Super Rugby Pacific 2026 · Round 8

Moana Pasifika

v

Chiefs

Saturday 11 April 2026 · 2:05 PM NZST
Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland
Tournament

Championship Standings

The Chiefs sit 3rd on 22 points with five wins from seven — firmly in the playoff hunt. Moana Pasifika are anchored to the bottom with a solitary Round 1 win, a points differential of −162, and six consecutive defeats.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
1
Hurricanes
651+16625
2
Blues
752+9525
3
Chiefs
752+5922
4
Brumbies
743+5020
5
Crusaders
743+4918
6
Queensland Reds
743−4118
7
NSW Waratahs
734−4314
8
Highlanders
734−4414
9
Western Force
725−298
10
Fijian Drua
725−1008
11
Moana Pasifika
716−1624
2026 Form

Moana Pasifika

W1, L6
5L streak
WR1: Fijian Drua v Moana Pasifika (A)40–26+14
LR2: Hurricanes v Moana Pasifika (A)10–52−42
LR4: Chiefs v Moana Pasifika (A)24–57−33
LR5: Blues v Moana Pasifika (A)7–43−36
LR6: Moana Pasifika v Crusaders (H)21–50−29
LR7: Moana Pasifika v Highlanders (H)19–39−20
PF 140PA 302
-162 PD

A season in freefall. After a promising Round 1 victory, Moana Pasifika have lost six straight — conceding 40+ points in four of those defeats. They were demolished 10–52 by the Hurricanes and shipped 57 to the Chiefs just four rounds ago. Scoring 20 points per game while conceding 43 is a recipe for blowouts.

Chiefs

W5, L2
3W streak
WR1: Blues v Chiefs (A)19–15+4
WR2: Highlanders v Chiefs (A)26–23+3
LR3: Chiefs v Crusaders (H)33–43−10
WR4: Chiefs v Moana Pasifika (H)57–24+33
WR6: Western Force v Chiefs (A)24–14+10
WR7: Chiefs v Waratahs (H)42–14+28
PF 225PA 166
+59 PD

The Chiefs have won five of seven and are hitting their stride. After opening with two gritty away wins over the Blues and Highlanders, they bounced back from the Crusaders loss with back-to-back bonus-point wins. The 42–14 romp against the Waratahs had them purring.

History

Head-to-Head Record

0 – 0 – 8

Moana Pasifika wins · Draws · Chiefs wins (all 8 meetings)

Moana Pasifika (0)
(8) Chiefs
8W

The Chiefs have never lost to Moana Pasifika. In eight meetings since Moana's 2022 debut, the Chiefs have won every fixture — scoring 50+ points five times. The closest result was 45–12. The most one-sided rivalry in Super Rugby Pacific.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
Mar 2026Super RugbyChiefs 57–24 Moana Pasifika
May 2025Super RugbyChiefs 85–7 Moana Pasifika
Mar 2025Super RugbyMoana Pasifika 35–50 Chiefs
May 2024Super RugbyMoana Pasifika 7–43 Chiefs
Apr 2024Super RugbyChiefs 68–12 Moana Pasifika
Mar 2023Super RugbyMoana Pasifika 29–52 Chiefs

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Chiefs 52 – Moana Pasifika 18. The Chiefs have won all eight meetings by an average margin of 34 points.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Moana Pasifika5W, 11L

Beat Blues (27–21), Highlanders, Fijian Drua, Waratahs, Crusaders (45–29 away) in 2025. 2026: Beat Fijian Drua, lost 6 straight.

Moana Pasifika showed signs of competitiveness in 2025 but those flashes have vanished in 2026. They've regressed to heavy defeats against quality opposition.

Chiefs10W, 5L

Beat Highlanders (41–24 away), Moana Pasifika (85–7), Crusaders (35–19 away), Brumbies (37–17). 2026: Beat Blues, Highlanders, W. Force, Waratahs away. Losses to Crusaders and Brumbies.

The Chiefs have been consistently strong. Their two 2026 losses came against quality opposition in the Crusaders and Brumbies — hardly cause for concern. With Damian McKenzie orchestrating, they average 32 points per game.

Team News

Moana Pasifika XV

Lineups not yet announced. Moana Pasifika will look for a response after six straight defeats.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements

Chiefs XV

Lineups not yet announced. The Chiefs have a deep squad headlined by All Blacks fly-half Damian McKenzie. Expect Clayton McMillan to maintain a strong selection as the Chiefs target a top-two finish.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Tactical

Key Matchups

Fly-half
TBC
Chiefs
Damian McKenzie
Scrummage
Moana Pasifika pack
Chiefs
Chiefs pack
Back Three
Julian Savea, TBC
Chiefs
Chiefs finishers
Lineout & Maul
Moana Pasifika forwards
Chiefs
Chiefs forwards
Midfield
Moana Pasifika centres
Chiefs
Chiefs centres
Bench Impact
Limited depth
Chiefs
All Blacks-quality replacements

The Chiefs hold a decisive advantage in virtually every department. Damian McKenzie at fly-half is the single biggest mismatch. Moana's only hope is to win the physical battle early and use Pacific Island flair to manufacture tries from turnovers. It's a slim hope.

Prediction Scorecard
Chiefs edgeMoana Pasifika edge →
Home Advantage
+1
Form
-5
H2H Record
-5
Squad Strength
-4
Set Piece
-3
Backline Quality
-4
Standings Gap
-4
Net Score-24
Projection
Chiefs 93% · MOA 14 – CHI 45
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreMOA 14 – CHI 45
Win ProbabilityChiefs 93%
Predicted Margin25–35 pts

Every metric points the same way. The Chiefs are 8–0 all-time with an average margin of 34 points. They're sitting 3rd, have won three of four, and scored 42 unanswered in the second half against the Waratahs. Moana have lost six straight and concede 43 points per game. The scorecard nets at −24 — a comprehensive mismatch.

The only question is the margin. Moana have shown flashes of attacking flair — 35 against the Chiefs last year and 40 against Fijian Drua in Round 1. But the Chiefs' bench will blow the game open in the final quarter. A 30-point margin is the realistic floor.

Chiefs to win comfortably with a bonus point — the only suspense is whether Moana Pasifika can keep it under 40.