Six Nations 2026Six Nations 2026 · Round 5
France

France

v
England

England

Saturday 14 March 2026 · 8:10 PM CET
Stade de France, Paris
Tournament

Championship Standings

After Round 4 — France lead on 16 points, level with Scotland but ahead on point difference (+79 vs +21). A bonus-point win here would guarantee France the title regardless of other results. England sit 5th on 6 points after three defeats in four — this is a pride match for Borthwick’s side.

PosTeamPWLPDPts
1
FranceFrance
431+7916
2
ScotlandScotland
431+2116
3
IrelandIreland
431+1613
4
ItalyItaly
422−249
5
EnglandEngland
413+46
6
WalesWales
404−961
2026 Form

France

W3, L1
WR1: France v Ireland (H)36–14+22
WR2: Wales v France (A)12–54+42
WR3: France v Italy (H)33–8+25
LR4: Scotland v France (A)50–40−10
PF 163PA 84
+79 PD

France have been the tournament’s most devastating attack — 163 points in four games, including 54 in Cardiff and 40 even in defeat at Murrayfield. The loss to Scotland was a shock, but they still scored 40 points — the defence was the issue, not the attack. Dupont, Jalibert and Bielle-Biarrey have been irresistible in the wide channels. The Stade de France on Super Saturday night, with a title on the line — this is France at their most dangerous.

England

W1, L3
3L streak
WR1: England v Wales (H)48–7+41
LR2: Scotland v England (A)31–20−11
LR3: England v Ireland (H)21–42−21
LR4: Italy v England (A)23–18−5
PF 107PA 103
+4 PD

England’s campaign has collapsed since that opening-day demolition of Wales. Three straight defeats — to Scotland, Ireland, and Italy — each more deflating than the last. The Italy loss was historic: England’s first-ever Six Nations defeat to the Azzurri. Borthwick has made one change for Paris, bringing in Ollie Chessum, but this is a squad low on confidence and facing the tournament’s form attack in the most hostile away environment in rugby.

History

Head-to-Head in Paris

10 – 0 – 8

France wins · Draws · England wins (last 18 meetings in Paris)

FranceFrance (10)
(8) EnglandEngland
10W
8W

This is one of rugby’s great rivalries — tight, unpredictable, and always physical. France have won two of the last three in Paris (33–31 in 2024, 25–13 in 2022), but England shocked them 31–21 in 2016. The margins are often razor-thin: five of the last eight meetings in Paris have been decided by 7 points or fewer.

Recent Results

DateCompetitionResult
Feb 2025Six NationsEngland 26–25 France
Mar 2024Six NationsFrance 33–31 England
Mar 2023Six NationsEngland 10–53 France
Mar 2022Six NationsFrance 25–13 England
Mar 2021Six NationsEngland 23–20 France
Feb 2020Six NationsFrance 24–17 England

Average score in the last 6 meetings: France 27 – England 22. Alternating home advantage has been the pattern — but France’s current form makes them heavy favourites to win at the Stade de France.

Last 12 Months

Extended Form

France12W, 2L

Wins at home: Ireland (36–14), Italy (33–8), Australia (48–33), Fiji (34–21), Scotland (35–16), Wales (43–0), Argentina (37–23), New Zealand (30–29), Japan (52–12). Losses: South Africa (17–32), Ireland (17–38, 2024).

France at the Stade de France are virtually unbeatable. Only two losses in their last 14 home games — to South Africa and Ireland (both genuine world-class sides at the time). They’ve scored 30+ points in nine of those 14 matches. The atmosphere on Super Saturday night will be electric, and Galthié’s side thrive on the occasion.

England4W, 6L

Wins: Wales (54–12), Ireland (42–27), Italy (73–24), Argentina (28–13). Losses: Scotland (40–50), England (25–26), New Zealand (×3, including 29–19, 43–17, 31–27), South Africa (32–17).

England have been poor travellers this championship — lost in Edinburgh, beaten at home by Ireland, and humiliated in Rome. Their only away Six Nations win since 2023 was that narrow 26–25 victory over France in February 2025. Paris on Super Saturday night, against a team chasing the title — this is the toughest fixture in European rugby.

