Super Rugby Pacific 2026 · Round 11

Moana Pasifika

v

Blues

Saturday 2 May 2026 · 7:05 PM NZST
Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland
Tournament

Championship Standings

The Blues sit 3rd on 33 points and are chasing top spot — just two points off the Hurricanes and Chiefs. Moana Pasifika are anchored to the bottom on 4 points with a points differential of −232 and nine straight defeats. The gap between these sides is as wide as the table allows.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
1
Hurricanes
972+21735
2
Chiefs
1082+12935
3
Blues
1073+8233
4
Crusaders
1055+5426
5
Brumbies
1055+1625
6
Queensland Reds
954−3922
7
Highlanders
1046−4520
8
NSW Waratahs
945−4319
9
Fijian Drua
1046−11316
10
Western Force
936−2614
11
Moana Pasifika
1019−2324
2026 Form

Moana Pasifika

W1, L9
9L streak
WR1: Fijian Drua v Moana Pasifika (A)26–40+14
LR2: Hurricanes v Moana Pasifika (A)52–10−42
LR3: Moana Pasifika v Western Force (H)19–35−16
LR4: Chiefs v Moana Pasifika (A)57–24−33
LR5: Blues v Moana Pasifika (A)43–7−36
LR6: Moana Pasifika v Crusaders (H)21–50−29
LR7: Moana Pasifika v Highlanders (H)19–39−20
LR8: Moana Pasifika v Chiefs (H)17–62−45
LR9: Waratahs v Moana Pasifika (A)29–14−15
LR10: Highlanders v Moana Pasifika (A)27–17−10
PF 192PA 424
-232 PD

Wooden spoon-bound and in freefall. After upsetting Fijian Drua in Round 1, Moana have lost nine on the bounce — conceding 40+ points in five of those defeats and an average of 42 points per game. The 17–62 hammering by the Chiefs in Round 8 was the low point, but the most damning stat is the 7–43 reverse against this very Blues side just five rounds ago.

Blues

W7, L3
2W streak
LR1: Blues v Chiefs (H)15–19−4
WR2: Western Force v Blues (A)32–42+10
LR3: Brumbies v Blues (A)30–27−3
WR4: Blues v Crusaders (H)29–13+16
WR5: Blues v Moana Pasifika (H)43–7+36
WR6: Waratahs v Blues (A)20–35+15
WR7: Blues v Fijian Drua (H)40–15+25
LR8: Hurricanes v Blues (A)42–19−23
WR9: Blues v Highlanders (H)47–40+7
WR10: Blues v Reds (H)36–33+3
PF 333PA 251
+82 PD

The Blues are humming. Seven wins from ten, riding a four-from-five surge into this game with the only blip a 42–19 setback in Wellington. They've scored 33+ points in seven of ten matches and posted 40+ four times. The recent run of three consecutive wins — albeit two by single-digit margins over the Highlanders and Reds — has them firmly in the title conversation, two points off top spot.

History

Head-to-Head Record

1 – 0 – 6

Moana Pasifika wins · Draws · Blues wins (last 7 meetings)

Moana Pasifika (1)
(6) Blues
1W
6W

The Blues have dominated this fixture, winning six of seven all-time meetings. Moana's sole victory came in March 2024 — a 27–21 home upset that remains the only blemish on the Blues' record. The 43–7 Round 5 result this season reset any false hopes from that breakthrough and confirmed the natural order.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
Mar 2026Super RugbyBlues 43–7 Moana Pasifika
May 2025Super RugbyBlues 36–17 Moana Pasifika
Mar 2025Super RugbyMoana Pasifika 8–47 Blues
Mar 2024Super RugbyMoana Pasifika 27–21 Blues
Apr 2023Super RugbyBlues 31–30 Moana Pasifika
Apr 2022Super RugbyBlues 46–16 Moana Pasifika

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Blues 38 – Moana Pasifika 18. The Blues have won by an average margin of 20 points across the seven meetings.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Moana Pasifika2W, 14L

2025: Beat Highlanders, Fijian Drua, Waratahs, Crusaders away; lost heavily to Chiefs (85–7), Hurricanes (64–12), Blues (47–8). 2026: Beat Fijian Drua R1, lost 9 straight.

Moana's 2025 contained genuine highlights — a 45–29 win in Christchurch and a 27–21 home upset over the Blues — but those moments have evaporated in 2026. Conceding 42 points per game across this losing streak says everything about where they're at.

Blues11W, 5L

2025: Beat Crusaders 26–6, Waratahs 41–12, Highlanders 16–9, Hurricanes 36–25, reached SR final. 2026: 7-3, beat Crusaders, Waratahs, Drua, Highlanders, Reds.

The Blues reached the 2025 final and have carried that form into 2026. Their losses this season have all come on the road or against top-six opposition — they remain the form attacking unit in New Zealand outside the Hurricanes.

Team News

Moana Pasifika XV

Lineups not yet announced. Moana Pasifika will need wholesale changes after the 27–17 reverse in Dunedin, but with the playoffs gone the focus shifts to pride and squad development.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements

Blues XV

Lineups not yet announced. Vern Cotter has the Blues firing and will likely keep selection settled after the back-to-back home wins over the Highlanders and Reds. Beauden Barrett, Stephen Perofeta and Hoskins Sotutu remain the spine of this side.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Tactical

Key Matchups

Fly-half
TBC
Blues
Beauden Barrett / Stephen Perofeta
Loose Forwards
Moana back row
Blues
Dalton Papali'i, Hoskins Sotutu
Scrummage
Moana Pasifika pack
Blues
Blues pack (Tuipulotu, de Groot)
Back Three
Moana finishers
Blues
Mark Tele'a, Caleb Clarke, Zarn Sullivan
Lineout & Maul
Moana forwards
Blues
Patrick Tuipulotu-led Blues lineout
Bench Impact
Limited depth
Blues
All Blacks-laden bench

The Blues hold a decisive edge across every facet. The All Blacks-laden back three of Tele'a, Clarke and Sullivan against a leaky Moana defence is the single biggest mismatch — expect line breaks to become tries with regularity. Moana's only realistic route to keeping it competitive is to win the breakdown battle, slow Blues ball, and take any half-chances. Round 5's 43–7 scoreline tells you what happens when those things don't go their way.

Prediction Scorecard
Blues edgeMoana Pasifika edge →
Home Advantage
+1
Form
-5
H2H Record
-4
Squad Strength
-4
Set Piece
-3
Backline Quality
-4
Standings Gap
-4
Net Score-23
Projection
Blues 92% · MOA 14 – BLU 45
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreMOA 14 – BLU 45
Win ProbabilityBlues 92%
Predicted Margin25–35 pts

Every dimension points the same way. The Blues won the Round 5 fixture 43–7, are 6-1 in the last seven meetings, and arrive on the back of three consecutive wins. Moana have lost nine straight by an average margin of 25 points, conceding 42 per game. The scorecard nets at −23 — squarely in mismatch territory — and there's no narrative twist available to soften it.

The only intrigue is whether the Blues, with one eye on top spot and bonus-point arithmetic, push for a fifty-burger. Moana have shown attacking flashes — the 27–21 upset in 2024 happened at this very ground — but the 2026 version of this side hasn't kept any opponent under 27 points. Expect the Blues to lead by 20 at the break and empty the bench in the final quarter.

Blues by 30 with the bonus point — Moana's losing streak ticks over to ten.