Premiership Rugby 2026/27Premiership Rugby 2026/27 · Round 1
Northampton Saints

Northampton Saints

v
Newcastle Red Bulls

Newcastle Red Bulls

Friday 25 September 2026 · 7:45 PM BST
DPD Stadium at Franklin’s Gardens, Northampton
Tournament

Championship Standings

The 2026/27 league opens this weekend. No current-season table advantage is awarded; the empty rows avoid presenting last season’s standings as current. Previous league results are assessed separately under form.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
2026 Form

Northampton Saints

W4, D0, L1
2W streak
W2026-06-20: Northampton Saints v Exeter Chiefs (H)26–17+9
W2026-06-12: Northampton Saints v Leicester Tigers (H)45–31+14
L2026-06-06: Harlequins v Northampton Saints (A)38–31-7
W2026-05-30: Northampton Saints v Gloucester (H)36–32+4
W2026-05-15: Northampton Saints v Bristol Bears (H)94–33+61
PF 232PA 151
+81 PD

Premiership Rugby only: 5 completed matches, 2026-05-15 to 2026-06-20; 232 points for and 151 against. The 26–17 final win capped a four-win finish in five league games. Saints also conceded 38 at Harlequins, so the 94–33 Bristol result must not become the whole picture of their level.

Newcastle Red Bulls

W1, D0, L4
3L streak
L2026-06-06: Gloucester v Newcastle Red Bulls (A)54–21-33
W2026-05-30: Newcastle Red Bulls v Sale Sharks (H)45–42+3
L2026-05-16: Bath v Newcastle Red Bulls (A)69–12-57
L2026-05-10: Newcastle Red Bulls v Harlequins (H)17–76-59
L2026-04-24: Newcastle Red Bulls v Bristol Bears (H)19–52-33
PF 114PA 293
-179 PD

Premiership Rugby only: 5 completed matches, 2026-04-24 to 2026-06-06; 114 points for and 293 against. Newcastle’s one win in the five-game league window was a 45–42 thriller against Sale. Heavy defeats elsewhere expose the old side’s defence, but seven starting debutants make a direct carry-over of those numbers unreliable.

History

Head-to-head: retrieved recent sample

6 – 0 – 0

Northampton Saints wins · Draws · Newcastle Red Bulls wins; 6 Premiership Rugby meetings, all venues, 2023-10-29–2026-03-21

Northampton SaintsNorthampton Saints (6)
(0) Newcastle Red BullsNewcastle Red Bulls
6W

Saints won all six retrieved league meetings. Newcastle pushed them to 28–27 in March and 35–34 in April 2025, so dominance in the win column has not always meant a comfortable afternoon. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
2026-03-21Premiership RugbyNorthampton Saints 28–27 Newcastle Red Bulls
2025-10-17Premiership RugbyNewcastle Red Bulls 19–36 Northampton Saints
2025-04-18Premiership RugbyNewcastle Red Bulls 34–35 Northampton Saints
2024-12-28Premiership RugbyNorthampton Saints 61–0 Newcastle Red Bulls
2024-01-27Premiership RugbyNorthampton Saints 38–13 Newcastle Red Bulls
2023-10-29Premiership RugbyNewcastle Red Bulls 14–16 Northampton Saints

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean, rounded: Northampton Saints 35.7 – Newcastle Red Bulls 17.8. Team orientation is fixed regardless of venue.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Northampton SaintsW16, D1, L3

Retrieved Premiership Rugby sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (20 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-06-20 Northampton Saints 26–17 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-06-12 Northampton Saints 45–31 Leicester Tigers; 2026-06-06 Harlequins 38–31 Northampton Saints; 2026-05-30 Northampton Saints 36–32 Gloucester; 2026-05-15 Northampton Saints 94–33 Bristol Bears; 2026-05-09 Leicester Tigers 41–17 Northampton Saints; 2026-04-25 Northampton Saints 41–38 Bath; 2026-04-18 Exeter Chiefs 28–35 Northampton Saints; 2026-03-28 Saracens 17–21 Northampton Saints; 2026-03-21 Northampton Saints 28–27 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-01-24 Sale Sharks 29–43 Northampton Saints; 2026-01-03 Northampton Saints 66–21 Harlequins; 2025-12-27 Bath 21–41 Northampton Saints; 2025-12-20 Northampton Saints 47–21 Sale Sharks; 2025-11-29 Bristol Bears 46–12 Northampton Saints; 2025-10-24 Northampton Saints 43–31 Saracens; 2025-10-17 Newcastle Red Bulls 19–36 Northampton Saints; 2025-10-11 Northampton Saints 32–26 Leicester Tigers; 2025-10-05 Gloucester 35–37 Northampton Saints; 2025-09-28 Northampton Saints 33–33 Exeter Chiefs

Only Premiership Rugby results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. The 26–17 final win capped a four-win finish in five league games. Saints also conceded 38 at Harlequins, so the 94–33 Bristol result must not become the whole picture of their level.

