three personnel dimensions are ungraded.

Model and margin

legacy-house-2026-09-v1; raw home probability 0.7096, raw home margin +5.55. Unmodified legacy model probability and raw margin direction; rounded projected margin. Missing selections are disclosed where applicable.

Scoring total

Median 48.5 points across 8 distinct completed Top 14 games, 2026-09-05–2026-09-26; no personnel or weather adjustment is applied because selections are unverified. Rounded to an integer total of 48 compatible with the 6-point projection. This is a scoring projection, not a validated total or interval.

Margin band

The ±5-point editorial band is not a validated confidence interval; its coverage has not been measured.