Top 14 2026/27 · Round 4
Clermont
Castres Olympique
Stade Marcel Michelin, Clermont-Ferrand
Championship Standings
After three rounds, Clermont are 9th on 5 points and Castres Olympique 7th on 8. Official Castres table checked 25 September; Bordeaux’s win count is reconciled with their three verified results. The small sample limits its predictive weight.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | +47 | 14 |
| 2 |  Stade Toulousain | 3 | 2 | 1 | +39 | 10 |
| 3 |  Bordeaux-Bègles | 3 | 2 | 1 | +53 | 10 |
| 4 |  Section Paloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | +24 | 9 |
| 5 |  Montpellier | 3 | 2 | 1 | +43 | 9 |
| 6 |  Bayonne | 3 | 2 | 1 | -19 | 9 |
| 7 |  Castres Olympique | 3 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 |  Stade Rochelais | 3 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 8 |
| 9 |  Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | -17 | 5 |
| 10 |  USA Perpignan | 3 | 1 | 2 | -25 | 5 |
| 11 |  Stade Francais Paris | 3 | 1 | 2 | -37 | 4 |
| 12 |  Racing 92 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -66 | 4 |
| 13 |  RC Toulonnais | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 |  Vannes | 3 | 0 | 3 | -29 | 0 |
Clermont
W1, D0, L2Top 14 only: 3 completed matches, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-19; 85 points for and 102 against. Clermont scored 36 in defeat at Lyon and beat Paris 25–16 before losing 46–24 at Bayonne. The attack has kept producing, but their two away concessions are a warning about defensive consistency.
Castres Olympique
W2, D0, L1Top 14 only: 3 completed matches, 2026-09-05 to 2026-09-19; 87 points for and 90 against. Castres have beaten Vannes and Toulon at home, both times scoring 29. Their only away game ended in a 43–29 defeat at Perpignan, which limits how much credit the 2–1 record receives.
Head-to-head: retrieved recent sample
4 – 0 – 2
Clermont wins · Draws · Castres Olympique wins; 6 Top 14 meetings, all venues, 2024-01-27–2026-01-31
Clermont (4)
Clermont’s last two home wins over Castres were 63–14 and 54–10. Those are powerful venue signals, but the latest meeting went 28–23 to Castres and the new selections remain unknown. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.
Recent Results
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Top 14 | Castres Olympique 28–23 Clermont |
| 2025-10-25 | Top 14 | Clermont 63–14 Castres Olympique |
| 2025-05-24 | Top 14 | Castres Olympique 34–29 Clermont |
| 2024-11-30 | Top 14 | Clermont 54–10 Castres Olympique |
| 2024-05-18 | Top 14 | Clermont 36–20 Castres Olympique |
| 2024-01-27 | Top 14 | Castres Olympique 20–23 Clermont |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean, rounded: Clermont 38.0 – Castres Olympique 21.0. Team orientation is fixed regardless of venue.
Extended Form
ClermontW15, D0, L11
Retrieved Top 14 sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (26 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-19 Bayonne 46–24 Clermont; 2026-09-12 Clermont 25–16 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-09-05 Lyon 40–36 Clermont; 2026-06-06 Bordeaux-Bègles 31–34 Clermont; 2026-05-31 Clermont 13–41 Racing 92; 2026-05-16 Section Paloise 24–19 Clermont; 2026-05-09 Clermont 45–14 USA Perpignan; 2026-04-26 Stade Toulousain 24–27 Clermont; 2026-04-18 Clermont 41–23 Lyon; 2026-03-29 Stade Francais Paris 64–20 Clermont; 2026-03-21 Clermont 17–20 Montpellier; 2026-02-28 Clermont 38–15 Bayonne; 2026-02-14 RC Toulonnais 14–34 Clermont; 2026-01-31 Castres Olympique 28–23 Clermont; 2026-01-25 Clermont 32–27 Stade Rochelais; 2026-01-03 Montauban 19–34 Clermont; 2025-12-27 Clermont 34–19 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-12-20 USA Perpignan 26–20 Clermont; 2025-11-29 Clermont 36–32 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-11-22 Lyon 43–24 Clermont; 2025-11-01 Montpellier 7–9 Clermont; 2025-10-25 Clermont 63–14 Castres Olympique; 2025-10-18 Bayonne 44–17 Clermont; 2025-10-11 Clermont 27–10 RC Toulonnais; 2025-10-04 Clermont 84–31 Montauban; 2025-09-27 Racing 92 43–31 Clermont
Only Top 14 results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Clermont scored 36 in defeat at Lyon and beat Paris 25–16 before losing 46–24 at Bayonne. The attack has kept producing, but their two away concessions are a warning about defensive consistency.