Newcastle Red BullsW2, D0, L16

Retrieved Premiership Rugby sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (18 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-06-06 Gloucester 54–21 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-05-30 Newcastle Red Bulls 45–42 Sale Sharks; 2026-05-16 Bath 69–12 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-05-10 Newcastle Red Bulls 17–76 Harlequins; 2026-04-24 Newcastle Red Bulls 19–52 Bristol Bears; 2026-04-18 Leicester Tigers 62–3 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-03-27 Newcastle Red Bulls 14–38 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-03-21 Northampton Saints 28–27 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-01-24 Saracens 73–14 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-01-02 Newcastle Red Bulls 25–19 Gloucester; 2025-12-27 Bristol Bears 36–27 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2025-12-21 Newcastle Red Bulls 14–50 Bath; 2025-11-28 Newcastle Red Bulls 17–39 Leicester Tigers; 2025-10-25 Harlequins 52–14 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2025-10-17 Newcastle Red Bulls 19–36 Northampton Saints; 2025-10-10 Sale Sharks 57–5 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2025-10-04 Exeter Chiefs 38–15 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2025-09-26 Newcastle Red Bulls 17–39 Saracens

Only Premiership Rugby results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Newcastle’s one win in the five-game league window was a 45–42 thriller against Sale. Heavy defeats elsewhere expose the old side’s defence, but seven starting debutants make a direct carry-over of those numbers unreliable.

Team News
Northampton Saints

Northampton Saints XV

Confirmed 24 September. Pollock reaches 50 Saints appearances; McParland starts with Mitchell available from the bench. Dingwall captains and Pater starts at fullback.

Forwards
1Emmanuel Iyogun
2Curtis Langdon
3Cleopas Kundiona
4Alex Coles
5Ed Prowse
6Josh Kemeny
7Henry Pollock
8Callum Chick
Backs
9Archie McParland
10Fin Smith
11George Hendy
12Fraser Dingwall(c)
13Rory Hutchinson
14Tommy Freeman
15James Pater
Replacements
16Robbie Smith
17Danilo Fischetti
18Ion Neculai
19Tom Lockett
20Josh Taylor
21Alex Mitchell
22Anthony Belleau
23Ollie Sleightholme
Newcastle Red Bulls

Newcastle Red Bulls XV

Confirmed 24 September. Christie leads a side with seven starting debutants. Harris and Wade add experience outside Connon; Sotutu is among the replacement options.

Forwards
1Pouri Rakete-Stones
2George McGuigan
3Elliot Millar-Mills
4Oscar Usher
5Cam Jordan
6Max Hicks
7Tom Christie(c)
8Sam Graham
Backs
9James Elliott
10Brett Connon
11Werner Kok
12Chris Harris
13Alex Hearle
14Christian Wade
15Harrison Obatoyinbo
Replacements
16Ollie Fletcher
17Tom West
18James Harper
19Franco Molina
20Ollie Leatherbarrow
21Simón Benítez Cruz
22Zack Henry
23Hoskins Sotutu
Tactical

Key Matchups

Front row
Emmanuel Iyogun / Curtis Langdon / Cleopas Kundiona
Northampton Saints
Pouri Rakete-Stones / George McGuigan / Elliot Millar-Mills
Locks
Alex Coles / Ed Prowse
Close
Oscar Usher / Cam Jordan
Back row
Josh Kemeny / Henry Pollock / Callum Chick
Close
Max Hicks / Tom Christie / Sam Graham
Halfbacks
Archie McParland / Fin Smith
Northampton Saints
James Elliott / Brett Connon
Centres
Fraser Dingwall / Rory Hutchinson
Close
Chris Harris / Alex Hearle
Back three
George Hendy / Tommy Freeman / James Pater
Close
Werner Kok / Christian Wade / Harrison Obatoyinbo

Fin Smith can make Newcastle’s new combinations defend repeated changes of direction. Christie and Harris give the visitors experienced organisers, while Sotutu could change the carrying contest from the bench. Newcastle need to keep the first quarter controlled enough for those additions to matter.

Prediction Scorecard
← Newcastle Red Bulls edgeNorthampton Saints edge →
Home advantage
+2
Form
+3
H2H record
+4
Squad strength
+2
Set piece
+1
Backline quality
+2
Standings gap
0
Net Score+14
Projection
Northampton Saints 86% · NOR 33 – NEW 18
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreNOR 33 – NEW 18
Win ProbabilityNorthampton Saints 86%
Predicted Margin10–20 pts

Saints are a strong home pick because the champions retain a recognizable spine and can add Mitchell later. Newcastle’s recruitment improves the personnel comparison but does not instantly prove defensive cohesion. The forecast respects their potential without assuming it is already delivered.

The last league meeting was a one-point game, which should stop anyone treating this as a procession. Harris, Wade and Sotutu give Newcastle ways to punish complacency. Saints still need accurate exits and disciplined possession to turn their advantage into the projected margin. The margin band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.

Northampton Saints by 15 — the selected sides and verified results set the case.

Facts & Stats
232–151

Northampton Saints points for–against in the 5-match Premiership Rugby form window.

114–293

Newcastle Red Bulls points for–against in the 5-match Premiership Rugby form window.

6–0–0

Northampton Saints wins–draws–Newcastle Red Bulls wins in the explicitly scoped H2H sample.

+14

Seven-dimension house score from the home perspective; positive favours the home team before the model intercept.