Six Nations 2026Six Nations 2026 · Round 4
Scotland

Scotland

v
France

France

Saturday 7 March 2026 · 2:10 PM GMT
Scottish Gas Murrayfield, Edinburgh
Tournament

Championship Standings

After Round 3 — France are the only unbeaten side with maximum points and a colossal +89 point differential. Scotland sit second, their sole blemish a Round 1 defeat in Rome.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
1
FranceFrance
330+8915
2
ScotlandScotland
321+1111
3
IrelandIreland
321+69
4
EnglandEngland
312+95
5
ItalyItaly
312−295
6
WalesWales
303−861
2026 Form

Scotland

W2, L1
2W streak
LR1: Italy v Scotland18–15−3
WR2: Scotland v England31–20+11
WR3: Wales v Scotland23–26+3
PF 72PA 61
+11 PD

After a shock opening defeat in Rome, Scotland have bounced back strongly — a comprehensive Calcutta Cup victory over England at Murrayfield followed by a gritty away win in Cardiff. Darcy Graham tied Scotland’s all-time try record (35) against Wales, and Finn Russell is pulling the strings with vintage authority at 10.

France

W3, L0
3W streak
WR1: France v Ireland36–14+22
WR2: Wales v France12–54+42
WR3: France v Italy33–8+25
PF 123PA 34
+89 PD

France have been utterly dominant — dismantling Ireland in the opener, putting 54 on Wales in Cardiff, and grinding down Italy with clinical efficiency. They’re scoring at 41 pts/game and conceding just 11.3. A fourth consecutive win here would all but seal the championship.

History

Head-to-Head Record

10 – 1 – 24

Scotland wins · Draws · France wins (35 recent meetings)

ScotlandScotland (10)
(24) FranceFrance
10W
1D
24W

France lead the all-time series heavily, but the picture at Murrayfield is more competitive — Scotland have won 4 of the last 10 home meetings. France, however, have won the last two visits to Edinburgh.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
Mar 2025Six Nations (Paris)France 35–16 Scotland
Mar 2024Six Nations (Edinburgh)Scotland 16–20 France
Aug 2023Friendly (Paris)France 30–27 Scotland
Aug 2023Friendly (Edinburgh)Scotland 25–21 France
Feb 2022Six Nations (Paris)France 32–21 Scotland
Mar 2021Six Nations (Edinburgh)Scotland 17–36 France

Average score in the last 6 meetings: France 29 – Scotland 21. France have won 5 of the last 6, with Scotland’s sole victory a 2023 friendly at Murrayfield.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

Scotland7W, 4L

Wins against: Wales (Six Nations), England (Six Nations), Tonga (56–0), USA (85–0), Samoa (41–12), Maori All Blacks (29–26). Losses to: Italy (Six Nations R1), Argentina (24–33), New Zealand (17–25), Fiji (14–29).

Scotland are strong at home and against mid-tier opposition but have struggled against top southern hemisphere sides. Their November campaign was a mixed bag — heavy wins over Tonga and USA bookended defeats to New Zealand and Argentina. The summer tour showed character with wins against Samoa and Maori ABs despite falling to Fiji.

France8W, 4L

Wins against: Ireland, Wales, Italy, Australia (48–33), Fiji (34–21). Plus three perfect Six Nations rounds. Losses to: South Africa (17–32), New Zealand (×3 on tour: 27–31, 17–43, 19–29).

France’s only defeats came against the two best teams in world rugby — South Africa and New Zealand. In European competition, they have been untouchable. Their current Six Nations form is the best in the tournament by a wide margin.

Team News
Scotland

Scotland XV

Jack Dempsey returns from a bicep injury at No. 8, with Matt Fagerson switching to blindside flanker. The front row is reshuffled with Schoeman, Turner and Rae all starting. Darcy Graham — level with Scotland’s all-time try record (35) — lines up on the right wing. Finn Russell orchestrates at 10 behind a well-drilled pack.

Forwards
1Pierre Schoeman
2George Turner
3D’arcy Rae
4Jonny Brown
5Scott Cummings
6Matt Fagerson
7Rory Darge
8Jack Dempsey
Backs
15Blair Kinghorn
14Darcy Graham
13Huw Jones
12Sione Tuipulotu
11Kyle Steyn
10Finn Russell
9Ben White
Replacements
16Ewan Ashman
17Rory Sutherland
18Zander Fagerson
19Grant Gilchrist
20Freddie Douglas
21Jamie Bayliss
22George Horne
23Tom Jordan
France

France XV

Dupont captains from scrum-half alongside Jalibert at fly-half — the most dangerous halfback pairing in world rugby. Deportère and Moefana reunite in midfield, a partnership that blends power with pace. The back three of Ramos, Attissogbe and Bielle-Biarrey is devastating in transition. France are chasing a fourth consecutive win to put one hand on the championship trophy.

Forwards
1Jean-Baptiste Gros
2Julien Marchand
3Dorian Aldegheri
4Charles Ollivon
5Mickaël Guillard
6François Cros
7Oscar Jégou
8Anthony Jelonch
Backs
15Thomas Ramos
14Théo Attissogbe
13Nicolas Deportère
12Yoram Moefana
11Louis Bielle-Biarrey
10Matthieu Jalibert
9Antoine Dupont(c)
Replacements
16Peato Mauvaka
17Reda Neti
18Demba Bamba
19Thibaud Flament
20Emmanuel Meafou
21Léo Nouchi
22Baptiste Serin
23Pierre-Louis Barassi
Tactical

Key Matchups

Halfbacks
Russell / White
France
Dupont / Jalibert
Back Row
Dempsey / Darge / Fagerson
Close
Jelonch / Jégou / Cros
Scrum
Schoeman / Turner / Rae
France
Gros / Marchand / Aldegheri
Centres
Tuipulotu / Jones
Close
Moefana / Deportère
Back Three
Graham / Steyn / Kinghorn
France
Attissogbe / Bielle-Biarrey / Ramos
Lineout
Cummings / Brown
Close
Ollivon / Guillard

The marquee battle is at half-back: Russell’s mercurial creativity against Dupont’s relentless tempo. Russell thrives at Murrayfield but Dupont is the best player in the world. Scotland’s back row — bolstered by Dempsey’s return — can compete physically, but France’s superiority in the scrum and their electric back three give them edges in key areas. Scotland’s best route to victory is through set-piece accuracy, territory control and unleashing Graham in broken play.

Prediction Scorecard
France edgeScotland edge →
Home Advantage
+3
Form
-1
H2H Record
+1
Squad Strength
-2
Set Piece
-1
Backline Quality
-2
Standings Gap
-1
Net Score-3
Projection
France 60% · SCO 22 – FRA 28
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreSCO 22 – FRA 28
Win ProbabilityFrance 60%
Predicted Margin5–10 pts

France are rightful favourites, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. Scotland at Murrayfield are a different proposition to any away trip — the Calcutta Cup demolition of England in Round 2 proved that. Russell feeding Graham, Steyn and Jones behind a motivated pack can trouble any defence.

But France’s attacking depth is extraordinary. Dupont dictates tempo like no other, the Moefana–Deportère centre axis offers both power and line-breaking, and the bench (Mauvaka, Flament, Meafou) is designed to finish teams off. France have won 5 of the last 6 meetings and their current form — 123 points in 3 games — is ominous.

France to edge a tight, physical contest — but Scotland will make them earn every point.