Challenge Cup 2025/26Challenge Cup 2025/26 · Play-Offs
Zebre Parma

Zebre Parma

v
Dragons

Dragons

Saturday 11 April 2026 · 9:00 PM CEST
Stadio Sergio Lanfranchi, Parma
Tournament

Championship Standings

Both teams sit in the URC's bottom two — Zebre dead last on 12 points with just 2 wins from 13, and Dragons 15th on 20 points. The Challenge Cup has been both sides' lifeline — their R16 upsets over Section Paloise and Stade Francais respectively were their best results of the campaign.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
1
Glasgow WarriorsGlasgow Warriors
13103+17150
2
StormersStormers
13103+12046
3
UlsterUlster
1385+9742
4
LeinsterLeinster
1385+4541
5
CardiffCardiff
1385−340
6
MunsterMunster
1385−2239
7
LionsLions
1375+2038
8
BullsBulls
1376+5435
9
ConnachtConnacht
1367+335
10
OspreysOspreys
1356−2529
11
SharksSharks
1357−3229
12
BenettonBenetton
1356−5328
13
EdinburghEdinburgh
1349−5223
14
ScarletsScarlets
1348−6921
15
DragonsDragons
1328−6720
16
Zebre ParmaZebre Parma
13211−18712
2026 Form

Zebre Parma

W4, L1
WR16: Zebre v Section Paloise (H)31–15+16
WPool: Black Lion v Zebre (A)14–28+14
WPool: Zebre v Ospreys (H)23–19+4
LPool: Montpellier v Zebre (A)31–7−24
WPool: Zebre v Montauban (H)41–17+24
PF 130PA 96
+34 PD

Zebre are a completely different animal in the Challenge Cup. Four wins from five — headlined by a stunning 31–15 dismantling of Section Paloise, who sit 2nd in the Top 14. That R16 result was arguably the upset of the round. The sole blip was a 31–7 drubbing at Montpellier.

Dragons

W3, L2
WR16: Stade Francais v Dragons (A)31–36+5
WPool: Dragons v USAP (H)22–19+3
LPool: Benetton v Dragons (A)74–21−53
WPool: Dragons v Newcastle (H)35–12+23
PF 131PA 157
-26 PD

The Dragons pulled off the result of the Challenge Cup R16 — beating Stade Francais Paris 36–31 away. That was a Top 14 side sitting 3rd in France, and the Dragons went to Paris and won. The 74–21 hammering at Benetton was humbling, but that Stade Francais scalp gives them genuine knockout pedigree.

History

Head-to-Head in Parma

8 – 1 – 2

Zebre wins · Draws · Dragons wins (11 meetings in Italy)

Zebre ParmaZebre Parma (8)
(2) DragonsDragons
8W
1D
2W

Zebre have been dominant at home in this fixture — 8 wins, 1 draw, and just 2 defeats in Parma across 13 years. Overall across all venues, the record is tighter (Zebre 8, Draws 1, Dragons 10 from 21), but in Parma, this is Zebre's fixture to lose.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
Feb 2025URCZebre 31–21 Dragons
Jan 2024Challenge CupZebre 20–17 Dragons
Oct 2022URCDragons 47–7 Zebre
Apr 2022URCZebre 23–18 Dragons
Feb 2021Pro14Zebre 26–15 Dragons
Oct 2019Pro14Zebre 28–52 Dragons

Average score in the last 6 meetings: Zebre 28 – Dragons 19 in the last six meetings at this venue. Zebre have won four of the last five home H2H fixtures.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Zebre Parma5W, 9L

Challenge Cup: W4 L1. URC: W2 L9. Zebre haven't won a URC game since November. But at the Lanfranchi in European competition, they've been clinical.

The Challenge Cup tells a completely different story to the URC. Five wins from five in Europe versus just two wins from eleven in the URC. But at the Lanfranchi in European competition, they've been clinical.

Dragons3W, 2D, 9L

Challenge Cup: W3 L2 (beat Stade Francais 36–31 away, beat USAP 22–19, beat Newcastle 35–12). URC: W2 D3 L9.

The 36–31 win at Stade Francais was season-defining. But their away record across all competitions is woeful. The Stade Francais result was the exception, not the rule.

Team News
Zebre Parma

Zebre Parma XV

Lineups not yet announced. Zebre's likely XV will feature Italian internationals Alessandro Fusco at scrumhalf and Giovanni Licata in the backrow.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Dragons

Dragons XV

Lineups not yet announced. The Dragons will be riding high after Paris. Expect Aaron Wainwright, Rio Dyer, Elliot Dee, and Ben Carter to feature heavily.

Forwards
Backs
Replacements
Tactical

Key Matchups

Scrummage
Pieretto, Rizzoli, Nocera
Close
Wyn Jones, Dee, Dillon Lewis
Backrow
Licata, Bianchi, Hasa
Dragons
Wainwright, Thomas Young, Keddie
Half-backs
Fusco, Da Re
Close
Williams, O'Brien
Centres
Morisi, Zanon
Close
Aneurin Owen, Che Hope
Back Three
Trulla, Belloni, Pani
Dragons
Rio Dyer, Rosser, Evans
Set Piece & Lineout
Krumov, Ortombina
Close
Ben Carter, Screech

The Dragons' backrow of Wainwright, Thomas Young, and Keddie carries more international pedigree. Rio Dyer's pace is a genuine X-factor. But Zebre's home advantage at the Lanfranchi and their superior H2H record in Parma keep them competitive.

Prediction Scorecard
Dragons edgeZebre Parma edge →
Home Advantage
+2
Form
0
H2H Record
+3
Squad Strength
-1
Set Piece
0
Backline Quality
-1
Standings Gap
0
Net Score+3
Projection
Zebre 56% · ZEB 24 – DRA 19
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreZEB 24 – DRA 19
Win ProbabilityZebre 56%
Predicted Margin3–7 pts

This is about as close to a coin-flip as knockout rugby gets. The scorecard yields a net +3 from Zebre's perspective — driven by their home advantage and an 8-1-2 record in Parma. Both teams are dreadful in the URC but have found something in the Challenge Cup.

The Dragons' backrow gives them a slight edge in individual quality, and Rio Dyer's pace can punish defensive errors. But Zebre at home in Europe have been a different animal — 4 wins from 4 at the Lanfranchi this season. The H2H record in Parma is decisively in Zebre's favour.

A genuine toss-up between the URC's bottom two — Zebre's home record and European form should edge a tight, scrappy knockout tie.