Premiership 2026/27 · Round 3

Exeter Chiefs

Newcastle Red Bulls

Sunday 11 October 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Sandy Park, Exeter

Tournament

Championship Standings

Shared SofaScore total Premiership 2026/27 standings after 2 games per side: Exeter Chiefs 8th on 3, Newcastle Red Bulls 9th on 2. The table repeats the form results, so its dimension stays zero.

Pos	Team	P	W	L	PD	Pts
English Premiership 26/27
1	Gloucester	2	2	0	+69	10
2	Bristol Bears	2	2	0	+25	10
3	Bath	2	2	0	+22	10
4	Northampton Saints	2	1	1	+18	6
5	Leicester Tigers	2	1	1	+3	6
6	Saracens	2	1	1	-2	6
7	Sale Sharks	2	1	1	-6	4
8	Exeter Chiefs	2	0	2	-27	3
9	Newcastle Red Bulls	2	0	2	-38	2
10	Harlequins	2	0	2	-64	0

2026 Form

Exeter Chiefs

W2, D0, L3

2W streak

L2026-10-02: Bath v Exeter Chiefs (A)40–34-6

L2026-09-26: Exeter Chiefs v Gloucester (H)24–45-21

L2026-06-20: Northampton Saints v Exeter Chiefs (A)26–17-9

W2026-06-13: Bath v Exeter Chiefs (A)26–27+1

W2026-06-06: Exeter Chiefs v Saracens (H)32–12+20

PF 134PA 149

-15 PD

Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-06-06–2026-10-02; 134 points for and 149 against. Exeter have lost both rounds, 45–24 against Gloucester and 40–34 at Bath. Scoring 34 away gives them a route to a home recovery, but conceding 85 already makes a routine defensive shutout implausible. The window crosses the off-season; current personnel are assessed separately.

Newcastle Red Bulls

W1, D0, L4

L2026-10-03: Newcastle Red Bulls v Leicester Tigers (H)19–24-5

L2026-09-25: Northampton Saints v Newcastle Red Bulls (A)59–26-33

L2026-06-06: Gloucester v Newcastle Red Bulls (A)54–21-33

W2026-05-30: Newcastle Red Bulls v Sale Sharks (H)45–42+3

L2026-05-16: Bath v Newcastle Red Bulls (A)69–12-57

PF 123PA 248

-125 PD

Same-competition games only: 5 completed matches, 2026-05-16–2026-10-03; 123 points for and 248 against. Newcastle lost 59–26 at Saints and 24–19 at home to Leicester. The second performance was more competitive, yet the five-game 123–248 aggregate shows why that improvement needs another test. The window crosses the off-season; current personnel are assessed separately.

History

Head-to-head: verified recent sample

5 – 0 – 1

Exeter Chiefs wins · Draws · Newcastle Red Bulls wins; 6 same-competition meetings, all venues, 2023-11-26–2026-03-27

Exeter Chiefs (5)

(1) Newcastle Red Bulls

Exeter have won five of six, including both last season’s games: 38–15 here and 38–14 at Newcastle. The older 17–15 home win shows that the rivalry also has room for a much tighter score. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.

Recent Results

Date	Competition	Result
2026-03-27	Premiership Rugby	Newcastle Red Bulls 14–38 Exeter Chiefs
2025-10-04	Premiership Rugby	Exeter Chiefs 38–15 Newcastle Red Bulls
2025-03-29	Premiership Rugby	Exeter Chiefs 17–15 Newcastle Red Bulls
2024-10-18	Premiership Rugby	Newcastle Red Bulls 24–18 Exeter Chiefs
2024-03-23	Premiership Rugby	Exeter Chiefs 25–16 Newcastle Red Bulls
2023-11-26	Premiership Rugby	Newcastle Red Bulls 14–20 Exeter Chiefs

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean: Exeter Chiefs 26.0 – Newcastle Red Bulls 16.3; fixed team orientation regardless of venue.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Exeter ChiefsW11, D0, L9

Retrieved Premiership Rugby sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (20 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-02 Bath 40–34 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-09-26 Exeter Chiefs 24–45 Gloucester; 2026-06-20 Northampton Saints 26–17 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-06-13 Bath 26–27 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-06-06 Exeter Chiefs 32–12 Saracens; 2026-05-31 Leicester Tigers 26–35 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-05-16 Harlequins 41–24 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-05-10 Exeter Chiefs 35–12 Bath; 2026-04-26 Gloucester 34–31 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-04-18 Exeter Chiefs 28–35 Northampton Saints; 2026-03-27 Newcastle Red Bulls 14–38 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-03-21 Exeter Chiefs 26–14 Sale Sharks; 2026-01-24 Exeter Chiefs 3–8 Bristol Bears; 2026-01-03 Bath 33–26 Exeter Chiefs; 2025-12-28 Exeter Chiefs 24–10 Leicester Tigers; 2025-12-20 Saracens 24–30 Exeter Chiefs; 2025-11-28 Sale Sharks 26–27 Exeter Chiefs; 2025-10-25 Exeter Chiefs 39–12 Gloucester; 2025-10-19 Exeter Chiefs 38–0 Harlequins; 2025-10-11 Bristol Bears 18–14 Exeter Chiefs

The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Exeter have lost both rounds, 45–24 against Gloucester and 40–34 at Bath. Scoring 34 away gives them a route to a home recovery, but conceding 85 already makes a routine defensive shutout implausible. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.

