Six Nations 2026 · Round 4After Round 3 — France are the only unbeaten side with maximum points and a colossal +89 point differential. Scotland sit second, their sole blemish a Round 1 defeat in Rome.
| Pos | Team | P | W | L | PD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +89 | 15 | |
| 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 11 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 9 | |
| 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 5 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | −29 | 5 | |
| 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | −86 | 1 |
After a shock opening defeat in Rome, Scotland have bounced back strongly — a comprehensive Calcutta Cup victory over England at Murrayfield followed by a gritty away win in Cardiff. Darcy Graham tied Scotland’s all-time try record (35) against Wales, and Finn Russell is pulling the strings with vintage authority at 10.
France have been utterly dominant — dismantling Ireland in the opener, putting 54 on Wales in Cardiff, and grinding down Italy with clinical efficiency. They’re scoring at 41 pts/game and conceding just 11.3. A fourth consecutive win here would all but seal the championship.
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Scotland wins · Draws · France wins (35 recent meetings)
France lead the all-time series heavily, but the picture at Murrayfield is more competitive — Scotland have won 4 of the last 10 home meetings. France, however, have won the last two visits to Edinburgh.
| Date | Competition | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2025 | Six Nations (Paris) | France 35–16 Scotland |
| Mar 2024 | Six Nations (Edinburgh) | Scotland 16–20 France |
| Aug 2023 | Friendly (Paris) | France 30–27 Scotland |
| Aug 2023 | Friendly (Edinburgh) | Scotland 25–21 France |
| Feb 2022 | Six Nations (Paris) | France 32–21 Scotland |
| Mar 2021 | Six Nations (Edinburgh) | Scotland 17–36 France |
Average score in the last 6 meetings: France 29 – Scotland 21. France have won 5 of the last 6, with Scotland’s sole victory a 2023 friendly at Murrayfield.
Wins against: Wales (Six Nations), England (Six Nations), Tonga (56–0), USA (85–0), Samoa (41–12), Maori All Blacks (29–26). Losses to: Italy (Six Nations R1), Argentina (24–33), New Zealand (17–25), Fiji (14–29).
Scotland are strong at home and against mid-tier opposition but have struggled against top southern hemisphere sides. Their November campaign was a mixed bag — heavy wins over Tonga and USA bookended defeats to New Zealand and Argentina. The summer tour showed character with wins against Samoa and Maori ABs despite falling to Fiji.
Wins against: Ireland, Wales, Italy, Australia (48–33), Fiji (34–21). Plus three perfect Six Nations rounds. Losses to: South Africa (17–32), New Zealand (×3 on tour: 27–31, 17–43, 19–29).
France’s only defeats came against the two best teams in world rugby — South Africa and New Zealand. In European competition, they have been untouchable. Their current Six Nations form is the best in the tournament by a wide margin.
Jack Dempsey returns from a bicep injury at No. 8, with Matt Fagerson switching to blindside flanker. The front row is reshuffled with Schoeman, Turner and Rae all starting. Darcy Graham — level with Scotland’s all-time try record (35) — lines up on the right wing. Finn Russell orchestrates at 10 behind a well-drilled pack.
Dupont captains from scrum-half alongside Jalibert at fly-half — the most dangerous halfback pairing in world rugby. Deportère and Moefana reunite in midfield, a partnership that blends power with pace. The back three of Ramos, Attissogbe and Bielle-Biarrey is devastating in transition. France are chasing a fourth consecutive win to put one hand on the championship trophy.
The marquee battle is at half-back: Russell’s mercurial creativity against Dupont’s relentless tempo. Russell thrives at Murrayfield but Dupont is the best player in the world. Scotland’s back row — bolstered by Dempsey’s return — can compete physically, but France’s superiority in the scrum and their electric back three give them edges in key areas. Scotland’s best route to victory is through set-piece accuracy, territory control and unleashing Graham in broken play.
France are rightful favourites, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. Scotland at Murrayfield are a different proposition to any away trip — the Calcutta Cup demolition of England in Round 2 proved that. Russell feeding Graham, Steyn and Jones behind a motivated pack can trouble any defence.
But France’s attacking depth is extraordinary. Dupont dictates tempo like no other, the Moefana–Deportère centre axis offers both power and line-breaking, and the bench (Mauvaka, Flament, Meafou) is designed to finish teams off. France have won 5 of the last 6 meetings and their current form — 123 points in 3 games — is ominous.
France to edge a tight, physical contest — but Scotland will make them earn every point.