Top 14 2026/27Top 14 2026/27 · Round 5
Bayonne

Bayonne

v
Stade Francais Paris

Stade Francais Paris

Saturday 3 October 2026 · 4:35 PM CEST
Stade Jean Dauger, Bayonne
Tournament

Championship Standings

Verified SofaScore Top 14 standings after four rounds, retrieved before the 2 October cutoff: Bayonne 4th on 13, Stade Francais Paris 8th on 9. The early table is context; its points gap is not scored again after the same results have already influenced form.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
1
Stade ToulousainStade Toulousain
431+6115
2
LyonLyon
431+2614
3
Section PaloiseSection Paloise
431+4614
4
BayonneBayonne
431-1613
5
Bordeaux-BèglesBordeaux-Bègles
422+4010
6
ClermontClermont
422-310
7
MontpellierMontpellier
422+219
8
Stade Francais ParisStade Francais Paris
422-169
9
USA PerpignanUSA Perpignan
422-129
10
Castres OlympiqueCastres Olympique
422-178
11
Stade RochelaisStade Rochelais
422-288
12
RC ToulonnaisRC Toulonnais
413+148
13
Racing 92Racing 92
413-695
14
VannesVannes
404-470
2026 Form

Bayonne

W3, D0, L1
W2026-09-26: Racing 92 v Bayonne (A)17–20+3
W2026-09-19: Bayonne v Clermont (H)46–24+22
L2026-09-12: Section Paloise v Bayonne (A)70–28-42
W2026-09-05: Bayonne v RC Toulonnais (H)27–26+1
PF 121PA 137
-16 PD

Current 2026/27 season: 4 completed matches, 2026-09-05–2026-09-26, 121 for and 137 against. Bayonne have three wins in four, including a 20–17 away recovery after the 70–28 Pau defeat. Paris have two home wins and two away defeats, the latter by nine and thirty; the split supports a modest home-form lean.

Stade Francais Paris

W2, D0, L2
W2026-09-26: Stade Francais Paris v Lyon (H)31–10+21
L2026-09-20: Bordeaux-Bègles v Stade Francais Paris (A)40–10-30
L2026-09-12: Clermont v Stade Francais Paris (A)25–16-9
W2026-09-05: Stade Francais Paris v USA Perpignan (H)28–26+2
PF 85PA 101
-16 PD

Current 2026/27 season: 4 completed matches, 2026-09-05–2026-09-26, 85 for and 101 against. The latest result was Stade Francais Paris 31–10 Lyon. The displayed sample contains 2 home wins from 2 home games and 0 away wins; opponent strength, venue and changed selections limit how directly the old results transfer.

History

Head-to-head: retrieved league sample

3 – 0 – 3

Bayonne wins · Draws · Stade Francais Paris wins; 6 Top 14 meetings, all venues, 2023-10-29–2026-05-30

BayonneBayonne (3)
(3) Stade Francais ParisStade Francais Paris
3W
3W

The six retrieved meetings split three wins apiece, with every winner at home. Bayonne’s latest home success was 35–34, so the venue pattern supports direction much more than an easy margin. This is the stated retrieved sample, not an all-time record.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
2026-05-30Top 14Stade Francais Paris 38–21 Bayonne
2025-12-27Top 14Bayonne 35–34 Stade Francais Paris
2025-03-22Top 14Stade Francais Paris 31–27 Bayonne
2024-12-01Top 14Bayonne 21–13 Stade Francais Paris
2024-04-20Top 14Stade Francais Paris 28–24 Bayonne
2023-10-29Top 14Bayonne 16–3 Stade Francais Paris

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Bayonne 24.0 – Stade Francais Paris 24.5 across these 6 meetings, oriented to the report teams regardless of venue.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

BayonneW11, D0, L15

Retrieved Top 14 sample within the last twelve months, 26 games, 2025-10-05–2026-09-26; partial provider history, not a claim to cover every fixture. 2026-09-26: Racing 92 17–20 Bayonne; 2026-09-19: Bayonne 46–24 Clermont; 2026-09-12: Section Paloise 70–28 Bayonne; 2026-09-05: Bayonne 27–26 RC Toulonnais; 2026-06-06: Bayonne 52–7 USA Perpignan; 2026-05-30: Stade Francais Paris 38–21 Bayonne; 2026-05-16: Lyon 42–35 Bayonne; 2026-05-09: Bayonne 38–40 Bordeaux-Bègles; 2026-04-25: RC Toulonnais 52–26 Bayonne; 2026-04-18: Bayonne 22–54 Section Paloise; 2026-03-28: Bayonne 26–15 Stade Rochelais; 2026-03-21: Montauban 26–60 Bayonne; 2026-02-28: Clermont 38–15 Bayonne; 2026-02-14: Bayonne 36–41 Racing 92; 2026-01-31: Stade Toulousain 31–10 Bayonne; 2026-01-24: Bayonne 10–13 Castres Olympique; 2026-01-03: Montpellier 62–22 Bayonne; 2025-12-27: Bayonne 35–34 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-12-20: Stade Rochelais 49–17 Bayonne; 2025-11-29: Bayonne 22–20 Lyon; 2025-11-22: Racing 92 47–27 Bayonne; 2025-11-01: Bayonne 49–7 Montauban; 2025-10-25: Bordeaux-Bègles 41–12 Bayonne; 2025-10-18: Bayonne 44–17 Clermont; 2025-10-11: Section Paloise 47–24 Bayonne; 2025-10-05: Bayonne 40–26 Stade Toulousain

Bayonne scored 764 and conceded 884 in this explicitly bounded sample. Current selections are still unverified, so older personnel advantages are not carried into the scorecard.