Team News
France

France XV

Galthié makes changes in the second row after the Murrayfield defeat — Meafou partners Flament, adding physicality. Ollivon returns at No. 8. The backline is unchanged: Dupont and Jalibert at half-back, Bielle-Biarrey and Attissogbe on the wings, and Ramos at fullback. This is France’s strongest available XV for a title-deciding match.

Forwards
1Jean-Baptiste Gros
2Julien Marchand
3Dorian Aldegheri
4Thibaud Flament
5Emmanuel Meafou
6François Cros
7Tom Matiu
8Charles Ollivon
Backs
15Thomas Ramos
14Théo Attissogbe
13Pierre-Louis Barassi
12Yoram Moefana
11Louis Bielle-Biarrey
10Matthieu Jalibert
9Antoine Dupont
Replacements
16Peato Mauvaka
17Rodrigue Neti
18Demba Bamba
19Hugo Auradou
20Mickaël Guillard
21Joshua Brennan
22Baptiste Serin
23Émilien Gailleton
England

England XV

Borthwick makes one change from the Italy defeat — Ollie Chessum starts at blindside flanker, with Sam Underhill dropping to the bench. England use a 6-2 bench split, loading up with forward replacements. Marcus Smith provides a quality back-line option off the bench. Itoje leads the pack at lock — this is a damage-limitation mission as much as anything.

Forwards
1Ellis Genge
2Jamie George
3Joe Heyes
4Maro Itoje
5Alex Coles
6Ollie Chessum
7George Pepper
8Ben Earl
Backs
15Elliot Daly
14Tommy Roebuck
13Tommy Freeman
12Sam Atkinson
11Cadan Murley
10Fin Smith
9Ben Spencer
Replacements
16Luke Cowan-Dickie
17Bevan Rodd
18Trevor Davison
19Chandler Cunningham-South
20Sam Underhill
21Henry Pollock
22Jack van Poortvliet
23Marcus Smith
Tactical

Key Matchups

Scrummage
Gros / Marchand / Aldegheri
Close
Genge / George / Heyes
Half-backs
Dupont / Jalibert
France
Spencer / F. Smith
Backrow
Ollivon / Cros / Matiu
Close
Earl / Pepper / Chessum
Back Three
Ramos / Bielle-Biarrey / Attissogbe
France
Daly / Freeman / Roebuck
Midfield
Moefana / Barassi
France
Atkinson / Freeman
Bench Impact
Mauvaka / Bamba / Gailleton
France
Cowan-Dickie / Smith / Pollock

The half-back battle is the headline. Dupont versus Spencer is a mismatch on paper — Dupont is the best player in the world, full stop. Jalibert has been outstanding at 10, and his partnership with Dupont gives France a tempo advantage that England simply cannot match. England’s best hope is their scrum — Genge and George are world-class — and Ben Earl’s work rate at the breakdown. If England can slow France’s ball and force Dupont to play deep, they have a chance. But France’s back three — Ramos, Bielle-Biarrey, Attissogbe — is the fastest in world rugby, and England’s back three lacks the pace to cope in open play.

Prediction Scorecard
England edgeFrance edge →
Home Advantage
+4
Form
+3
H2H Record
+2
Squad Strength
+3
Set Piece
+2
Backline Quality
+3
Standings Gap
+2
Net Score+19
Projection
France 82% · FRA 35 – ENG 18
Prediction

Match Forecast

Projected ScoreFRA 35 – ENG 18
Win ProbabilityFrance 82%
Predicted Margin14–22 pts

France will win the title at home. They have the best attack in the tournament (163 points in four games), the best half-back pairing (Dupont-Jalibert), and a point to prove after the Murrayfield collapse. The Stade de France on Super Saturday night, with the championship on the line, is the perfect setting for Galthié’s side to deliver. France have scored 30+ points in nine of their last 14 home games — England’s defence, which has leaked 103 points in four matches, will struggle to contain them.

England’s only realistic path is to turn this into a forward arm-wrestle. If they can dominate the scrum, slow the ruck, and keep the score close into the final quarter, Marcus Smith off the bench could provide a spark. But France’s bench — Mauvaka, Bamba, Gailleton — is devastating, and the 6-2 split limits England’s ability to match France’s firepower in the last 20 minutes. The 53–10 hammering in 2023 is fresh in the memory; England will be desperate to avoid a repeat, but France at home in a title decider is an entirely different proposition.

France to clinch the championship with a bonus-point win — Dupont’s crowning moment in Paris.