Zebre Parma
Ulster
Stadio Sergio Lanfranchi, Parma
Championship Standings
Opening European round: no completed pool results; unavailable structured standings are left empty and previous-season tables are not substituted.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|
Zebre Parma
W0, D0, L5United Rugby Championship only: 5 completed matches, 2026-05-09 to 2026-10-10; 90 for and 224 against. Zebre conceded 47, 40 and 29 in their opening three URC fixtures. Their latest 12–29 loss to Edinburgh narrowed the damage but still left them well short on the scoreboard.
Ulster
W0, D3, L2United Rugby Championship only: 5 completed matches, 2026-05-08 to 2026-10-10; 148 for and 157 against. Two draws followed a five-point defeat to Edinburgh. The scorelines show competitiveness, but the inability to close those games keeps the form advantage restrained.
Head-to-Head · Retrieved Sample
1 – 0 – 5
Zebre Parma wins · Draws · Ulster wins (6 retrieved meetings, all venues)
Zebre Parma (1)6 most recent verified meetings in the retrieved sample (2021-03-19 to 2026-03-28), all venues: Zebre Parma 1 wins, 0 draws, Ulster 5 wins. Older games have limited relevance to the current selections.
Recent Results
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | United Rugby Championship | Zebre Parma 12–28 Ulster |
| 2025-01-26 | United Rugby Championship | Ulster 14–15 Zebre Parma |
| 2023-10-21 | United Rugby Championship | Zebre Parma 36–40 Ulster |
| 2022-11-25 | United Rugby Championship | Ulster 36–15 Zebre Parma |
| 2021-10-02 | United Rugby Championship | Zebre Parma 3–36 Ulster |
| 2021-03-19 | Guinness Pro14 | Ulster 49–3 Zebre Parma |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: Zebre Parma 14.0 – Ulster 33.8 across this 6-match sample.
Extended Form
Zebre ParmaW0, D0, L18
Retrieved United Rugby Championship results inside 16 October 2025–2026-10-16: 2026-10-10: Zebre Parma 12–29 Edinburgh; 2026-10-02: Cardiff Rugby 40–27 Zebre Parma; 2026-09-26: Zebre Parma 13–47 Bulls; 2026-05-16: Sharks 54–19 Zebre Parma; 2026-05-09: Bulls 54–19 Zebre Parma; 2026-04-24: Zebre Parma 18–19 Dragons RFC; 2026-04-17: Edinburgh 31–30 Zebre Parma; 2026-03-28: Zebre Parma 12–28 Ulster; 2026-03-20: Scarlets 36–17 Zebre Parma; 2026-02-28: Munster 21–7 Zebre Parma; 2026-01-31: Zebre Parma 15–31 Connacht; 2026-01-24: Zebre Parma 21–26 Glasgow Warriors; 2026-01-03: Glasgow Warriors 47–10 Zebre Parma; 2025-12-27: Zebre Parma 23–37 Benetton; 2025-12-20: Benetton 21–15 Zebre Parma; 2025-11-29: Zebre Parma 14–29 Cardiff Rugby; 2025-10-25: Leinster 50–26 Zebre Parma; 2025-10-18: Zebre Parma 13–31 Stormers.
A retrieved sample within twelve months, not a claim of complete season coverage. Older matches are context and are not counted a second time in the scorecard.
UlsterW7, D3, L9
Retrieved United Rugby Championship results inside 16 October 2025–2026-10-16: 2026-10-10: Ulster 26–26 Munster; 2026-10-03: Glasgow Warriors 33–33 Ulster; 2026-09-25: Ulster 29–34 Edinburgh; 2026-05-15: Ulster 22–26 Glasgow Warriors; 2026-05-08: Ulster 38–38 Stormers; 2026-04-25: Munster 41–14 Ulster; 2026-04-17: Ulster 21–29 Leinster; 2026-03-28: Zebre Parma 12–28 Ulster; 2026-03-20: Ulster 19–26 Connacht; 2026-03-13: Edinburgh 19–40 Ulster; 2026-02-28: Ospreys 21–10 Ulster; 2026-01-31: Ulster 21–14 Cardiff Rugby; 2026-01-24: Scarlets 27–22 Ulster; 2026-01-02: Ulster 28–3 Munster; 2025-12-27: Connacht 24–29 Ulster; 2025-12-19: Leinster 24–20 Ulster; 2025-11-28: Ulster 47–13 Benetton; 2025-10-25: Lions 49–31 Ulster; 2025-10-18: Sharks 26–34 Ulster.
A retrieved sample within twelve months, not a claim of complete season coverage. Opponents and venues vary; no extra score is awarded for repeating the short form window.
Zebre Parma XV
Official 16 October selection: Fusco captains, Da Re starts at ten and Montemauri at fullback. Ribaldi, Pisani and Minervino are the replacement front row.
Ulster XV
Official 16 October selection: McCann captains, with Benson at ten and Flannery at twelve. Stewart, O’Sullivan and Wilson form the replacement front row.
Key Matchups
O’Toole, Walker and Knox start with Sheridan and Izuchukwu behind them; a small starting-pack edge over Pelliccioli, Di Bartolomeo and Barbotti, not a claimed measured scrum gap. Doak, Stockdale and Baloucoune offer Ulster a wider selected threat than Fusco–Da Re with Montemauri; the young visiting ten keeps the edge limited. Stewart, O’Sullivan, Wilson and Lowry give Ulster replacement coverage against Ribaldi, Pisani, Minervino and Belloni; this is an assessed role/depth edge.
Match Forecast
Ulster have not won any of their first three URC games, but their two draws are a different level of evidence from Zebre’s three defeats. The latest meeting was a 28–12 Ulster win in Parma in March. Doak, Stockdale and Baloucoune start, while Stewart, O’Sullivan, Wilson and Lowry give the visitors useful late coverage.
Zebre can attack through Fusco and Da Re, and Ulster’s 33–33 at Glasgow and 26–26 against Munster show they have allowed opponents to stay alive. Ulster’s selection also includes Benson and Walker with limited recent appearances. This is an away lean, not a claim that the visitors’ defence has become reliable. Scorecard net -8; raw house home probability 48.6%, raw home margin -3.80. The 1–9-point band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval. Combined-total prior from 10 distinct completed matches in the two explicit form windows, 2026-05-08 to 2026-10-10: median 64.5 points. The projected 66 adjusts only for integer score parity with the rounded 4-point margin. Cross-competition and selection changes limit transfer; no unsupported weather adjustment.
Ulster by 4 — selection and model evidence checked.
Zebre Parma points for–against in the explicitly listed 5-match form window.
Ulster points for–against in the explicitly listed 5-match form window.
Checked 2026-10-16T14:11:08.310Z. Both selected XVs and benches are verified; no unresolved model conflict.