Champions Cup 2025/26Champions Cup 2025/26 · Semi-Final
Leinster

Leinster

v
RC Toulon

RC Toulon

Saturday 2 May 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Aviva Stadium, Dublin
Tournament

Championship Standings

Leinster topped Group 3 with a perfect 4/4 — the only side besides Bordeaux and Glasgow with a flawless pool record — earning a home draw all the way through. Toulon finished 8th overall (2nd in Group 2) at 3-1 with a +17 differential. Pool seeding decisively favours the hosts at the Aviva.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
1
Bordeaux-BèglesBordeaux-Bègles
440+7620
2
Glasgow WarriorsGlasgow Warriors
440+4920
3
LeinsterLeinster
440+3518
4
BathBath
431+9116
5
Northampton SaintsNorthampton Saints
431+4616
6
HarlequinsHarlequins
431+9815
7
Bristol BearsBristol Bears
431+5014
8
RC ToulonRC Toulon
431+1714
9
StormersStormers
431−814
10
ToulouseToulouse
422+9412
11
Sale SharksSale Sharks
422−3811
12
SaracensSaracens
422+1310
13
Castres OlympiqueCastres Olympique
422−810
14
SharksSharks
422−1010
15
EdinburghEdinburgh
422−7110
16
MunsterMunster
413−28
17
BullsBulls
413−687
18
Leicester TigersLeicester Tigers
413+36
19
La RochelleLa Rochelle
413−136
20
GloucesterGloucester
413−276
21
Section PaloiseSection Paloise
413−506
22
ScarletsScarlets
404−543
23
ClermontClermont
404−1080
24
BayonneBayonne
404−1150
2026 Form

Leinster

W4, L0
4W streak
WR1: Leinster v Harlequins (H)45–28+17
WR2: Leicester v Leinster (A)15–23+8
WR3: Leinster v La Rochelle (H)25–24+1
WR4: Bayonne v Leinster (A)13–22+9
PF 115PA 80
+35 PD

Leinster were perfect in the pool — but the manner of it raises questions. The 25–24 squeak past La Rochelle at the Aviva and the 23–15 grind at Leicester suggest a side that is winning without dominating. The +35 differential is the smallest of the three pool-toppers (Bordeaux +76, Glasgow +49). Then the R16 (49–31 v Edinburgh) and QF (43–13 v Sale) showed sharper teeth.

RC Toulon

W3, L1
3W streak
LR1: Edinburgh v Toulon (A)33–20−13
WR2: Toulon v Bath (H)45–34+11
WR3: Toulon v Munster (H)27–25+2
WR4: Gloucester v Toulon (A)14–31+17
PF 123PA 106
+17 PD

Toulon opened with a flat 33–20 loss in Edinburgh and have not lost in Europe since. Three straight wins to close the pool — including a 45–34 shootout with Bath and a one-score escape against Munster — earned them 2nd in Group 2. They then beat the Stormers 28–27 in the R16 and stunned Glasgow 22–19 in Scotstoun in the QF. Knockout rugby suits this Toulon side.

History

Head-to-Head

1 – 0 – 4

Leinster wins · Draws · Toulon wins (last 5 meetings, all in Europe)

LeinsterLeinster (1)
(4) RC ToulonRC Toulon
1W
4W

This is the rare fixture where Leinster have a losing record. Toulon have won 4 of the 5 meetings — including the back-to-back pool wins in 2015 and a 29–14 quarter-final in 2014. Leinster's only victory came in 2021, a 30–0 walkover when Toulon were forced to forfeit due to Covid protocols. On the field, Leinster have never beaten this opposition.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
Apr 2021Champions Cup R16Leinster 30–0 RC Toulon (w/o)
Dec 2015Champions Cup PoolLeinster 16–20 RC Toulon
Dec 2015Champions Cup PoolRC Toulon 24–9 Leinster
Apr 2015Champions Cup QFRC Toulon 25–20 Leinster
Apr 2014Heineken Cup QFRC Toulon 29–14 Leinster

Average score in the last 6 meetings: RC Toulon 21 – Leinster 14 (excluding the 2021 walkover). Leinster have not beaten Toulon in a played match — ever. Every prior meeting has come in the Champions Cup or Heineken Cup, and Toulon have won them all on the field.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Leinster16W, 4L (last 20)

Champions Cup 25/26: W6 L0 (pool + R16 + QF). URC: 26 April loss at Benetton 29–26, beat Ulster 29–21, beat Scarlets 36–19, lost at Glasgow 38–17, lost at Cardiff 8–7. Last 12 months also includes the 37–34 home semi-final loss to Northampton in May 2025 that ended their 2024/25 European campaign.

Leinster have lost 3 of their last 8 — all on the road (Benetton, Glasgow, Cardiff) — and the URC form is genuinely shaky. But at the Aviva and at the RDS they remain ruthless: 49–31 v Edinburgh, 43–13 v Sale in the European knockouts. Home Leinster and away Leinster look like two different sides this season.

