Two rounds of Super Rugby AUS are complete. Brumbies: W0, D0, L2; Queensland Reds: W0, D0, L2. A complete verified bonus-point table was unavailable, so rows are left empty rather than inferred from scores.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|
Super Rugby AUS only: 2 completed matches, 2026-09-13 to 2026-09-20; 31 points for and 78 against. Brumbies conceded 38 to Waratahs and 40 to Force, scoring only 31 across both games. They need a basic improvement in possession and exits before the attacking names can influence the result.
Super Rugby AUS only: 2 completed matches, 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-19; 47 points for and 76 against. Reds missed Force by one point before losing 47–19 to Waratahs. That first result makes them more competitive than the raw 0–2 record, although their defence has also conceded heavily.
3 – 0 – 3
Brumbies wins · Draws · Queensland Reds wins; 6 Super Rugby AUS and Pacific meetings, all venues, 2024-03-30–2026-05-02
Reds won the latest three meetings, but two were Pacific fixtures and the other was the 2025 AUS game. Brumbies won the preceding three, which is a useful warning about overreading a changing development rivalry. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Super Rugby Pacific | Queensland Reds 30–21 Brumbies |
| 2026-03-07 | Super Rugby Pacific | Brumbies 31–34 Queensland Reds |
| 2025-09-14 | Super Rugby AUS | Queensland Reds 36–26 Brumbies |
| 2025-05-17 | Super Rugby Pacific | Brumbies 24–14 Queensland Reds |
| 2025-04-12 | Super Rugby Pacific | Queensland Reds 26–39 Brumbies |
| 2024-03-30 | Super Rugby Pacific | Queensland Reds 19–20 Brumbies |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean, rounded: Brumbies 26.8 – Queensland Reds 26.5. Team orientation is fixed regardless of venue.
Retrieved Super Rugby AUS sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (3 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-20 Western Force 40–12 Brumbies; 2026-09-13 Brumbies 19–38 Waratahs; 2025-09-27 Brumbies 34–42 Waratahs
Only Super Rugby AUS results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Brumbies conceded 38 to Waratahs and 40 to Force, scoring only 31 across both games. They need a basic improvement in possession and exits before the attacking names can influence the result.
Retrieved Super Rugby AUS sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (3 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-09-19 Queensland Reds 19–47 Waratahs; 2026-09-12 Queensland Reds 28–29 Western Force; 2025-09-28 Western Force 22–47 Queensland Reds
Only Super Rugby AUS results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Reds missed Force by one point before losing 47–19 to Waratahs. That first result makes them more competitive than the raw 0–2 record, although their defence has also conceded heavily.
Starting XV confirmed by Rugby Australia on 23 September: Nelson partners Edmed and Toole shifts to fullback. The replacement list is withheld because the source names one player only as “Klayton”; the incomplete list could not be independently verified. Lachlan Lonergan’s return from the bench is explicitly confirmed in the announcement.
Confirmed by Rugby Australia on 23 September. Pappin starts in midfield, King and Latu enter the starting pack, and Volavola supplies experience at fifteen. The announced extended replacement list is retained.
Edmed and Lynagh provide the clearest attacking contest, with Toole and Volavola behind them. Brumbies need Nelson’s service to bring those runners into the game before Reds can slow possession. Reds can reverse the call by repeating their competitive Force performance and forcing Brumbies into another defensive afternoon.
Brumbies are a modest home lean, with Edmed and Toole giving the selected backline a route to improvement. Nothing in the two-game results makes this a comfortable pick. The house home intercept does much of the work in a close scorecard.
Reds were much closer to Force and have won the latest three mixed-competition meetings. The Brumbies bench is incompletely identified in the official source, so its full list is withheld and squad strength stays ungraded. Expect a vulnerable favourite in a game both sides need to use for a response. The margin band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.
Brumbies by 4 — a narrow call with little room for error.
Brumbies points for–against in the 2-match Super Rugby AUS form window.
Queensland Reds points for–against in the 2-match Super Rugby AUS form window.
Brumbies wins–draws–Queensland Reds wins in the explicitly scoped H2H sample.
Seven-dimension house score from the home perspective; positive favours the home team before the model intercept.