Two rounds of Super Rugby AUS are complete. Waratahs: W2, D0, L0; Western Force: W2, D0, L0. A complete verified bonus-point table was unavailable, so rows are left empty rather than inferred from scores.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|
Super Rugby AUS only: 2 completed matches, 2026-09-13 to 2026-09-19; 85 points for and 38 against. The Waratahs won both away games, scoring 38 against Brumbies and 47 against Reds. Conceding 19 in each provides a more balanced opening than a single explosive score would.
Super Rugby AUS only: 2 completed matches, 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-20; 69 points for and 40 against. Force followed the 29–28 escape against Reds with a 40–12 win over Brumbies. That improvement is substantial, but two matches remain a very small sample.
3 – 0 – 3
Waratahs wins · Draws · Western Force wins; 6 Super Rugby AUS and Pacific meetings, all venues, 2025-03-08–2026-05-30
The six-game sample mixes Super Rugby AUS and Pacific, explicitly labelled in the results. Force won both Pacific meetings this year, while Waratahs won the October 2025 AUS meeting; none of those squads is identical to Sunday’s. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Super Rugby Pacific | Western Force 31–25 Waratahs |
| 2026-05-01 | Super Rugby Pacific | Waratahs 17–20 Western Force |
| 2025-10-05 | Super Rugby AUS | Western Force 26–33 Waratahs |
| 2025-09-12 | Super Rugby AUS | Waratahs 3–24 Western Force |
| 2025-05-24 | Super Rugby Pacific | Western Force 17–22 Waratahs |
| 2025-03-08 | Super Rugby Pacific | Waratahs 34–10 Western Force |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean, rounded: Waratahs 22.3 – Western Force 21.3. Team orientation is fixed regardless of venue.
Retrieved Super Rugby AUS sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (4 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-19 Queensland Reds 19–47 Waratahs; 2026-09-13 Brumbies 19–38 Waratahs; 2025-10-05 Western Force 26–33 Waratahs; 2025-09-27 Brumbies 34–42 Waratahs
Only Super Rugby AUS results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. The Waratahs won both away games, scoring 38 against Brumbies and 47 against Reds. Conceding 19 in each provides a more balanced opening than a single explosive score would.
Retrieved Super Rugby AUS sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (4 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-20 Western Force 40–12 Brumbies; 2026-09-12 Queensland Reds 28–29 Western Force; 2025-10-05 Western Force 26–33 Waratahs; 2025-09-28 Western Force 22–47 Queensland Reds
Only Super Rugby AUS results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Force followed the 29–28 escape against Reds with a 40–12 win over Brumbies. That improvement is substantial, but two matches remain a very small sample.
Confirmed by Rugby Australia on 23 September. Grover starts at nine and Amatosero returns after his late withdrawal last week. The announced extended replacement list is retained.
Confirmed by Rugby Australia on 23 September. Pietsch returns and Hosea joins the starting pack. The roundup’s missing comma between Wallace Charlie and Boston Fakafanua is resolved using the club’s squad list; its extended bench is retained.
Grover’s first start puts Waratahs’ tempo opposite Hastie and Beale’s experience. Force can test the home front row through Robertson and Dolly, while the hosts want quick ball for Harvey. The new combinations make control of the first two phases more valuable than a broad brand-based comparison.
Waratahs get the narrow home call in a meeting of two unbeaten AUS sides. Their wins were both away and both comfortable, which earns a small form edge. This is a development competition with selected groups that differ from Pacific season lineups.
Force’s 40–12 win and experienced front row make them a serious threat. Beale can exploit loose kicking, and Pietsch returns on the wing. The six-match historical split and two-game current sample argue for a restrained margin. The margin band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.
Waratahs by 5 — the selected sides and verified results set the case.
Waratahs points for–against in the 2-match Super Rugby AUS form window.
Western Force points for–against in the 2-match Super Rugby AUS form window.
Waratahs wins–draws–Western Force wins in the explicitly scoped H2H sample.
Seven-dimension house score from the home perspective; positive favours the home team before the model intercept.