RC Toulon11W, 7L, 1D (last 19)

Champions Cup 25/26: W5 L1 since R1 (incl. R16 28–27 v Stormers, QF 22–19 at Glasgow). Top 14: 52–26 v Bayonne, 47–22 at Montauban, but lost to Stade Français 46–27, La Rochelle 66–0, Bordeaux 46–7. Sit 11th in Top 14.

Toulon's domestic season has been a mess — 11th in the Top 14, two heavy defeats (66–0 at La Rochelle, 46–7 at Bordeaux). But Europe has been a different competition for them. The 22–19 win at Scotstoun against the pool toppers Glasgow was a statement. Mignoni's side has rediscovered the knockout DNA that defined this club a decade ago.

Team News
Leinster

Leinster XV

Leinster name a near-full-strength XV with Tadhg Furlong passed fit at tighthead despite a Treviso scare. Andrew Porter not in the matchday 23 — Usanov starts at loosehead. Harry Byrne keeps the 10 jersey ahead of Sam Prendergast. Hugo Keenan returns at 15. James Lowe out — Robbie Henshaw and Jamison Gibson-Park both pass fitness checks.

Forwards
1Andrew Usanov
2Dan Sheehan
3Tadhg Furlong
4Joe McCarthy
5James Ryan(c)
6Ryan Baird
7Josh van der Flier
8Jack Conan
Backs
9Jamison Gibson-Park
10Harry Byrne
11Robbie Henshaw
12Jordie Barrett
13Garry Ringrose
14Tommy O'Brien
15Hugo Keenan
Replacements
RC Toulon

RC Toulon XV

Toulon roll out their European A-team. Charles Ollivon is passed fit to lead, with Dan Biggar absent (replaced by Argentine fly-half Tomás Albornoz) and Melvyn Jaminet at fullback. Kyle Sinckler anchors the scrum at tighthead, and David Ribbans makes it through fitness checks at lock.

Forwards
1Jean-Baptiste Gros
2Teddy Baubigny
3Kyle Sinckler
4Cédric Mézou
5David Ribbans
6Jordan Kpoku
7Charles Ollivon(c)
8Mvelo Shioshvili
Backs
9Baptiste Couilloud
10Tomás Albornoz
11Sireli Tuicuvu
12Jérémy Sinzelle
13Ignacio Brex
14Gabin Villière
15Melvyn Jaminet
Replacements
Tactical

Key Matchups

Half-backs
Gibson-Park / H. Byrne
Leinster
Couilloud / Albornoz
Front Row
Usanov / Sheehan / Furlong
Close
Gros / Baubigny / Sinckler
Second Row
McCarthy / Ryan
Leinster
Mézou / Ribbans
Backrow
Baird / Van der Flier / Conan
Close
Kpoku / Ollivon / Shioshvili
Midfield
Barrett / Ringrose
Leinster
Sinzelle / Brex
Back Three
Henshaw / O'Brien / Keenan
Close
Tuicuvu / Villière / Jaminet

The decisive area is half-back: Gibson-Park is comfortably the best 9 on the pitch and Leinster's tempo through him is the single biggest difference between these sides. Toulon's hopes hinge on Brex — the Italy centre has been their playoff X-factor — and on Ollivon disrupting at the breakdown. The packs are close on paper, but the Leinster engine room of McCarthy and Ryan should edge the lineout exchange. If Toulon can keep this within a score at 60 minutes, their bench is the kind that wins tight games.

Prediction Scorecard
RC Toulon edgeLeinster edge →
Home Advantage
+4
Form
+2
H2H Record
-3
Squad Strength
+4
Set Piece
+2
Backline Quality
+3
Standings Gap
+3
Net Score+15
Projection
Leinster 80% · LEI 31 – TLN 17
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreLEI 31 – TLN 17
Win ProbabilityLeinster 80%
Predicted Margin12–18 pts

Leinster are too strong, too deep, and too dialled-in at the Aviva for this to be a coin flip — even with the historical H2H millstone. The scorecard nets +15 driven by squad strength, Aviva home advantage, and a class gap at half-back and in the centres. Gibson-Park and Barrett against Couilloud and Sinzelle is a mismatch on tempo and physical edge. Add a Sheehan-led lineout-maul that has been a knockout weapon for two seasons, and the pathway to a Leinster win is well-rehearsed.

The wobble case is real, though. Leinster have lost 3 URC matches in two months — at Glasgow, Cardiff, and Benetton — and the 25–24 squeak past La Rochelle in the pool showed they can be dragged into a wrestle. Toulon are the perfect side to do that: Ollivon and Brex give them a knockout-seasoned spine, and their 22–19 win at Glasgow proves they can travel and steal a pool topper. If Furlong's calf goes inside 30 minutes and Sinckler gets at Usanov, this gets uncomfortable. But not 14 points uncomfortable.

Leinster by 12–18 — the Aviva fortress and the Gibson-Park-Barrett axis settle a fixture history that's haunted them.