Newcastle Red BullsW2, D0, L16

Retrieved Premiership Rugby sample within 9 October 2025–2026-10-09 before this match (18 games; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-10-03 Newcastle Red Bulls 19–24 Leicester Tigers; 2026-09-25 Northampton Saints 59–26 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-06-06 Gloucester 54–21 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-05-30 Newcastle Red Bulls 45–42 Sale Sharks; 2026-05-16 Bath 69–12 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-05-10 Newcastle Red Bulls 17–76 Harlequins; 2026-04-24 Newcastle Red Bulls 19–52 Bristol Bears; 2026-04-18 Leicester Tigers 62–3 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-03-27 Newcastle Red Bulls 14–38 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-03-21 Northampton Saints 28–27 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-01-24 Saracens 73–14 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-01-02 Newcastle Red Bulls 25–19 Gloucester; 2025-12-27 Bristol Bears 36–27 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2025-12-21 Newcastle Red Bulls 14–50 Bath; 2025-11-28 Newcastle Red Bulls 17–39 Leicester Tigers; 2025-10-25 Harlequins 52–14 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2025-10-17 Newcastle Red Bulls 19–36 Northampton Saints; 2025-10-10 Sale Sharks 57–5 Newcastle Red Bulls

The explicitly bounded sample supplies background, not a second score for results already counted under form. Newcastle lost 59–26 at Saints and 24–19 at home to Leicester. The second performance was more competitive, yet the five-game 123–248 aggregate shows why that improvement needs another test. Off-season changes and this week’s selection status limit how directly older results transfer.

Team News

Exeter Chiefs XV

Unverified as of 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z. Checked www.exeterchiefs.co.uk, a focused Exeter Chiefs v Newcastle Red Bulls selection search for 2026-10-11. No complete current XV and bench was verified; arrays remain empty. Personnel dimensions are ungraded, so this provisional team-level call may change.

Forwards

Backs

Replacements

Newcastle Red Bulls XV

Unverified as of 2026-10-09T07:36:12.475Z. Checked www.newcastleredbulls.com, a focused Exeter Chiefs v Newcastle Red Bulls selection search for 2026-10-11. No complete current XV and bench was verified; arrays remain empty. Personnel dimensions are ungraded, so this provisional team-level call may change.

Forwards

Backs

Replacements

Tactical

Key Matchups

Front row

Selection unverified

Locks

Selection unverified

Back row

Selection unverified

Halfbacks

Selection unverified

Centres

Selection unverified

Back three

Selection unverified

Exeter’s current scoring rate and rivalry record favour them, but defensive recovery is the condition. Newcastle should target the same space Bath found; neither selected fly-half nor scrum edge is assumed. All six displayed unit edges are ungraded placeholders; “close” does not mean the unknown selections are equal.

Prediction Scorecard

← Newcastle Red Bulls edgeExeter Chiefs edge →

Home advantage

Ordinary home edge at verified Sandy Park, Exeter; no extra travel or altitude increment.

Form

Exeter have lost both rounds, 45–24 against Gloucester and 40–34 at Bath. Scoring 34 away gives them a route to a home recovery, but conceding 85 already makes a routine defensive shutout implausible. Newcastle lost 59–26 at Saints and 24–19 at home to Leicester. The second performance was more competitive, yet the five-game 123–248 aggregate shows why that improvement needs another test.

H2H record

Exeter have won five of six, including both last season’s games: 38–15 here and 38–14 at Newcastle. The older 17–15 home win shows that the rivalry also has room for a much tighter score.

Squad strength

Ungraded: current XVs and replacements unverified. Historical team form is retained separately; zero does not mean equal selected depth.

Set piece

Ungraded: current front rows unverified and no retrieved current scrum/lineout performance measure. Zero is a missing-evidence placeholder.

Backline quality

Ungraded: current halfbacks, midfield and back three unverified. No assumed roster becomes a selected XV.

Standings gap

Table results overlap the form window; no second reward for the same wins, losses or scoring margins. Early standings are context only.

Net Score+5

Projection

Exeter Chiefs 74% · EXE 36 – NEW 29

Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreEXE 36 – NEW 29

Win ProbabilityExeter Chiefs 74%

Predicted Margin2–12 pts

Exeter Chiefs by 7 is the rounded house-model lean. Exeter scored 34 at Bath and won both latest meetings by more than 20; those results support a home recovery beyond the table. The seven scores total 5, giving a 74% displayed home probability.

Newcastle held Leicester to a five-point game, while Exeter have conceded 85 in two rounds. Missing current selections prevent a confident personnel explanation for either defence. Both current XVs and replacement benches remain unverified; depth, set piece and backline scores are ungraded zeros, so this team-level lean can change. The scoring projection uses a 65.4-point mean from the two dated five-match samples, rounded to 65 for an integer 7-point difference. The 2–12 band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.

Provisional — Exeter Chiefs by 7 — current XVs and benches unverified.

Facts & Stats

134–149

Exeter Chiefs points for–against across the five listed form games.

123–248

Newcastle Red Bulls points for–against across the five listed form games.

5–0–1

Home-side wins, draws, away-side wins in the 6-meeting scoped sample.

Seven-dimension score from the home perspective before the legacy intercept.

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