Final seven-round league table, checked on 10 September. Griquas finished first on 31 points and Pumas third on 22; both have since won their semi-finals. Lions and Sharks each drew once. RugbyPass supplies the verified table because the SofaScore season lookup timed out.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | +128 | 31 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +19 | 27 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +6 | 22 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +47 | 20 | |
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | -24 | 18 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +9 | 16 | |
| 7 | Stormers XXIII | 7 | 3 | 4 | -51 | 16 |
| 8 | 7 | 0 | 7 | -134 | 6 |
Five wins, 224 points scored and only 83 conceded in the latest five Currie Cup matches. Beating the Lions 52–12 in the semi-final strengthens a sequence that already included away wins over both Pumas and Boland. The opposition check matters: three of these five games were against fellow playoff qualifiers. Griquas have earned favouritism, but a final still asks a different question from a comfortable league win.
Pumas are 4–1 in their latest five Currie Cup games, with 155 scored and 126 conceded. They beat the Cheetahs 52–26 at home and then 27–24 away in the semi-final, proving they can win this knockout campaign on the road. The 14–38 loss to Griquas sits between those successes and the earlier wins over Stormers XXIII and Bulls. Their recent record is strong enough to resist a blowout forecast.
1 – 0 – 5
Griquas wins · Draws · Pumas wins (last 6 Currie Cup meetings, all venues; 2023-03-24–2026-08-21)
Pumas won five of the latest six Currie Cup meetings, covering March 2023 to August 2026. Griquas broke that sequence with the 38–14 win at Mbombela three weeks ago. Separately, Pumas won the May 2026 SA Cup final in Kimberley 38–35 after extra time; that result is context, not part of these Currie Cup counts.
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Currie Cup | Pumas 14–38 Griquas |
| 2025-07-25 | Currie Cup | Pumas 49–28 Griquas |
| 2024-07-28 | Currie Cup | Pumas 66–26 Griquas |
| 2024-07-05 | Currie Cup | Griquas 24–44 Pumas |
| 2023-06-09 | Currie Cup | Griquas 17–27 Pumas |
| 2023-03-24 | Currie Cup | Pumas 28–13 Griquas |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: Griquas 24.3 – Pumas 38.0 across these six meetings.
10 September 2025–10 September 2026, before the evidence cutoff; 10 Currie Cup matches, 375 scored and 185 conceded.
Nine wins in ten Currie Cup matches across this twelve-month window include the 2025 semi-final and final plus the current campaign. The only defeat was 19–25 against Stormers XXIII in the 2026 opener. SA Cup and other competitions are excluded from these totals.
10 September 2025–10 September 2026, before the evidence cutoff; 8 Currie Cup matches, 228 scored and 219 conceded.
The eight-match Currie Cup sample is this season’s campaign: five wins and three losses. Pumas lost their first two before finding a way to win tight away games. The smaller sample reflects their absence from the 2025 playoffs; their SA Cup title is considered separately.
Final selection unverified as of 2026-09-10T06:27:56.012Z. Checked griquasrugby.co.za, its match-day programme link (fetch failed), and focused OFM/Rugby365 coverage for Griquas v Pumas on 12 September. The Flashscore detail response is empty; no final XV or bench was verified.
Final selection unverified as of 2026-09-10T06:27:56.012Z. Checked the Pumas official home page (timeout), official fixtures/results page, and focused Rugby365/OFM final coverage. None of the accessible sources verified a final match-day 23; season rosters and semi-final selections are not substituted.
The individual matchups remain ungraded; “close” here means no verified selection comparison. Griquas’ team-level scoring and defensive record favour them, but those advantages belong in the form assessment. Pumas need to keep the game within one score and force the hosts to make decisions under knockout pressure. Their away semi-final win makes that a credible route, even without a verified player-by-player edge.
Griquas by six. The home venue, more convincing recent form and modest league-table edge outweigh the Pumas’ historical advantage in a +3 scorecard. The house formula gives 70.96% and a 5.55-point margin, rounded to six. Griquas have the better current case, but Pumas are far too competitive to treat this as another procession.
The main unknown is selection: squad, set piece and backline scores remain ungraded until the final teams can be verified. Pumas have already won a major final here this year, so home ground does not settle the argument. The 1–11-point band is an editorial range, not a statistical confidence interval; the house probability is a two-way heuristic with no separate draw estimate.
Griquas by six — current form gets the call, with both final lineups unverified.
Griquas have won seven Currie Cup games since their opening-round defeat.
Four home league wins and the semi-final victory; 218 scored, 99 conceded.
Pumas beat Boland, Bulls and Cheetahs on the road this season; their other away game was a loss to Lions.