Castres OlympiqueW12, D0, L14
Retrieved Top 14 sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (26 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-19 Castres Olympique 29–27 RC Toulonnais; 2026-09-12 USA Perpignan 43–29 Castres Olympique; 2026-09-05 Castres Olympique 29–20 Vannes; 2026-06-06 Castres Olympique 38–21 RC Toulonnais; 2026-05-30 USA Perpignan 29–27 Castres Olympique; 2026-05-16 Castres Olympique 33–36 Montpellier; 2026-05-09 Section Paloise 27–15 Castres Olympique; 2026-04-25 Lyon 26–21 Castres Olympique; 2026-04-18 Castres Olympique 25–42 Stade Toulousain; 2026-03-28 Castres Olympique 49–17 Montauban; 2026-03-21 Racing 92 52–21 Castres Olympique; 2026-02-28 Castres Olympique 26–31 Stade Rochelais; 2026-02-14 Bordeaux-Bègles 57–32 Castres Olympique; 2026-01-31 Castres Olympique 28–23 Clermont; 2026-01-24 Bayonne 10–13 Castres Olympique; 2026-01-03 Stade Francais Paris 33–15 Castres Olympique; 2025-12-27 Castres Olympique 36–22 Lyon; 2025-12-20 Montpellier 33–31 Castres Olympique; 2025-11-29 Castres Olympique 23–7 USA Perpignan; 2025-11-22 Stade Rochelais 17–19 Castres Olympique; 2025-11-01 Castres Olympique 26–28 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2025-10-25 Clermont 63–14 Castres Olympique; 2025-10-18 Castres Olympique 29–24 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-10-11 Montauban 28–32 Castres Olympique; 2025-10-04 Castres Olympique 20–16 Racing 92; 2025-09-27 Stade Toulousain 59–12 Castres Olympique
Only Top 14 results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Castres have beaten Vannes and Toulon at home, both times scoring 29. Their only away game ended in a 43–29 defeat at Perpignan, which limits how much credit the 2–1 record receives.
Clermont XV
Unverified as of 2026-09-25T05:50:21.360Z. Checked https://www.asm-rugby.com/, Flashscore match details (empty), and focused searches for both teams and this fixture date, including LNR match coverage. No authoritative match-day XV was verified; squad lists and predicted selections are not presented as the team.
Castres Olympique XV
Unverified as of 2026-09-25T05:50:21.360Z. Checked https://castres-olympique.com/, Flashscore match details (empty), and focused searches for both teams and this fixture date, including LNR match coverage. No authoritative match-day XV was verified; squad lists and predicted selections are not presented as the team.
Key Matchups
Clermont should test whether Castres can exit more cleanly than they did at Perpignan. Castres need to keep the early score close and make the match about possession under pressure. Named set-piece and halfback edges are ungraded without verified teams. “Close” on an unverified pairing means ungraded, not proven equality.
Match Forecast
Clermont are the home pick because this venue has repeatedly changed the rivalry. The recent home scorelines are much stronger evidence than a two-place table gap after three rounds. Even so, the projection is far narrower than the previous routs.
Castres won the latest meeting and have already shown they can finish tight games this season. Clermont’s 46 conceded at Bayonne also deserves weight. Both selections remain unverified, so this is a team-level call with clear personnel limits. The margin band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.
Clermont by 6 — a provisional call pending verified selections.
Clermont points for–against in the 3-match Top 14 form window.
Castres Olympique points for–against in the 3-match Top 14 form window.
Clermont wins–draws–Castres Olympique wins in the explicitly scoped H2H sample.
Seven-dimension house score from the home perspective; positive favours the home team before the model intercept.