Stade Francais ParisW16, D1, L11

Retrieved Top 14 sample within the last twelve months, 28 games, 2025-10-04–2026-09-26; partial provider history, not a claim to cover every fixture. 2026-09-26: Stade Francais Paris 31–10 Lyon; 2026-09-20: Bordeaux-Bègles 40–10 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-09-12: Clermont 25–16 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-09-05: Stade Francais Paris 28–26 USA Perpignan; 2026-06-20: Montpellier 25–15 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-06-14: Stade Francais Paris 45–5 Stade Rochelais; 2026-06-06: Stade Rochelais 27–22 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-05-30: Stade Francais Paris 38–21 Bayonne; 2026-05-16: Montauban 25–73 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-05-09: Stade Francais Paris 59–17 Lyon; 2026-04-25: Stade Francais Paris 34–32 Section Paloise; 2026-04-19: Racing 92 47–20 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-03-29: Stade Francais Paris 64–20 Clermont; 2026-03-21: RC Toulonnais 27–46 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-02-28: Stade Francais Paris 42–21 USA Perpignan; 2026-02-15: Stade Francais Paris 9–13 Stade Toulousain; 2026-01-31: Montpellier 44–7 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-01-24: Bordeaux-Bègles 28–33 Stade Francais Paris; 2026-01-03: Stade Francais Paris 33–15 Castres Olympique; 2025-12-27: Bayonne 35–34 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-12-20: Stade Francais Paris 20–20 Racing 92; 2025-11-29: Clermont 36–32 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-11-23: Stade Francais Paris 51–24 RC Toulonnais; 2025-11-01: Stade Toulousain 29–17 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-10-25: Stade Francais Paris 35–12 Montpellier; 2025-10-18: Castres Olympique 29–24 Stade Francais Paris; 2025-10-11: Stade Francais Paris 26–24 Stade Rochelais; 2025-10-04: USA Perpignan 11–28 Stade Francais Paris

Stade Francais Paris scored 892 and conceded 688 in this explicitly bounded sample. Current selections are still unverified, so older personnel advantages are not carried into the scorecard.

Team News
Bayonne

Bayonne XV

Selected XV and bench unverified at the 2 October 2026, 16:52 SAST cutoff. Checked abrugby.fr, the official LNR round-five match sheet and focused current-week team searches; no selected team was verified. Probable teams, training groups and previous-round selections are excluded, leaving personnel dimensions ungraded.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Stade Francais Paris

Stade Francais Paris XV

Selected XV and bench unverified at the 2 October 2026, 16:52 SAST cutoff. Checked stade.fr, the official LNR round-five match sheet and focused current-week team searches; no selected team was verified. Probable teams, training groups and previous-round selections are excluded, leaving personnel dimensions ungraded.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Tactical

Key Matchups

Scrummage
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit
Lineout
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit
Loose forwards
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit
Half-backs
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit
Centres and back three
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit
Replacement depth
Awaiting verified selected unit
Close
Awaiting verified selected unit

No selected-unit edge is asserted before the XVs and benches are verified; “close” in these placeholder rows means ungraded. Robert du Preez (Bayonne) has 32 points in 3 Top 14 appearances at this four-round cutoff; Louis Carbonel (Stade Francais Paris) has 23 points in 3 Top 14 appearances at this four-round cutoff. These are past contributions, not proof that either player is selected this weekend. Announced Paris half-backs or a materially changed Bayonne front row could erase the small result-based advantage. The league results remain the only graded basis beyond venue and head-to-head.

Prediction Scorecard
← Stade Francais Paris edgeBayonne edge →
Home advantage
+2
Form
+1
H2H record
+1
Squad strength
0
Set piece
0
Backline quality
0
Standings gap
0
Net Score+4
Projection
Bayonne 73% · BAY 29 – SFP 23
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreBAY 29 – SFP 23
Win ProbabilityBayonne 73%
Predicted Margin1–11 pts

Bayonne get the six-point provisional lean after a useful 20–17 away win and two current-season home victories. The recent rivalry has consistently rewarded the hosts, although 35–34 is the reminder that this can be very tight. The result-based case is sensible without claiming an unverified pack advantage. The seven-dimension net is +4; the unmodified two-way house output is 73% for Bayonne, with no separate draw probability.

Paris arrive after beating Lyon 31–10 and the selections remain unconfirmed. The 70–28 defeat at Pau is still in Bayonne’s four-game sample; one recovery does not prove the defensive issue has vanished. No backline credit is awarded until the actual players and reserves are known.

Provisional — Bayonne by 6; selected XVs and benches are unverified.

Facts & Stats
Evidence status

Provisional: Home and away selected XVs and benches; three personnel dimensions are ungraded.

Model and margin

legacy-house-2026-09-v1; raw home probability 0.7270, raw home margin +6.40. Unmodified legacy model probability and raw margin direction; rounded projected margin. Missing selections are disclosed where applicable.

Scoring total

Median 51.5 points across 8 distinct completed Top 14 games, 2026-09-05–2026-09-26; no personnel or weather adjustment is applied because selections are unverified. Rounded to an integer total of 52 compatible with the 6-point projection. This is a scoring projection, not a validated total or interval.

Margin band

The ±5-point editorial band is not a validated confidence interval; its coverage has not been measured.