The 2026/27 league opens this weekend. No current-season table advantage is awarded; the empty rows avoid presenting last season’s standings as current. Previous league results are assessed separately under form.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|
Premiership Rugby only: 5 completed matches, 2026-05-16 to 2026-06-20; 135 points for and 131 against. Exeter beat Leicester away, Saracens at home and Bath away before losing the final to Saints. That is a credible closing schedule even though the five-game record is only three wins.
Premiership Rugby only: 5 completed matches, 2026-04-26 to 2026-06-06; 155 points for and 133 against. Gloucester ended with a 54–21 win over Newcastle and had beaten Exeter 34–31 in April. Their defeats at Saracens and Northampton show the challenge of reproducing that home threat away.
4 – 0 – 2
Exeter Chiefs wins · Draws · Gloucester wins; 6 Premiership Rugby meetings, all venues, 2023-11-19–2026-04-26
Exeter won the three Sandy Park meetings in the six-game sample. Gloucester’s 79–17 home win in 2025 was dramatic but is not a sound forecast for this different venue and season. This is the retrieved recent sample, not an all-time record.
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Premiership Rugby | Gloucester 34–31 Exeter Chiefs |
| 2025-10-25 | Premiership Rugby | Exeter Chiefs 39–12 Gloucester |
| 2025-04-27 | Premiership Rugby | Gloucester 79–17 Exeter Chiefs |
| 2024-12-29 | Premiership Rugby | Exeter Chiefs 22–15 Gloucester |
| 2024-04-28 | Premiership Rugby | Gloucester 17–38 Exeter Chiefs |
| 2023-11-19 | Premiership Rugby | Exeter Chiefs 25–24 Gloucester |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: Sample mean, rounded: Exeter Chiefs 28.7 – Gloucester 30.2. Team orientation is fixed regardless of venue.
Retrieved Premiership Rugby sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (20 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-06-20 Northampton Saints 26–17 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-06-13 Bath 26–27 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-06-06 Exeter Chiefs 32–12 Saracens; 2026-05-31 Leicester Tigers 26–35 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-05-16 Harlequins 41–24 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-05-10 Exeter Chiefs 35–12 Bath; 2026-04-26 Gloucester 34–31 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-04-18 Exeter Chiefs 28–35 Northampton Saints; 2026-03-27 Newcastle Red Bulls 14–38 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-03-21 Exeter Chiefs 26–14 Sale Sharks; 2026-01-24 Exeter Chiefs 3–8 Bristol Bears; 2026-01-03 Bath 33–26 Exeter Chiefs; 2025-12-28 Exeter Chiefs 24–10 Leicester Tigers; 2025-12-20 Saracens 24–30 Exeter Chiefs; 2025-11-28 Sale Sharks 26–27 Exeter Chiefs; 2025-10-25 Exeter Chiefs 39–12 Gloucester; 2025-10-19 Exeter Chiefs 38–0 Harlequins; 2025-10-11 Bristol Bears 18–14 Exeter Chiefs; 2025-10-04 Exeter Chiefs 38–15 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2025-09-28 Northampton Saints 33–33 Exeter Chiefs
Only Premiership Rugby results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Exeter beat Leicester away, Saracens at home and Bath away before losing the final to Saints. That is a credible closing schedule even though the five-game record is only three wins.
Retrieved Premiership Rugby sample within 25 September 2025–24 September 2026 (18 matches; not asserted to be a complete season): 2026-06-06 Gloucester 54–21 Newcastle Red Bulls; 2026-05-30 Northampton Saints 36–32 Gloucester; 2026-05-16 Saracens 30–14 Gloucester; 2026-05-08 Gloucester 21–15 Sale Sharks; 2026-04-26 Gloucester 34–31 Exeter Chiefs; 2026-04-17 Bristol Bears 53–12 Gloucester; 2026-03-28 Gloucester 17–36 Leicester Tigers; 2026-03-21 Harlequins 19–26 Gloucester; 2026-01-23 Gloucester 26–30 Bath; 2026-01-02 Newcastle Red Bulls 25–19 Gloucester; 2025-12-27 Gloucester 21–30 Saracens; 2025-12-19 Leicester Tigers 45–14 Gloucester; 2025-11-29 Gloucester 26–15 Harlequins; 2025-10-25 Exeter Chiefs 39–12 Gloucester; 2025-10-17 Gloucester 34–49 Bristol Bears; 2025-10-11 Bath 38–17 Gloucester; 2025-10-05 Gloucester 35–37 Northampton Saints; 2025-09-25 Sale Sharks 27–10 Gloucester
Only Premiership Rugby results are counted in this extended window; other competitions and friendlies are excluded. Gloucester ended with a 54–21 win over Newcastle and had beaten Exeter 34–31 in April. Their defeats at Saracens and Northampton show the challenge of reproducing that home threat away.
Unverified as of 2026-09-25T05:50:21.360Z. Checked https://www.exeterchiefs.co.uk/, Flashscore match details (empty), and focused searches for both teams and this fixture date, including match-day coverage. No authoritative match-day XV was verified; squad lists and predicted selections are not presented as the team.
Unverified as of 2026-09-25T05:50:21.360Z. Checked https://www.gloucesterrugby.co.uk/, Flashscore match details (empty), and focused searches for both teams and this fixture date, including match-day coverage. No authoritative match-day XV was verified; squad lists and predicted selections are not presented as the team.
The useful verified contest is Exeter’s ability to turn home territory into repeat entries against Gloucester’s away defence. Exact scrum and halfback pairings remain unverified, so no player-level advantage is asserted. Gloucester’s route is to recreate the scoring pressure from April without allowing Exeter to settle into a territorial rhythm. “Close” on an unverified pairing means ungraded, not proven equality.
Exeter are the home pick on the strength of their playoff run and the venue-specific rivalry. Their most recent wins included two difficult away assignments. That gives this call more substance than simply backing the host in round one.
Gloucester won the latest meeting and can threaten if Exeter allow an open game. Both selections remain unverified, with squad, set piece and backline dimensions left ungraded. The displayed probability is the house output from partial evidence, not a fully assessed personnel forecast. The margin band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval.
Exeter Chiefs by 7 — a provisional call pending verified selections.
Exeter Chiefs points for–against in the 5-match Premiership Rugby form window.
Gloucester points for–against in the 5-match Premiership Rugby form window.
Exeter Chiefs wins–draws–Gloucester wins in the explicitly scoped H2H sample.
Seven-dimension house score from the home perspective; positive favours the home team before the model intercept.