Super Rugby AUS 2026 · Round 3
Brumbies

Brumbies

v
Queensland Reds

Queensland Reds

Sunday 27 September 2026 · 2:35 PM AEST
Viking Park, Canberra
Tournament

Championship Standings

Two rounds of Super Rugby AUS are complete. Brumbies: W0, D0, L2; Queensland Reds: W0, D0, L2. A complete verified bonus-point table was unavailable, so rows are left empty rather than inferred from scores.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
2026 Form

Brumbies

W0, D0, L2
2L streak
L2026-09-20: Western Force v Brumbies (A)40–12-28
L2026-09-13: Brumbies v Waratahs (H)19–38-19
PF 31PA 78
-47 PD

Super Rugby AUS only: 2 completed matches, 2026-09-13 to 2026-09-20; 31 points for and 78 against. Brumbies conceded 38 to Waratahs and 40 to Force, scoring only 31 across both games. They need a basic improvement in possession and exits before the attacking names can influence the result.

Queensland Reds

W0, D0, L2
2L streak
L2026-09-19: Queensland Reds v Waratahs (H)19–47-28
L2026-09-12: Queensland Reds v Western Force (H)28–29-1
PF 47PA 76
-29 PD

Super Rugby AUS only: 2 completed matches, 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-19; 47 points for and 76 against. Reds missed Force by one point before losing 47–19 to Waratahs. That first result makes them more competitive than the raw 0–2 record, although their defence has also conceded heavily.

History

Head-to-head: retrieved recent sample

3 – 0 – 3

Brumbies wins · Draws · Queensland Reds wins; 6 Super Rugby AUS and Pacific meetings, all venues, 2024-03-30–2026-05-02

BrumbiesBrumbies (3)
(3) Queensland RedsQueensland Reds
3W
3W

Reds won the latest three meetings, but two were Pacific fixtures and the other was the 2025 AUS game. Brumbies won the preceding three, which is a useful warning about overreading a changing development rivalry. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
2026-05-02Super Rugby PacificQueensland Reds 30–21 Brumbies
2026-03-07Super Rugby PacificBrumbies 31–34 Queensland Reds
2025-09-14Super Rugby AUSQueensland Reds 36–26 Brumbies
2025-05-17Super Rugby PacificBrumbies 24–14 Queensland Reds
2025-04-12Super Rugby PacificQueensland Reds 26–39 Brumbies
2024-03-30Super Rugby PacificQueensland Reds 19–20 Brumbies

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean, rounded: Brumbies 26.8 – Queensland Reds 26.5. Team orientation is fixed regardless of venue.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

BrumbiesW0, D0, L3

Retrieved Super Rugby AUS sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (3 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-20 Western Force 40–12 Brumbies; 2026-09-13 Brumbies 19–38 Waratahs; 2025-09-27 Brumbies 34–42 Waratahs

Only Super Rugby AUS results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Brumbies conceded 38 to Waratahs and 40 to Force, scoring only 31 across both games. They need a basic improvement in possession and exits before the attacking names can influence the result.

Queensland RedsW1, D0, L2

Retrieved Super Rugby AUS sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (3 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-19 Queensland Reds 19–47 Waratahs; 2026-09-12 Queensland Reds 28–29 Western Force; 2025-09-28 Western Force 22–47 Queensland Reds

Only Super Rugby AUS results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Reds missed Force by one point before losing 47–19 to Waratahs. That first result makes them more competitive than the raw 0–2 record, although their defence has also conceded heavily.

Team News
Brumbies

Brumbies XV

Starting XV confirmed by Rugby Australia on 23 September: Nelson partners Edmed and Toole shifts to fullback. The replacement list is withheld because the source names one player only as “Klayton”; the incomplete list could not be independently verified. Lachlan Lonergan’s return from the bench is explicitly confirmed in the announcement.

Forwards
1Lington Ieli
2Liam Bowron
3Tevita Alatini
4Nick Frost
5Toby Macpherson(c)
6Tavita Loughland
7Eli Langi
8Oscar Cleary
Backs
9Dan Nelson
10Tane Edmed
11Triston Reilly
12Jarrah McLeod
13Kadin Pritchard
14Ollie Sapsford
15Corey Toole
Replacements
Queensland Reds

Queensland Reds XV

Confirmed by Rugby Australia on 23 September. Pappin starts in midfield, King and Latu enter the starting pack, and Volavola supplies experience at fifteen. The announced extended replacement list is retained.

Forwards
1George Blake
2Matt Faessler(c)
3Trevor King
4Will Ross
5Charlie Brosnan
6Joe Brial
7John Bryant
8Vaiuta Latu
Backs
9Mosiah Christian
10Tom Lynagh
11Sefa Naivalu
12Jake Pappin
13Josh Takai
14Tim Ryan
15Ben Volavola
Replacements
16Zac Hough
17Harrison Usher
18Nick Bloomfield
19Jake Kurbatoff
20Tom Robinson
21Flynn McDermott
22Will McCulloch
23David Fusitu'a
24Dom Thygesen
25Alex Flanagan-Smith
Tactical

Key Matchups

Front row
Lington Ieli / Liam Bowron / Tevita Alatini
Close
George Blake / Matt Faessler / Trevor King
Locks
Nick Frost / Toby Macpherson
Close
Will Ross / Charlie Brosnan
Back row
Tavita Loughland / Eli Langi / Oscar Cleary
Close
Joe Brial / John Bryant / Vaiuta Latu
Halfbacks
Dan Nelson / Tane Edmed
Brumbies
Mosiah Christian / Tom Lynagh
Centres
Jarrah McLeod / Kadin Pritchard
Close
Jake Pappin / Josh Takai
Back three
Triston Reilly / Ollie Sapsford / Corey Toole
Close
Sefa Naivalu / Tim Ryan / Ben Volavola

Edmed and Lynagh provide the clearest attacking contest, with Toole and Volavola behind them. Brumbies need Nelson’s service to bring those runners into the game before Reds can slow possession. Reds can reverse the call by repeating their competitive Force performance and forcing Brumbies into another defensive afternoon.

Prediction Scorecard
← Queensland Reds edgeBrumbies edge →
Home advantage
+2
Form
-1
H2H record
-1
Squad strength
0
Set piece
0
Backline quality
+1
Standings gap
0
Net Score+1
Projection
Brumbies 67% · BRU 31 – RED 27
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreBRU 31 – RED 27
Win ProbabilityBrumbies 67%
Predicted Margin1–9 pts

Brumbies are a modest home lean, with Edmed and Toole giving the selected backline a route to improvement. Nothing in the two-game results makes this a comfortable pick. The house home intercept does much of the work in a close scorecard.

Reds were much closer to Force and have won the latest three mixed-competition meetings. The Brumbies bench is incompletely identified in the official source, so its full list is withheld and squad strength stays ungraded. Expect a vulnerable favourite in a game both sides need to use for a response. The margin band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.

Brumbies by 4 — a narrow call with little room for error.

Facts & Stats
31–78

Brumbies points for–against in the 2-match Super Rugby AUS form window.

47–76

Queensland Reds points for–against in the 2-match Super Rugby AUS form window.

3–0–3

Brumbies wins–draws–Queensland Reds wins in the explicitly scoped H2H sample.

+1

Seven-dimension house score from the home perspective; positive favours the home team before the model intercept.